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Population in Tajikistan compared to Uzbekistan: Trends, Charts, Rankings

Updated on by Georank team

The latest officially reported population of Tajikistan was 10,590,927 in 2024 vs 36,361,859 people in Uzbekistan in 2024. In 2026, based on the adjusted UN estimation, the current Tajikistan's population is 11,038,274 people compared to 37,939,105 in Uzbekistan.

Population statistics:

  • Uzbekistan's population is 3.44 times bigger than Tajikistan's.
  • Tajikistan is ranked the 88th most populous country in the world, while Uzbekistan is the 42nd.
  • The countries together account for 0.59% of the world: 0.13% for Tajikistan vs 0.46% for Uzbekistan.
  • For the last 10 years, Tajikistan has had an average growth rate of +2.33% per year vs +1.85% in Uzbekistan.
  • Since 2006, the population of Tajikistan has increased from 7.06M people to 11M (56.4% growth), while Uzbekistan has grown from 26.7M to 37.9M (42.1% growth).

Tajikistan vs Uzbekistan: population by year and forecast

Tajikistan
Factual

Projection
Uzbekistan
Factual

Projection
1x
Year Population
Tajikistan Uzbekistan
2100 20,390,053 74,950,276
2099 20,381,074 74,687,562
2098 20,367,161 74,412,253
2097 20,348,897 74,120,787
2096 20,324,869 73,822,520
2095 20,297,885 73,512,493
2094 20,265,966 73,187,441
2093 20,234,160 72,852,823
2092 20,192,937 72,509,869
2091 20,148,873 72,158,109
2090 20,103,798 71,795,130
2089 20,056,079 71,419,019
2088 20,005,521 71,037,131
2087 19,950,317 70,645,917
2086 19,895,606 70,250,312
2085 19,836,988 69,845,645
2084 19,773,272 69,430,096
2083 19,706,082 69,009,654
2082 19,639,516 68,591,369
2081 19,572,596 68,161,432
2080 19,499,390 67,729,509
2079 19,425,502 67,293,106
2078 19,347,261 66,849,622
2077 19,265,447 66,394,934
2076 19,175,355 65,946,007
2075 19,083,859 65,494,544
2074 18,988,290 65,041,409
2073 18,889,470 64,584,034
2072 18,785,103 64,126,554
2071 18,674,697 63,662,468
2070 18,559,138 63,197,548
2069 18,437,873 62,728,854
2068 18,315,011 62,256,069
2067 18,187,508 61,779,846
2066 18,054,404 61,296,688
2065 17,921,674 60,808,437
2064 17,783,801 60,310,657
2063 17,641,066 59,805,006
2062 17,498,306 59,290,829
2061 17,356,130 58,769,606
2060 17,206,922 58,237,257
2059 17,056,085 57,693,970
2058 16,903,532 57,141,935
2057 16,749,284 56,580,336
2056 16,595,691 56,012,936
2055 16,441,650 55,434,251
2054 16,285,520 54,845,302
2053 16,130,235 54,247,246
2052 15,967,770 53,641,903
2051 15,805,253 53,028,742
2050 15,638,613 52,411,754
2049 15,468,883 51,787,458
2048 15,292,499 51,159,295
2047 15,112,083 50,526,830
2046 14,928,123 49,892,416
2045 14,739,540 49,257,909
2044 14,544,544 48,629,333
2043 14,349,357 48,007,917
2042 14,147,892 47,394,130
2041 13,945,694 46,789,557
2040 13,741,587 46,197,382
2039 13,536,704 45,613,886
2038 13,331,490 45,033,877
2037 13,125,051 44,458,257
2036 12,917,110 43,884,266
2035 12,714,184 43,308,578
2034 12,515,962 42,729,398
2033 12,321,294 42,143,548
2032 12,128,060 41,549,754
2031 11,938,351 40,948,133
2030 11,749,706 40,333,867
2029 11,559,235 39,708,371
2028 11,369,414 39,074,978
2027 11,178,605 38,426,208
2026 10,986,242 37,758,494
2025 10,791,246 37,071,527
2024 10,590,927 36,361,859
2023 10,389,799 35,652,307
2022 10,182,222 34,938,955
2021 9,966,908 34,243,696
2020 9,749,310 33,586,372
2019 9,529,966 32,964,701
2018 9,307,333 32,373,490
2017 9,085,946 31,819,178
2016 8,865,631 31,284,568
2015 8,643,840 30,749,346
2014 8,425,552 30,222,994
2013 8,216,724 29,724,065
2012 8,014,084 29,261,903
2011 7,824,785 28,823,196
2010 7,652,141 28,385,506
2009 7,490,230 27,939,328
2008 7,338,403 27,494,774
2007 7,194,477 27,076,008
2006 7,057,566 26,699,043
2005 6,924,720 26,356,975
2004 6,790,547 26,029,350
2003 6,658,575 25,711,259
2002 6,531,669 25,399,980
2001 6,407,377 25,090,283
2000 6,284,735 24,787,054
1999 6,208,370 24,476,008
1998 6,176,397 24,134,929
1997 6,139,829 23,758,960
1996 6,066,523 23,351,981
1995 5,948,584 22,917,589
1994 5,825,368 22,463,291
1993 5,724,993 21,987,955
1992 5,649,400 21,485,090
1991 5,541,205 20,962,910
1990 5,398,768 20,464,956
1989 5,267,249 19,977,183
1988 5,114,989 19,460,630
1987 4,939,059 18,930,070
1986 4,772,139 18,395,621
1985 4,619,003 17,875,339
1984 4,480,026 17,378,846
1983 4,350,874 16,908,400
1982 4,227,171 16,462,736
1981 4,109,022 16,035,032
1980 3,995,256 15,619,936
1979 3,882,691 15,215,587
1978 3,768,508 14,816,349
1977 3,653,265 14,408,822
1976 3,540,076 13,998,620
1975 3,430,425 13,598,521
1974 3,324,499 13,209,011
1973 3,222,290 12,831,047
1972 3,123,691 12,465,106
1971 3,028,837 12,111,511
1970 2,936,779 11,762,638
1969 2,845,273 11,403,150
1968 2,753,848 11,032,155
1967 2,664,130 10,659,180
1966 2,577,184 10,289,294
1965 2,492,998 9,921,681
1964 2,411,260 9,557,611
1963 2,331,736 9,202,246
1962 2,255,026 8,854,368
1961 2,181,805 8,517,711
1960 2,112,131 8,209,109

Data sources: United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10); World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/population/tajikistan/uzbekistan | CC BY

From 2006 to 2016, the population of Tajikistan increased by 1,808,065 people (a 25.6% growth), while Uzbekistan gained 4,585,525 people (a 17.2% growth).

For the next 10 years, from 2016 to 2026, Tajikistan gained 2,172,643 people (a 24.5% growth), while Uzbekistan's population increased by 6,654,537 people (a 21.3% growth).

Tajikistan was ranked 98th most populous country in 2006 and is 88th in 2026. Uzbekistan was ranked 42nd in 2006 and still ranked 42nd now.

The UN's World Population Prospects forecasts that in 24 years (in 2050) Tajikistan's population will grow by 41.7% to 15,638,613 people with a rank change from 88th to 82nd. The population of Uzbekistan will increase by 38.1% to 52,411,754 people and rank change from 42nd to 39th.

Tajikistan is projected to reach its peak in 2100 at 20.4M people compared to the peak of 75M people in 2100 for Uzbekistan.

Population growth rate by year

Tajikistan
Factual

Projection
Uzbekistan
Factual

Projection
1x
Year Growth rate
Tajikistan Uzbekistan
2100 0.04% 0.35%
2099 0.07% 0.37%
2098 0.09% 0.39%
2097 0.12% 0.4%
2096 0.13% 0.42%
2095 0.16% 0.44%
2094 0.16% 0.46%
2093 0.2% 0.47%
2092 0.22% 0.49%
2091 0.22% 0.51%
2090 0.24% 0.53%
2089 0.25% 0.54%
2088 0.28% 0.55%
2087 0.27% 0.56%
2086 0.3% 0.58%
2085 0.32% 0.6%
2084 0.34% 0.61%
2083 0.34% 0.61%
2082 0.34% 0.63%
2081 0.38% 0.64%
2080 0.38% 0.65%
2079 0.4% 0.66%
2078 0.42% 0.68%
2077 0.47% 0.68%
2076 0.48% 0.69%
2075 0.5% 0.7%
2074 0.52% 0.71%
2073 0.56% 0.71%
2072 0.59% 0.73%
2071 0.62% 0.74%
2070 0.66% 0.75%
2069 0.67% 0.76%
2068 0.7% 0.77%
2067 0.74% 0.79%
2066 0.74% 0.8%
2065 0.78% 0.83%
2064 0.81% 0.85%
2063 0.82% 0.87%
2062 0.82% 0.89%
2061 0.87% 0.91%
2060 0.88% 0.94%
2059 0.9% 0.97%
2058 0.92% 0.99%
2057 0.93% 1.01%
2056 0.94% 1.04%
2055 0.96% 1.07%
2054 0.96% 1.1%
2053 1.02% 1.13%
2052 1.03% 1.16%
2051 1.07% 1.18%
2050 1.1% 1.21%
2049 1.15% 1.23%
2048 1.19% 1.25%
2047 1.23% 1.27%
2046 1.28% 1.29%
2045 1.34% 1.29%
2044 1.36% 1.29%
2043 1.42% 1.3%
2042 1.45% 1.29%
2041 1.49% 1.28%
2040 1.51% 1.28%
2039 1.54% 1.29%
2038 1.57% 1.29%
2037 1.61% 1.31%
2036 1.6% 1.33%
2035 1.58% 1.36%
2034 1.58% 1.39%
2033 1.59% 1.43%
2032 1.59% 1.47%
2031 1.61% 1.52%
2030 1.65% 1.58%
2029 1.67% 1.62%
2028 1.71% 1.69%
2027 1.75% 1.77%
2026 1.81% 1.85%
2025 1.89% 1.95%
2024 1.94% 1.99%
2023 2.04% 2.04%
2022 2.16% 2.03%
2021 2.23% 1.96%
2020 2.3% 1.89%
2019 2.39% 1.83%
2018 2.44% 1.74%
2017 2.49% 1.71%
2016 2.57% 1.74%
2015 2.59% 1.74%
2014 2.54% 1.68%
2013 2.53% 1.58%
2012 2.42% 1.52%
2011 2.26% 1.54%
2010 2.16% 1.6%
2009 2.07% 1.62%
2008 2% 1.55%
2007 1.94% 1.41%
2006 1.92% 1.3%
2005 1.98% 1.26%
2004 1.98% 1.24%
2003 1.94% 1.23%
2002 1.94% 1.23%
2001 1.95% 1.22%
2000 1.23% 1.27%
1999 0.52% 1.41%
1998 0.6% 1.58%
1997 1.21% 1.74%
1996 1.98% 1.9%
1995 2.12% 2.02%
1994 1.75% 2.16%
1993 1.34% 2.34%
1992 1.95% 2.49%
1991 2.64% 2.43%
1990 2.5% 2.44%
1989 2.98% 2.65%
1988 3.56% 2.8%
1987 3.5% 2.91%
1986 3.32% 2.91%
1985 3.1% 2.86%
1984 2.97% 2.78%
1983 2.93% 2.71%
1982 2.88% 2.67%
1981 2.85% 2.66%
1980 2.9% 2.66%
1979 3.03% 2.69%
1978 3.15% 2.83%
1977 3.2% 2.93%
1976 3.2% 2.94%
1975 3.19% 2.95%
1974 3.17% 2.95%
1973 3.16% 2.94%
1972 3.13% 2.92%
1971 3.13% 2.97%
1970 3.22% 3.15%
1969 3.32% 3.36%
1968 3.37% 3.5%
1967 3.37% 3.59%
1966 3.38% 3.71%
1965 3.39% 3.81%
1964 3.41% 3.86%
1963 3.4% 3.93%
1962 3.36% 3.95%
1961 3.3% 3.76%

Data sources: United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10); World Bank | Health (1961–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/population/tajikistan/uzbekistan | CC BY

In 2024, the population of Tajikistan grew by 1.94%, while Uzbekistan's population grew by 1.99%.

Live population counters

Tajikistan Uzbekistan
Current population
11038274
37939105
Population rank 88/197 42/197
Percent of world population 0.13% 0.46%
One net population change
2.61 minutes
44.4 seconds
One birth every
1.94 minutes
33.4 seconds
One death every
11 minutes
2.38 minutes
Daily growth/decline +551 +1,944
Annual growth/decline +201,128 +709,552
Annual growth/decline rate +1.94% +1.99%
Population growth rate rank 55/197 52/197
One migration net change every
24.4 minutes
1.26 hours
Annual migration change -21,606 -6,987
Net migration rank 152/196 123/196
Foreign-born residents 276,777 1,154,963
Foreign-born residents rank 101/195 54/195
Foreign-born share of population 2.6% 3.2%
Foreign-born share rank 124/195 114/195

Natural population change vs migration

Tajikistan
Natural

Migration
Uzbekistan
Natural

Migration
1x
Year Population change
Tajikistan Uzbekistan
Natural Migration Natural Migration
2025 - -21,606 - -6,987
2024 - -21,236 - -7,066
2023 223,828 -19,999 722,280 -6,004
2022 228,336 -17,001 715,410 -5,007
2021 222,850 -3,564 689,325 -9,205
2020 219,467 -3,564 643,750 -9,208
2019 231,817 -9,041 618,154 -9,341
2018 228,597 -6,111 585,119 -11,516
2017 224,396 -4,093 548,372 -13,352
2016 228,547 -8,210 549,045 -14,839
2015 230,903 -7,660 552,781 -16,545
2014 227,304 -13,962 536,881 -20,381
2013 220,693 -16,362 501,742 -20,380
2012 213,078 -12,132 463,333 -20,381
2011 208,429 -30,783 454,858 -20,380
2010 201,389 -33,733 461,293 -20,380
2009 192,851 -36,677 471,839 -20,378
2008 182,337 -34,855 461,665 -24,028
2007 173,200 -32,831 426,880 -27,013
2006 164,046 -30,591 383,265 -29,197
2005 160,189 -27,954 363,462 -33,386
2004 161,201 -25,082 363,994 -38,834
2003 150,391 -22,562 355,098 -44,092
2002 146,492 -20,526 359,231 -47,679
2001 142,276 -19,657 356,483 -48,642
2000 136,549 -13,871 365,138 -66,547
1999 147,622 -117,571 385,448 -61,955
1998 153,508 -119,621 408,532 -49,862
1997 149,825 -110,572 441,631 -48,360
1996 138,287 -30,922 471,010 -50,314
1995 168,934 -40,418 493,966 -45,876
1994 167,590 -49,668 502,279 -41,788
1993 157,975 -75,147 527,557 -37,377
1992 163,652 -95,280 548,793 -33,259
1991 177,585 -29,553 557,886 -29,064
1990 178,429 -41,596 540,581 -73,478
1989 179,212 -53,020 522,323 -13,888
1988 172,805 5,523 525,126 -473
1987 163,611 9,923 537,292 -824
1986 155,987 4,321 533,234 -802
1985 145,720 247 508,893 -773
1984 139,145 -7,152 485,617 -752
1983 133,280 -6,972 454,464 1,568
1982 127,838 -6,730 431,389 3,897
1981 121,418 -6,221 413,897 6,223
1980 117,888 -5,557 401,557 8,540
1979 114,496 -1,703 387,754 10,864
1978 110,564 5,006 372,068 27,783
1977 106,920 7,999 369,572 45,622
1976 103,777 7,679 363,110 42,094
1975 100,604 7,237 357,382 37,611
1974 97,481 6,531 350,422 33,600
1973 94,523 5,876 341,807 30,094
1972 91,677 5,123 333,230 26,748
1971 88,618 4,293 323,171 24,030
1970 85,645 5,559 313,216 37,324
1969 82,931 8,886 302,833 65,596
1968 80,698 10,323 295,651 77,914
1967 78,733 9,670 298,350 74,030
1966 76,702 8,796 297,844 69,537
1965 75,139 7,744 302,264 65,579
1964 74,030 6,568 298,790 61,512
1963 73,065 5,379 293,432 57,002
1962 70,700 4,270 292,788 52,532
1961 68,182 3,291 279,841 48,168
1960 65,415 2,457 267,165 22,039

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/population/tajikistan/uzbekistan | CC BY

Over the last 10 years, 96% of the population change in Tajikistan is from natural causes (a gain of 2,266,045 people) and 3.95% is from migration (a loss of 93,205 people). In Uzbekistan 98.2% is from natural causes (a gain of 6,161,117 people) and 1.84% is from migration (a loss of 115,398 people).

As of 2024, 276,777 residents or 2.6% of the population were not native-born in Tajikistan, compared to 1,154,963 people or 3.2% in Uzbekistan.

Biggest cities by population

Tajikistan
City Population
Dushanbe 948K
Khujand 199K
Qurghonteppa 127K
Istaravshan 64.3K
Konibodom 54.4K
Tursunzoda 46.7K
Panjakent 33K
Buston 29.8K
Ghafurov 18.4K
Istiklol 14.2K
Uzbekistan
City Population
Tashkent 2.96M
Namangan 626K
Andijan 548K
Samarkand 546K
Nukus 320K
Fergana 289K
Bukhara 280K
Qarshi 275K
Margilan 215K
Jizzakh 163K

Compare countries by 7 more topics

Population map with other countries

1x

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06); United Nations | World Population Prospects (1960–2026, retrieved 2026-03-10); U.S. Census Bureau (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-02-08); Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2000–2019, retrieved 2026-02-20).

GeoRank.org/population/tajikistan/uzbekistan | CC BY

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Data sources:

  1. World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-04-06)
  2. United Nations | World Population Prospects (1960–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10)
  3. U.S. Census Bureau (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-02-08)
  4. Wikidata (2026, retrieved 2026-02-08)
  5. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2000–2019, retrieved 2026-02-20)

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