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Population in Estonia compared to Poland: Trends, Charts, Rankings

Updated on by Georank team

The latest officially reported population of Estonia was 1,372,341 in 2024 vs 36,559,233 people in Poland in 2024. In 2026, based on the adjusted UN estimation, the current Estonia's population is 1,339,590 people compared to 35,806,942 in Poland.

Population statistics:

  • Poland's population is 26.7 times bigger than Estonia's.
  • Estonia is ranked the 155th most populous country in the world, while Poland is the 47th.
  • The countries together account for 0.45% of the world: 0.02% for Estonia vs 0.43% for Poland.
  • For the last 10 years, Estonia has had an average growth rate of +0.37% per year vs -0.36% in Poland.
  • Since 2006, the population of Estonia has decreased from 1.35M people to 1.34M (0.54% decline), while Poland has declined from 38.1M to 35.8M (6.12% decline).

Estonia vs Poland: population by year and forecast

Estonia
Factual

Projection
Poland
Factual

Projection
1x
Year Population
Estonia Poland
2100 831,394 18,350,017
2099 836,965 18,541,227
2098 842,414 18,733,999
2097 847,873 18,928,169
2096 853,472 19,125,003
2095 859,044 19,323,203
2094 864,547 19,525,085
2093 870,136 19,730,030
2092 875,676 19,938,529
2091 881,282 20,151,135
2090 887,028 20,368,308
2089 892,857 20,589,970
2088 898,736 20,817,398
2087 904,914 21,050,137
2086 911,254 21,288,179
2085 917,722 21,531,674
2084 924,458 21,780,998
2083 931,259 22,036,816
2082 938,110 22,298,479
2081 944,978 22,565,373
2080 952,018 22,836,875
2079 959,194 23,113,773
2078 966,496 23,393,434
2077 973,883 23,679,569
2076 981,283 23,968,050
2075 988,735 24,259,763
2074 996,352 24,554,480
2073 1,004,078 24,852,006
2072 1,011,873 25,149,886
2071 1,019,779 25,447,869
2070 1,027,821 25,745,140
2069 1,035,828 26,042,079
2068 1,043,819 26,337,963
2067 1,051,892 26,632,110
2066 1,059,940 26,923,643
2065 1,068,064 27,211,946
2064 1,076,199 27,497,263
2063 1,084,303 27,778,871
2062 1,092,418 28,055,433
2061 1,100,514 28,328,948
2060 1,108,650 28,597,687
2059 1,116,534 28,864,377
2058 1,124,375 29,125,961
2057 1,132,033 29,384,759
2056 1,139,610 29,641,101
2055 1,147,117 29,893,868
2054 1,154,317 30,142,942
2053 1,161,452 30,389,214
2052 1,168,381 30,630,763
2051 1,175,291 30,871,146
2050 1,182,029 31,107,894
2049 1,188,633 31,341,718
2048 1,194,960 31,572,273
2047 1,201,294 31,800,868
2046 1,207,577 32,026,873
2045 1,213,815 32,250,757
2044 1,220,042 32,471,522
2043 1,226,162 32,690,423
2042 1,232,282 32,906,811
2041 1,238,386 33,118,473
2040 1,244,441 33,328,426
2039 1,250,581 33,535,096
2038 1,256,780 33,738,091
2037 1,263,149 33,936,906
2036 1,269,700 34,133,190
2035 1,276,331 34,323,827
2034 1,283,159 34,511,159
2033 1,290,037 34,693,880
2032 1,297,036 34,872,593
2031 1,304,102 35,046,775
2030 1,311,189 35,213,577
2029 1,318,225 35,374,919
2028 1,325,354 35,527,083
2027 1,332,492 35,671,012
2026 1,339,590 35,806,942
2025 1,358,931 36,233,346
2024 1,372,341 36,559,233
2023 1,370,286 36,687,353
2022 1,348,840 36,821,749
2021 1,330,932 36,981,559
2020 1,329,522 37,515,748
2019 1,326,898 37,965,475
2018 1,321,977 37,974,750
2017 1,317,384 37,974,826
2016 1,315,790 37,970,087
2015 1,315,407 37,986,412
2014 1,314,545 38,011,735
2013 1,317,997 38,040,196
2012 1,322,696 38,063,164
2011 1,327,439 38,063,255
2010 1,331,475 38,042,794
2009 1,334,515 38,151,603
2008 1,337,090 38,125,759
2007 1,340,680 38,120,560
2006 1,346,810 38,141,267
2005 1,354,775 38,165,445
2004 1,362,550 38,182,222
2003 1,370,720 38,204,570
2002 1,379,350 38,230,364
2001 1,388,115 38,248,076
2000 1,396,985 38,258,629
1999 1,390,244 38,660,271
1998 1,386,156 38,663,481
1997 1,399,535 38,649,660
1996 1,415,594 38,624,370
1995 1,436,634 38,594,998
1994 1,462,514 38,542,652
1993 1,494,128 38,461,408
1992 1,533,091 38,363,667
1991 1,561,314 38,246,193
1990 1,569,174 38,110,782
1989 1,568,131 37,961,529
1988 1,561,900 37,824,487
1987 1,552,221 37,668,045
1986 1,540,190 37,456,119
1985 1,528,781 37,201,885
1984 1,518,617 36,904,134
1983 1,508,745 36,571,808
1982 1,498,414 36,230,481
1981 1,487,666 35,898,587
1980 1,477,219 35,574,150
1979 1,468,333 35,247,217
1978 1,460,188 34,965,600
1977 1,450,211 34,689,050
1976 1,439,576 34,356,300
1975 1,429,352 34,015,199
1974 1,418,169 33,678,899
1973 1,405,951 33,357,200
1972 1,392,518 33,055,650
1971 1,376,955 32,783,500
1970 1,360,076 32,664,300
1969 1,345,249 32,548,300
1968 1,331,214 32,294,655
1967 1,318,946 31,987,155
1966 1,308,597 31,681,000
1965 1,294,566 31,444,950
1964 1,277,086 31,139,450
1963 1,258,857 30,712,000
1962 1,241,623 30,308,500
1961 1,225,077 29,964,000
1960 1,211,537 29,637,450

Data sources: United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10); World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/population/estonia/poland | CC BY

From 2006 to 2016, the population of Estonia decreased by 31,020 people (a 2.3% decline), while Poland lost 171,180 people (a 0.45% decline).

For the next 10 years, from 2016 to 2026, Estonia gained 23,800 people (a 1.81% growth), while Poland's population decreased by 2,163,145 people (a 5.7% decline).

Estonia was ranked 149th most populous country in 2006 and is 155th in 2026. Poland was ranked 32nd in 2006 and ranked 47th now.

The UN's World Population Prospects forecasts that in 24 years (in 2050) Estonia's population will shrink by 11.8% to 1,182,029 people with a rank change from 155th to 159th. The population of Poland will decrease by 13.1% to 31,107,894 people and rank change from 47th to 62nd.

Both countries are in a period of decline and in 50 years are projected to lose 26.7% of the population in Estonia and 33.1% in Poland.

Population growth rate by year

Estonia
Factual

Projection
Poland
Factual

Projection
1x
Year Growth rate
Estonia Poland
2100 -0.67% -1.03%
2099 -0.65% -1.03%
2098 -0.64% -1.03%
2097 -0.66% -1.03%
2096 -0.65% -1.03%
2095 -0.64% -1.03%
2094 -0.64% -1.04%
2093 -0.63% -1.05%
2092 -0.64% -1.06%
2091 -0.65% -1.07%
2090 -0.65% -1.08%
2089 -0.65% -1.09%
2088 -0.68% -1.11%
2087 -0.7% -1.12%
2086 -0.7% -1.13%
2085 -0.73% -1.14%
2084 -0.73% -1.16%
2083 -0.73% -1.17%
2082 -0.73% -1.18%
2081 -0.74% -1.19%
2080 -0.75% -1.2%
2079 -0.76% -1.2%
2078 -0.76% -1.21%
2077 -0.75% -1.2%
2076 -0.75% -1.2%
2075 -0.76% -1.2%
2074 -0.77% -1.2%
2073 -0.77% -1.18%
2072 -0.78% -1.17%
2071 -0.78% -1.15%
2070 -0.77% -1.14%
2069 -0.77% -1.12%
2068 -0.77% -1.1%
2067 -0.76% -1.08%
2066 -0.76% -1.06%
2065 -0.76% -1.04%
2064 -0.75% -1.01%
2063 -0.74% -0.99%
2062 -0.74% -0.97%
2061 -0.73% -0.94%
2060 -0.71% -0.92%
2059 -0.7% -0.9%
2058 -0.68% -0.88%
2057 -0.66% -0.86%
2056 -0.65% -0.85%
2055 -0.62% -0.83%
2054 -0.61% -0.81%
2053 -0.59% -0.79%
2052 -0.59% -0.78%
2051 -0.57% -0.76%
2050 -0.56% -0.75%
2049 -0.53% -0.73%
2048 -0.53% -0.72%
2047 -0.52% -0.71%
2046 -0.51% -0.69%
2045 -0.51% -0.68%
2044 -0.5% -0.67%
2043 -0.5% -0.66%
2042 -0.49% -0.64%
2041 -0.49% -0.63%
2040 -0.49% -0.62%
2039 -0.49% -0.6%
2038 -0.5% -0.59%
2037 -0.52% -0.58%
2036 -0.52% -0.56%
2035 -0.53% -0.54%
2034 -0.53% -0.53%
2033 -0.54% -0.51%
2032 -0.54% -0.5%
2031 -0.54% -0.47%
2030 -0.53% -0.46%
2029 -0.54% -0.43%
2028 -0.54% -0.4%
2027 -0.53% -0.38%
2026 -1.42% -1.18%
2025 -0.98% -0.89%
2024 0.15% -0.35%
2023 1.59% -0.36%
2022 1.35% -0.43%
2021 0.11% -1.42%
2020 0.2% -1.18%
2019 0.37% -0.02%
2018 0.35% -0%
2017 0.12% 0.01%
2016 0.03% -0.04%
2015 0.07% -0.07%
2014 -0.26% -0.07%
2013 -0.36% -0.06%
2012 -0.36% -0%
2011 -0.3% 0.05%
2010 -0.23% -0.29%
2009 -0.19% 0.07%
2008 -0.27% 0.01%
2007 -0.46% -0.05%
2006 -0.59% -0.06%
2005 -0.57% -0.04%
2004 -0.6% -0.06%
2003 -0.63% -0.07%
2002 -0.63% -0.05%
2001 -0.63% -0.03%
2000 0.48% -1.04%
1999 0.29% -0.008%
1998 -0.96% 0.04%
1997 -1.13% 0.07%
1996 -1.46% 0.08%
1995 -1.77% 0.14%
1994 -2.12% 0.21%
1993 -2.54% 0.25%
1992 -1.81% 0.31%
1991 -0.5% 0.36%
1990 0.07% 0.39%
1989 0.4% 0.36%
1988 0.62% 0.42%
1987 0.78% 0.57%
1986 0.75% 0.68%
1985 0.67% 0.81%
1984 0.65% 0.91%
1983 0.69% 0.94%
1982 0.72% 0.92%
1981 0.71% 0.91%
1980 0.61% 0.93%
1979 0.56% 0.81%
1978 0.69% 0.8%
1977 0.74% 0.97%
1976 0.72% 1%
1975 0.79% 1%
1974 0.87% 0.96%
1973 0.96% 0.91%
1972 1.13% 0.83%
1971 1.24% 0.36%
1970 1.1% 0.36%
1969 1.05% 0.79%
1968 0.93% 0.96%
1967 0.79% 0.97%
1966 1.08% 0.75%
1965 1.37% 0.98%
1964 1.45% 1.39%
1963 1.39% 1.33%
1962 1.35% 1.15%
1961 1.12% 1.1%

Data sources: United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10); World Bank | Health (1961–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/population/estonia/poland | CC BY

In 2024, the population of Estonia grew by 0.15%, while Poland's population declined by 0.35%.

Live population counters

Estonia Poland
Current population
1339590
35806942
Population rank 155/197 47/197
Percent of world population 0.02% 0.43%
One net population change
4.26 hours
4.1 minutes
One birth every
47.9 minutes
1.94 minutes
One death every
32.8 minutes
1.29 minutes
Daily growth/decline +6 -351
Annual growth/decline +2,055 -128,120
Annual growth/decline rate +0.15% -0.35%
Population growth rate rank 158/197 181/197
One migration net change every
39.5 minutes
1.59 minutes
Annual migration change -13,350 -330,820
Net migration rank 141/196 191/196
Foreign-born residents 203,046 1,739,901
Foreign-born residents rank 110/195 41/195
Foreign-born share of population 14.9% 4.5%
Foreign-born share rank 43/195 97/195

Natural population change vs migration

Estonia
Natural

Migration
Poland
Natural

Migration
1x
Year Population change
Estonia Poland
Natural Migration Natural Migration
2025 - -13,350 - -330,820
2024 - -7,742 - -238,062
2023 -5,070 5,717 -135,743 -7,824
2022 -5,665 39,754 -143,605 967,744
2021 -5,324 7,043 -184,907 2,251
2020 -2,659 3,694 -120,050 3,920
2019 -1,327 5,386 -34,169 7,696
2018 -1,322 7,089 -26,582 -223
2017 -1,713 5,202 0 -21,535
2016 -1,316 1,081 -3,797 -5,675
2015 -1,315 4,261 -26,590 3,887
2014 -1,972 -674 0 5,525
2013 -1,713 -2,688 -19,020 12,402
2012 -1,455 -3,674 0 4,635
2011 -531 -3,941 11,419 45,951
2010 0 -3,781 38,043 119,623
2009 -400 -2,089 30,521 -8,283
2008 -668 -2,034 34,313 -42,288
2007 -1,608 -2,941 11,436 -51,235
2006 -2,559 -5,351 3,814 -68,882
2005 -2,981 -5,208 -3,817 -41,942
2004 -3,679 -3,681 -7,637 -38,216
2003 -5,072 -3,705 -15,281 -19,039
2002 -5,380 -2,889 -3,823 -16,462
2001 -5,830 -3,280 3,825 -16,648
2000 -5,309 -3,083 11,478 -15,921
1999 -6,117 1,419 0 -53,035
1998 -7,208 -3,296 19,332 -39,509
1997 -6,018 -4,066 34,785 -44,230
1996 -5,662 -10,540 42,487 -45,349
1995 -7,327 -12,655 46,314 -52,989
1994 -8,044 -17,984 96,357 -41,845
1993 -5,976 -25,501 103,846 -48,805
1992 -1,993 -38,391 118,928 -46,893
1991 -312 -9,712 141,511 -55,342
1990 2,825 -2,660 160,066 -50,339
1989 5,803 -368 182,215 -49,192
1988 6,404 5,256 215,599 -101,671
1987 6,829 5,389 226,008 -32,310
1986 6,160 5,260 258,448 -22,520
1985 4,281 5,097 297,615 -27,277
1984 5,163 5,006 332,137 -18,402
1983 5,884 4,986 373,032 -26,724
1982 5,244 4,832 369,551 -34,980
1981 4,612 4,789 351,806 -16,155
1980 3,989 4,619 348,627 -42,420
1979 3,818 4,521 366,571 -22,162
1978 4,088 7,234 339,166 -62,936
1977 4,931 7,189 353,828 -33,496
1976 4,319 6,942 367,612 -25,716
1975 4,717 6,737 350,356 -31,346
1974 5,956 6,594 346,893 -18,273
1973 5,623 6,488 320,229 -29,335
1972 6,267 6,432 314,028 -15,004
1971 7,160 6,392 278,660 -31,767
1970 6,257 6,158 280,913 -66,859
1969 5,515 8,650 270,151 -26,744
1968 5,592 9,403 280,963 -11,905
1967 5,012 9,115 275,089 -25,479
1966 4,842 8,998 297,801 -17,158
1965 5,437 8,851 314,450 -21,658
1964 6,897 8,734 326,965 -23,273
1963 6,043 8,410 359,330 -13,770
1962 6,457 8,248 360,671 -31,021
1961 7,228 7,991 398,521 -20,044
1960 7,511 7,762 444,562 -6,306

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/population/estonia/poland | CC BY

Over the last 10 years, 26.1% of the population change in Estonia is from natural causes (a loss of 27,683 people) and 73.9% is from migration (a gain of 78,553 people). In Poland 41.4% is from natural causes (a loss of 675,443 people) and 58.6% is from migration (a gain of 955,766 people).

As of 2024, 203,046 residents or 14.9% of the population were not native-born in Estonia, compared to 1,739,901 people or 4.5% in Poland.

Biggest cities by population

Estonia
City Population
Tallinn 458K
Tartu 97.8K
Narva 53.4K
Parnu 41.5K
Kohtla-Jarve 33.4K
Viljandi 17.3K
Maardu 17K
Rakvere 15.7K
Kuressaare 13.2K
Sillamae 12.4K
Poland
City Population
Warsaw 1.86M
Krakow 804K
Wroclaw 674K
Lodz 649K
Poznan 547K
Gdansk 488K
Szczecin 388K
Lublin 335K
Bydgoszcz 325K
Bialystok 290K

Compare countries by 7 more topics

Population map with other countries

1x

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06); United Nations | World Population Prospects (1960–2026, retrieved 2026-03-10); U.S. Census Bureau (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-02-08); Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2000–2019, retrieved 2026-02-20).

GeoRank.org/population/estonia/poland | CC BY

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Data sources:

  1. World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-04-06)
  2. United Nations | World Population Prospects (1960–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10)
  3. U.S. Census Bureau (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-02-08)
  4. Wikidata (2026, retrieved 2026-02-08)
  5. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2000–2019, retrieved 2026-02-20)

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