Fertility & birth rates in Eswatini and Guinea

Fertility rate in Eswatini vs Guinea chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Eswatini was 2.75 children per woman in 2023, compared to 4.22 in Guinea in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Eswatini vs Guinea population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Eswatini	Guinea
1960	6.75	6.11
1961	6.77	6.13
1962	6.79	6.14
1963	6.8	6.15
1964	6.79	6.17
1965	6.79	6.18
1966	6.8	6.19
1967	6.77	6.2
1968	6.76	6.21
1969	6.76	6.23
1970	6.75	6.24
1971	6.74	6.26
1972	6.72	6.28
1973	6.72	6.31
1974	6.71	6.34
1975	6.71	6.37
1976	6.7	6.4
1977	6.68	6.43
1978	6.65	6.44
1979	6.61	6.45
1980	6.57	6.46
1981	6.54	6.46
1982	6.49	6.49
1983	6.43	6.49
1984	6.36	6.51
1985	6.28	6.53
1986	6.11	6.55
1987	5.9	6.57
1988	5.69	6.56
1989	5.48	6.55
1990	5.3	6.52
1991	5.13	6.48
1992	4.98	6.45
1993	4.82	6.41
1994	4.66	6.36
1995	4.52	6.29
1996	4.38	6.21
1997	4.24	6.12
1998	4.13	6.05
1999	4.09	5.99
2000	4.03	5.92
2001	3.94	5.83
2002	3.85	5.78
2003	3.8	5.74
2004	3.76	5.73
2005	3.7	5.73
2006	3.63	5.7
2007	3.58	5.66
2008	3.57	5.6
2009	3.5	5.53
2010	3.38	5.44
2011	3.32	5.34
2012	3.27	5.23
2013	3.24	5.15
2014	3.18	5.07
2015	3.12	5
2016	3.07	4.92
2017	3.02	4.79
2018	2.97	4.67
2019	2.93	4.58
2020	2.89	4.49
2021	2.84	4.4
2022	2.8	4.3
2023	2.75	4.22
2024	2.72	4.13
2025	2.68	4.04
2026	2.64	3.96
2027	2.61	3.89
2028	2.57	3.81
2029	2.54	3.73
2030	2.51	3.66
2031	2.49	3.59
2032	2.45	3.52
2033	2.42	3.45
2034	2.4	3.38
2035	2.37	3.32
2036	2.35	3.27
2037	2.32	3.21
2038	2.3	3.16
2039	2.28	3.12
2040	2.26	3.07
2041	2.24	3.02
2042	2.22	2.98
2043	2.2	2.94
2044	2.18	2.9
2045	2.16	2.86
2046	2.14	2.82
2047	2.13	2.79
2048	2.11	2.75
2049	2.1	2.73
2050	2.08	2.7

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Eswatini	Guinea
1960	46.9%	39.6%
1961	47.2%	39.7%
1962	47.4%	39.9%
1963	47.7%	39.9%
1964	47.8%	40%
1965	47.7%	40.1%
1966	47.7%	40.2%
1967	47.5%	40.2%
1968	47.3%	40.3%
1969	47.2%	40.3%
1970	47.2%	40.4%
1971	47.2%	40.5%
1972	47.3%	40.7%
1973	47.4%	40.9%
1974	47.5%	41.1%
1975	47.7%	41.3%
1976	47.9%	41.5%
1977	48.1%	41.8%
1978	48.3%	42%
1979	48.5%	42.2%
1980	48.7%	42.4%
1981	48.9%	42.6%
1982	49.2%	42.7%
1983	49.3%	42.8%
1984	49.4%	42.9%
1985	49.5%	43%
1986	49.4%	43%
1987	49.3%	43.1%
1988	48.7%	43.1%
1989	48.1%	43.2%
1990	47.6%	43.3%
1991	47.1%	43.4%
1992	46.6%	43.5%
1993	46.4%	43.6%
1994	47%	43.7%
1995	47.4%	43.8%
1996	46.9%	43.9%
1997	46.2%	44.2%
1998	45.3%	44.5%
1999	44.4%	44.7%
2000	43.6%	44.9%
2001	42.9%	45.3%
2002	42.3%	45.5%
2003	41.8%	45.4%
2004	41.4%	45.3%
2005	41.1%	45.3%
2006	40.8%	45.3%
2007	40.4%	45.1%
2008	39.9%	44.9%
2009	39.3%	44.7%
2010	38.8%	44.5%
2011	38.4%	44.2%
2012	38%	44%
2013	37.6%	43.8%
2014	37.2%	43.5%
2015	36.8%	43.3%
2016	36.4%	43.1%
2017	36%	42.9%
2018	35.6%	42.6%
2019	35.1%	42.4%
2020	34.7%	42.1%
2021	34.3%	41.9%
2022	34%	41.6%
2023	33.7%	41.2%
2024	33.4%	40.9%
2025	33%	40.5%
2026	32.6%	40.2%
2027	32.2%	39.8%
2028	31.8%	39.5%
2029	31.4%	39.1%
2030	31%	38.7%
2031	30.7%	38.3%
2032	30.3%	37.9%
2033	29.9%	37.5%
2034	29.5%	37%
2035	29.1%	36.6%
2036	28.7%	36.2%
2037	28.4%	35.7%
2038	28%	35.3%
2039	27.7%	34.9%
2040	27.4%	34.5%
2041	27.1%	34.1%
2042	26.8%	33.7%
2043	26.5%	33.3%
2044	26.2%	32.9%
2045	26%	32.5%
2046	25.7%	32.2%
2047	25.4%	31.8%
2048	25.1%	31.5%
2049	24.9%	31.2%
2050	24.6%	30.8%

Children aged 0-14 make up 33.4% of the population in Eswatini and 40.9% in Guinea in 2024, compared to 47.6% and 43.3% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Eswatini and Guinea compared.

Natural population change in Eswatini vs Guinea by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +1.63% in Eswatini and +2.6% in Guinea. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Eswatini	Guinea
1960	9,947	61,848
1961	10,262	63,766
1962	10,601	65,672
1963	10,929	67,690
1964	11,266	69,848
1965	11,719	72,134
1966	12,282	74,748
1967	12,773	77,251
1968	13,449	79,892
1969	14,164	82,799
1970	14,873	85,418
1971	15,615	88,358
1972	16,353	91,147
1973	17,145	93,764
1974	17,971	96,315
1975	18,849	99,267
1976	19,734	102,449
1977	20,609	105,990
1978	21,466	109,415
1979	22,299	113,141
1980	23,153	117,186
1981	23,973	121,223
1982	24,742	126,831
1983	24,883	130,629
1984	26,149	136,640
1985	26,835	142,313
1986	27,096	148,137
1987	27,285	154,178
1988	27,396	159,566
1989	28,257	164,707
1990	28,349	169,926
1991	28,497	181,299
1992	28,446	189,682
1993	28,046	195,612
1994	26,703	201,439
1995	23,029	205,644
1996	21,858	214,896
1997	20,686	220,373
1998	19,762	219,385
1999	19,420	223,968
2000	18,830	227,081
2001	17,824	227,642
2002	16,924	229,022
2003	16,396	234,774
2004	15,979	242,075
2005	15,945	251,209
2006	16,133	258,518
2007	16,595	266,070
2008	17,275	274,327
2009	17,656	281,920
2010	17,652	288,512
2011	17,645	293,318
2012	18,308	298,094
2013	18,903	304,430
2014	19,107	309,539
2015	19,223	316,604
2016	19,233	324,608
2017	19,278	328,542
2018	19,392	332,585
2019	19,488	338,984
2020	18,899	342,289
2021	17,314	345,121
2022	20,125	352,517
2023	20,147	356,147

Maternal mortality chart: Eswatini vs Guinea

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 118 deaths per 100,000 live births in Eswatini, compared to 494 deaths in Guinea.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Eswatini	Guinea
1985	580	1,248
1986	548	1,234
1987	521	1,218
1988	494	1,202
1989	505	1,188
1990	520	1,162
1991	545	1,143
1992	580	1,124
1993	609	1,094
1994	645	1,081
1995	612	1,042
1996	604	1,010
1997	550	994
1998	475	971
1999	409	960
2000	361	951
2001	307	946
2002	331	916
2003	392	892
2004	451	869
2005	529	843
2006	511	825
2007	647	802
2008	766	772
2009	855	766
2010	752	750
2011	765	728
2012	613	703
2013	491	682
2014	369	664
2015	283	642
2016	213	606
2017	151	582
2018	133	560
2019	96	548
2020	102	528
2021	219	533
2022	112	500
2023	118	494

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 4.5% in Eswatini and 9.5% in Guinea. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Eswatini	Guinea
1960	20.7%	35%
1961	20.4%	34.7%
1962	20%	34.4%
1963	19.6%	34.2%
1964	19.2%	33.9%
1965	18.8%	33.6%
1966	18.3%	33.4%
1967	17.9%	33.1%
1968	17.4%	32.8%
1969	17%	32.5%
1970	16.5%	32.2%
1971	16%	31.9%
1972	15.4%	31.6%
1973	14.9%	31.3%
1974	14.3%	30.9%
1975	13.7%	30.6%
1976	13.2%	30.1%
1977	12.6%	29.7%
1978	12%	29.2%
1979	11.5%	28.7%
1980	10.9%	28.2%
1981	10.4%	27.7%
1982	9.89%	27.2%
1983	10.4%	26.7%
1984	8.85%	26.2%
1985	8.37%	25.8%
1986	7.93%	25.3%
1987	7.54%	24.8%
1988	7.2%	24.4%
1989	6.93%	23.9%
1990	6.75%	23.3%
1991	6.72%	22.7%
1992	6.85%	22.1%
1993	7.17%	21.4%
1994	7.62%	20.7%
1995	8.12%	20%
1996	8.71%	19.3%
1997	9.3%	18.6%
1998	9.87%	17.9%
1999	10.4%	17.2%
2000	10.9%	16.5%
2001	11.3%	15.9%
2002	11.4%	15.2%
2003	11.6%	14.6%
2004	11.6%	14.1%
2005	11.6%	13.7%
2006	10.5%	13.3%
2007	10%	12.9%
2008	9.82%	12.7%
2009	9.25%	12.4%
2010	8.18%	12.2%
2011	6.81%	12%
2012	6.38%	11.8%
2013	6.16%	11.7%
2014	6.17%	11.6%
2015	5.86%	11.4%
2016	5.53%	11.2%
2017	5.43%	11%
2018	5.1%	10.8%
2019	5.16%	10.6%
2020	4.98%	10.3%
2021	4.76%	10.1%
2022	4.62%	9.78%
2023	4.5%	9.5%