Fertility & birth rates in Gambia and Guinea-Bissau

Fertility rate in Gambia vs Guinea-Bissau chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in the Gambia was 4.01 children per woman in 2023, compared to 3.84 in Guinea-Bissau in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check the Gambia vs Guinea-Bissau population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Gambia	Guinea-Bissau
1960	6.25	5.92
1961	6.23	5.93
1962	6.21	5.94
1963	6.2	5.95
1964	6.2	5.96
1965	6.19	5.97
1966	6.18	5.98
1967	6.21	5.99
1968	6.22	6.01
1969	6.25	6.02
1970	6.26	6.04
1971	6.33	6.06
1972	6.37	6.08
1973	6.41	6.1
1974	6.42	6.12
1975	6.43	6.15
1976	6.43	6.19
1977	6.43	6.25
1978	6.42	6.32
1979	6.41	6.4
1980	6.41	6.49
1981	6.4	6.57
1982	6.4	6.64
1983	6.39	6.69
1984	6.39	6.73
1985	6.36	6.74
1986	6.34	6.73
1987	6.3	6.72
1988	6.26	6.69
1989	6.25	6.66
1990	6.25	6.5
1991	6.19	6.47
1992	6.11	6.44
1993	6.03	6.37
1994	6.04	6.3
1995	5.99	6.22
1996	5.93	6.14
1997	5.85	6.06
1998	5.82	5.97
1999	5.77	5.87
2000	5.72	5.79
2001	5.67	5.69
2002	5.66	5.63
2003	5.66	5.58
2004	5.68	5.5
2005	5.71	5.46
2006	5.74	5.41
2007	5.69	5.37
2008	5.63	5.27
2009	5.57	5.18
2010	5.56	5.11
2011	5.54	5.07
2012	5.52	5
2013	5.39	4.93
2014	5.2	4.79
2015	5	4.66
2016	4.81	4.52
2017	4.61	4.35
2018	4.42	4.24
2019	4.33	4.15
2020	4.25	4.08
2021	4.17	4
2022	4.08	3.91
2023	4.01	3.84
2024	3.91	3.76
2025	3.8	3.68
2026	3.7	3.62
2027	3.6	3.56
2028	3.51	3.5
2029	3.41	3.44
2030	3.33	3.37
2031	3.24	3.31
2032	3.17	3.25
2033	3.1	3.2
2034	3.03	3.15
2035	2.97	3.09
2036	2.91	3.04
2037	2.86	3
2038	2.81	2.95
2039	2.76	2.91
2040	2.71	2.87
2041	2.67	2.84
2042	2.63	2.8
2043	2.59	2.77
2044	2.56	2.74
2045	2.52	2.71
2046	2.49	2.67
2047	2.46	2.64
2048	2.43	2.62
2049	2.4	2.59
2050	2.38	2.56

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Gambia	Guinea-Bissau
1960	41%	36.9%
1961	40.8%	37.1%
1962	40.7%	37.7%
1963	40.8%	38.4%
1964	41%	39.6%
1965	41.3%	41%
1966	41.5%	41.9%
1967	41.6%	42.1%
1968	41.8%	41.8%
1969	41.9%	41.9%
1970	42%	41.9%
1971	42.1%	41.9%
1972	42.2%	41.9%
1973	42.3%	41.6%
1974	42.4%	41.4%
1975	42.6%	41.8%
1976	42.8%	42.6%
1977	43%	43.7%
1978	43.3%	44.8%
1979	43.5%	45.1%
1980	43.7%	45%
1981	44%	45.3%
1982	44.3%	45.5%
1983	44.6%	45.7%
1984	44.9%	45.9%
1985	45%	45.9%
1986	45.2%	46%
1987	45.4%	45.9%
1988	45.5%	45.9%
1989	45.6%	45.8%
1990	45.7%	45.7%
1991	45.8%	45.5%
1992	45.9%	45.5%
1993	46%	45.4%
1994	46.3%	45.4%
1995	46.5%	45.3%
1996	46.7%	45.2%
1997	46.9%	45.1%
1998	46.9%	45%
1999	46.9%	44.8%
2000	46.8%	44.7%
2001	46.7%	44.5%
2002	46.6%	44.3%
2003	46.4%	44.2%
2004	46.1%	44%
2005	45.9%	43.9%
2006	45.6%	43.8%
2007	45.3%	43.6%
2008	45.1%	43.5%
2009	44.8%	43.3%
2010	44.5%	43.2%
2011	44.3%	43%
2012	44.1%	42.8%
2013	43.9%	42.7%
2014	43.7%	42.5%
2015	43.6%	42.2%
2016	43.3%	42%
2017	43.1%	41.7%
2018	42.8%	41.3%
2019	42.4%	40.9%
2020	42%	40.5%
2021	41.6%	40.1%
2022	41.2%	39.7%
2023	40.7%	39.2%
2024	40.2%	38.8%
2025	39.7%	38.3%
2026	39.2%	37.8%
2027	38.5%	37.4%
2028	37.9%	36.9%
2029	37.3%	36.4%
2030	36.7%	36%
2031	36.2%	35.5%
2032	35.7%	35.1%
2033	35.2%	34.8%
2034	34.8%	34.4%
2035	34.3%	34.1%
2036	33.9%	33.7%
2037	33.4%	33.4%
2038	33%	33%
2039	32.5%	32.7%
2040	32.1%	32.4%
2041	31.7%	32%
2042	31.3%	31.7%
2043	30.9%	31.4%
2044	30.5%	31%
2045	30.2%	30.7%
2046	29.8%	30.4%
2047	29.5%	30.1%
2048	29.1%	29.7%
2049	28.8%	29.4%
2050	28.4%	29.1%

Children aged 0-14 make up 40.2% of the population in the Gambia and 38.8% in Guinea-Bissau in 2024, compared to 45.7% and 45.7% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of the Gambia and Guinea-Bissau compared.

Natural population change in Gambia vs Guinea-Bissau by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +2.59% in the Gambia and +2.44% in Guinea-Bissau. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Gambia	Guinea-Bissau
1960	8,420	10,618
1961	8,778	10,756
1962	9,150	10,662
1963	9,493	9,190
1964	9,825	8,989
1965	10,162	7,789
1966	10,422	6,955
1967	10,823	6,742
1968	11,215	7,289
1969	11,670	7,857
1970	12,128	7,632
1971	12,842	8,183
1972	13,432	7,911
1973	14,046	8,430
1974	14,628	10,321
1975	15,256	11,998
1976	16,032	13,688
1977	16,773	15,484
1978	17,424	17,468
1979	18,543	19,736
1980	19,566	21,024
1981	20,156	21,611
1982	21,894	22,131
1983	23,175	22,542
1984	24,586	22,861
1985	25,795	23,116
1986	27,195	23,301
1987	28,452	23,549
1988	29,938	23,940
1989	31,504	24,286
1990	33,163	23,936
1991	34,584	24,527
1992	35,951	25,747
1993	37,302	26,943
1994	38,880	27,895
1995	39,681	29,142
1996	40,253	29,778
1997	40,742	29,792
1998	41,842	30,390
1999	42,533	30,916
2000	43,249	32,816
2001	44,154	33,461
2002	45,156	34,561
2003	46,473	35,649
2004	48,276	36,495
2005	50,010	37,347
2006	52,335	38,886
2007	53,653	40,288
2008	55,032	40,841
2009	56,575	41,950
2010	58,554	43,067
2011	60,571	44,405
2012	62,745	45,480
2013	63,510	46,472
2014	63,185	46,615
2015	62,832	46,846
2016	62,358	46,814
2017	61,665	46,318
2018	60,854	46,659
2019	61,701	47,196
2020	62,209	46,718
2021	62,239	47,242
2022	63,634	48,920
2023	65,118	49,498

Maternal mortality chart: Gambia vs Guinea-Bissau

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 354 deaths per 100,000 live births in the Gambia, compared to 505 deaths in Guinea-Bissau.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Gambia	Guinea-Bissau
1985	1,454	1,851
1986	1,401	1,825
1987	1,360	1,796
1988	1,302	1,759
1989	1,258	1,698
1990	1,207	1,709
1991	1,167	1,663
1992	1,115	1,633
1993	1,072	1,613
1994	1,039	1,644
1995	999	1,556
1996	956	1,539
1997	928	1,642
1998	867	1,465
1999	830	1,461
2000	810	1,295
2001	794	1,222
2002	772	1,141
2003	749	1,069
2004	719	980
2005	707	956
2006	682	831
2007	675	792
2008	653	802
2009	634	753
2010	632	698
2011	634	678
2012	628	704
2013	606	707
2014	561	662
2015	527	631
2016	490	617
2017	469	597
2018	450	585
2019	422	598
2020	400	603
2021	420	617
2022	365	539
2023	354	505

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 4.41% in the Gambia and 6.93% in Guinea-Bissau. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Gambia	Guinea-Bissau
1960	36.2%	-
1961	35.5%	-
1962	34.8%	-
1963	34.1%	-
1964	33.5%	-
1965	32.8%	-
1966	32.1%	-
1967	31.5%	-
1968	30.9%	-
1969	30.2%	-
1970	29.5%	-
1971	28.9%	-
1972	28.2%	-
1973	27.5%	-
1974	26.9%	-
1975	26.2%	-
1976	25.5%	-
1977	24.9%	-
1978	24.2%	-
1979	23.6%	-
1980	23%	-
1981	22.3%	-
1982	21.7%	-
1983	21%	-
1984	20.4%	-
1985	19.7%	24.4%
1986	19.1%	24%
1987	18.4%	23.5%
1988	17.8%	23.1%
1989	17.2%	22.7%
1990	16.6%	22.2%
1991	16%	21.8%
1992	15.5%	21.3%
1993	14.9%	20.9%
1994	14.4%	20.4%
1995	13.9%	19.9%
1996	13.3%	19.4%
1997	12.8%	18.9%
1998	12.3%	18.4%
1999	11.8%	17.9%
2000	11.3%	17.4%
2001	10.9%	16.8%
2002	10.4%	16.3%
2003	9.95%	15.7%
2004	9.52%	15.1%
2005	9.11%	14.5%
2006	8.71%	13.9%
2007	8.33%	13.2%
2008	7.98%	12.6%
2009	7.64%	12%
2010	7.31%	11.4%
2011	7.01%	10.9%
2012	6.73%	10.4%
2013	6.45%	9.93%
2014	6.18%	9.53%
2015	5.93%	9.18%
2016	5.7%	8.84%
2017	5.47%	8.53%
2018	5.27%	8.21%
2019	5.07%	7.91%
2020	4.89%	7.66%
2021	4.72%	7.41%
2022	4.56%	7.16%
2023	4.41%	6.93%