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Population in Estonia compared to South Africa: Trends, Charts, Rankings

Updated on by Georank

The latest officially reported population of Estonia was 1,366,475 in 2025 vs 64,747,319 people in South Africa in 2025. In 2026, based on the adjusted UN estimation, the current Estonia's population is 1,347,027 people compared to 65,829,368 in South Africa.

Population statistics:

  • South Africa's population is 48.9 times bigger than Estonia's.
  • Estonia is ranked the 155th most populous country in the world, while South Africa is the 24th.
  • The countries together account for 0.81% of the world: 0.02% for Estonia vs 0.79% for South Africa.
  • For the last 10 years, Estonia has had an average growth rate of +0.35% per year vs +1.4% in South Africa.
  • Since 2006, the population of Estonia has increased from 1.35M people to 1.35M (0.02% growth), while South Africa has grown from 50M to 65.8M (31.7% growth).

Estonia vs South Africa: population by year and forecast

Estonia
Factual

Projection
South Africa
Factual

Projection
1x
Year Population
Estonia South Africa
2100 836,010 94,734,082
2099 841,611 94,523,360
2098 847,091 94,316,049
2097 852,580 94,125,043
2096 858,210 93,927,246
2095 863,813 93,719,451
2094 869,346 93,494,697
2093 874,966 93,267,274
2092 880,538 93,041,793
2091 886,175 92,793,249
2090 891,952 92,561,159
2089 897,814 92,322,396
2088 903,726 92,080,212
2087 909,938 91,833,409
2086 916,313 91,581,639
2085 922,817 91,352,906
2084 929,590 91,106,961
2083 936,429 90,845,161
2082 943,318 90,583,188
2081 950,224 90,313,417
2080 957,303 90,039,857
2079 964,518 89,770,116
2078 971,861 89,494,440
2077 979,290 89,217,520
2076 986,730 88,954,522
2075 994,224 88,681,719
2074 1,001,883 88,397,221
2073 1,009,652 88,118,589
2072 1,017,490 87,835,051
2071 1,025,441 87,509,098
2070 1,033,527 87,178,463
2069 1,041,579 86,870,660
2068 1,049,614 86,558,000
2067 1,057,732 86,237,764
2066 1,065,824 85,904,801
2065 1,073,994 85,573,984
2064 1,082,173 85,214,686
2063 1,090,322 84,845,370
2062 1,098,483 84,473,236
2061 1,106,624 84,103,016
2060 1,114,804 83,719,266
2059 1,122,732 83,325,330
2058 1,130,617 82,918,226
2057 1,138,317 82,508,742
2056 1,145,937 82,098,320
2055 1,153,485 81,669,191
2054 1,160,725 81,227,019
2053 1,167,900 80,789,939
2052 1,174,867 80,338,877
2051 1,181,816 79,858,310
2050 1,188,591 79,383,784
2049 1,195,231 78,897,472
2048 1,201,594 78,409,829
2047 1,207,963 77,894,547
2046 1,214,281 77,369,819
2045 1,220,553 76,852,544
2044 1,226,815 76,330,046
2043 1,232,969 75,800,788
2042 1,239,123 75,264,885
2041 1,245,261 74,721,871
2040 1,251,349 74,179,185
2039 1,257,523 73,636,894
2038 1,263,757 73,079,976
2037 1,270,161 72,506,991
2036 1,276,749 71,930,701
2035 1,283,416 71,337,219
2034 1,290,282 70,737,692
2033 1,297,198 70,128,299
2032 1,304,236 69,502,726
2031 1,311,342 68,865,544
2030 1,318,468 68,221,143
2029 1,325,543 67,549,189
2028 1,332,712 66,860,631
2027 1,339,889 66,166,759
2026 1,347,027 65,473,024
2025 1,366,475 64,747,319
2024 1,372,341 64,007,187
2023 1,370,286 63,212,384
2022 1,348,840 62,378,410
2021 1,330,932 61,502,603
2020 1,329,522 60,562,381
2019 1,326,898 59,587,885
2018 1,321,977 58,613,001
2017 1,317,384 57,635,162
2016 1,315,790 57,259,551
2015 1,315,407 56,723,537
2014 1,314,545 55,594,838
2013 1,317,997 54,678,791
2012 1,322,696 53,782,567
2011 1,327,439 52,995,205
2010 1,331,475 52,344,051
2009 1,334,515 51,728,516
2008 1,337,090 51,114,599
2007 1,340,680 50,528,584
2006 1,346,810 49,998,277
2005 1,354,775 49,490,033
2004 1,362,550 48,991,421
2003 1,370,720 48,500,348
2002 1,379,350 48,019,415
2001 1,388,115 47,566,800
2000 1,396,985 47,159,719
1999 1,390,244 46,730,335
1998 1,386,156 46,223,880
1997 1,399,535 45,666,838
1996 1,415,594 45,123,018
1995 1,436,634 44,541,554
1994 1,462,514 44,004,139
1993 1,494,128 43,297,156
1992 1,533,091 42,443,509
1991 1,561,314 41,687,898
1990 1,569,174 40,746,268
1989 1,568,131 39,628,575
1988 1,561,900 38,480,649
1987 1,552,221 37,326,190
1986 1,540,190 36,180,515
1985 1,528,781 35,042,093
1984 1,518,617 33,892,788
1983 1,508,745 32,739,304
1982 1,498,414 31,615,339
1981 1,487,666 30,541,044
1980 1,477,219 29,518,857
1979 1,468,333 28,634,162
1978 1,460,188 27,869,507
1977 1,450,211 27,118,952
1976 1,439,576 26,395,450
1975 1,429,352 25,690,940
1974 1,418,169 24,989,108
1973 1,405,951 24,294,263
1972 1,392,518 23,609,456
1971 1,376,955 22,942,143
1970 1,360,076 22,279,984
1969 1,345,249 21,614,676
1968 1,331,214 20,957,287
1967 1,318,946 20,314,066
1966 1,308,597 19,690,087
1965 1,294,566 19,089,380
1964 1,277,086 18,511,361
1963 1,258,857 17,954,564
1962 1,241,623 17,418,522
1961 1,225,077 16,908,035
1960 1,211,537 16,440,172

Data sources: United Nations | World Population Prospects (2026–2100, retrieved 2026-07-08); World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08).

GeoRank.org/population/estonia/south-africa | CC BY

From 2006 to 2016, the population of Estonia decreased by 31,020 people (a 2.3% decline), while South Africa gained 7,261,274 people (a 14.5% growth).

For the next 10 years, from 2016 to 2026, Estonia gained 31,237 people (a 2.37% growth), while South Africa's population increased by 8,569,817 people (a 15% growth).

Estonia was ranked 149th most populous country in 2006 and is 155th in 2026. South Africa was ranked 24th in 2006 and still ranked 24th now.

The UN's World Population Prospects forecasts that in 24 years (in 2050) Estonia's population will shrink by 11.8% to 1,188,591 people with a rank change from 155th to 159th. The population of South Africa will increase by 20.6% to 79,383,784 people and rank change from 24th to 23rd.

South Africa is projected to reach its peak in 2100 at 94.7M people, while Estonia's population already peaked in 1990 at 1.57M people and is projected to decrease to 836K people by 2100.

Population growth rate by year

Estonia
Factual

Projection
South Africa
Factual

Projection
1x
Year Growth rate
Estonia South Africa
2100 -0.67% 0.22%
2099 -0.65% 0.22%
2098 -0.64% 0.2%
2097 -0.66% 0.21%
2096 -0.65% 0.22%
2095 -0.64% 0.24%
2094 -0.64% 0.24%
2093 -0.63% 0.24%
2092 -0.64% 0.27%
2091 -0.65% 0.25%
2090 -0.65% 0.26%
2089 -0.65% 0.26%
2088 -0.68% 0.27%
2087 -0.7% 0.27%
2086 -0.7% 0.25%
2085 -0.73% 0.27%
2084 -0.73% 0.29%
2083 -0.73% 0.29%
2082 -0.73% 0.3%
2081 -0.74% 0.3%
2080 -0.75% 0.3%
2079 -0.76% 0.31%
2078 -0.76% 0.31%
2077 -0.75% 0.3%
2076 -0.75% 0.31%
2075 -0.76% 0.32%
2074 -0.77% 0.32%
2073 -0.77% 0.32%
2072 -0.78% 0.37%
2071 -0.78% 0.38%
2070 -0.77% 0.35%
2069 -0.77% 0.36%
2068 -0.77% 0.37%
2067 -0.76% 0.39%
2066 -0.76% 0.39%
2065 -0.76% 0.42%
2064 -0.75% 0.44%
2063 -0.74% 0.44%
2062 -0.74% 0.44%
2061 -0.73% 0.46%
2060 -0.71% 0.47%
2059 -0.7% 0.49%
2058 -0.68% 0.5%
2057 -0.66% 0.5%
2056 -0.65% 0.53%
2055 -0.62% 0.54%
2054 -0.61% 0.54%
2053 -0.59% 0.56%
2052 -0.59% 0.6%
2051 -0.57% 0.6%
2050 -0.56% 0.62%
2049 -0.53% 0.62%
2048 -0.53% 0.66%
2047 -0.52% 0.68%
2046 -0.51% 0.67%
2045 -0.51% 0.68%
2044 -0.5% 0.7%
2043 -0.5% 0.71%
2042 -0.49% 0.73%
2041 -0.49% 0.73%
2040 -0.49% 0.74%
2039 -0.49% 0.76%
2038 -0.5% 0.79%
2037 -0.52% 0.8%
2036 -0.52% 0.83%
2035 -0.53% 0.85%
2034 -0.53% 0.87%
2033 -0.54% 0.9%
2032 -0.54% 0.93%
2031 -0.54% 0.94%
2030 -0.53% 0.99%
2029 -0.54% 1.03%
2028 -0.54% 1.05%
2027 -0.53% 1.06%
2026 -1.42% 1.12%
2025 -0.43% 1.16%
2024 0.15% 1.26%
2023 1.59% 1.34%
2022 1.35% 1.42%
2021 0.11% 1.55%
2020 0.2% 1.64%
2019 0.37% 1.66%
2018 0.35% 1.7%
2017 0.12% 0.66%
2016 0.03% 0.94%
2015 0.07% 2.03%
2014 -0.26% 1.68%
2013 -0.36% 1.67%
2012 -0.36% 1.49%
2011 -0.3% 1.24%
2010 -0.23% 1.19%
2009 -0.19% 1.2%
2008 -0.27% 1.16%
2007 -0.46% 1.06%
2006 -0.59% 1.03%
2005 -0.57% 1.02%
2004 -0.6% 1.01%
2003 -0.63% 1%
2002 -0.63% 0.95%
2001 -0.63% 0.86%
2000 0.48% 0.92%
1999 0.29% 1.1%
1998 -0.96% 1.22%
1997 -1.13% 1.21%
1996 -1.46% 1.31%
1995 -1.77% 1.22%
1994 -2.12% 1.63%
1993 -2.54% 2.01%
1992 -1.81% 1.81%
1991 -0.5% 2.31%
1990 0.07% 2.82%
1989 0.4% 2.98%
1988 0.62% 3.09%
1987 0.78% 3.17%
1986 0.75% 3.25%
1985 0.67% 3.39%
1984 0.65% 3.52%
1983 0.69% 3.56%
1982 0.72% 3.52%
1981 0.71% 3.46%
1980 0.61% 3.09%
1979 0.56% 2.74%
1978 0.69% 2.77%
1977 0.74% 2.74%
1976 0.72% 2.74%
1975 0.79% 2.81%
1974 0.87% 2.86%
1973 0.96% 2.9%
1972 1.13% 2.91%
1971 1.24% 2.97%
1970 1.1% 3.08%
1969 1.05% 3.14%
1968 0.93% 3.17%
1967 0.79% 3.17%
1966 1.08% 3.15%
1965 1.37% 3.12%
1964 1.45% 3.1%
1963 1.39% 3.08%
1962 1.35% 3.02%
1961 1.12% 2.85%

Data sources: United Nations | World Population Prospects (2026–2100, retrieved 2026-07-08); World Bank | Health (1961–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08).

GeoRank.org/population/estonia/south-africa | CC BY

In 2025, the population of Estonia declined by 0.43%, while South Africa's population grew by 1.16%.

Live population counters

Estonia South Africa
Current population
1347027
65829368
Population rank 155/197 24/197
Percent of world population 0.02% 0.79%
One net population change
1.5 hours
42.7 seconds
One birth every
53.9 minutes
26.7 seconds
One death every
33.3 minutes
53.3 seconds
Daily growth/decline -16 +2,028
Annual growth/decline -5,866 +740,132
Annual growth/decline rate -0.43% +1.16%
Population growth rate rank 182/197 91/197
One migration net change every
39.5 minutes
3.6 minutes
Annual migration change -13,350 +146,370
Net migration rank 141/196 9/196
Foreign-born residents 203,046 2,631,100
Foreign-born residents rank 110/195 28/195
Foreign-born share of population 14.9% 4.1%
Foreign-born share rank 43/195 105/195

Natural population change vs migration

Estonia
Natural

Migration
South Africa
Natural

Migration
1x
Year Population change
Estonia South Africa
Natural Migration Natural Migration
2025 - -13,350 - 146,370
2024 -6,038 -7,742 591,618 166,972
2023 -5,070 5,717 602,793 228,222
2022 -5,665 39,754 603,636 233,284
2021 -5,324 7,043 456,411 458,246
2020 -2,659 3,694 595,873 369,901
2019 -1,327 5,386 652,130 331,124
2018 -1,322 7,089 648,319 318,260
2017 -1,713 5,202 645,975 343,146
2016 -1,316 1,081 641,365 -879,235
2015 -1,315 4,261 668,771 641,150
2014 -1,972 -674 674,754 272,697
2013 -1,713 -2,688 652,427 232,230
2012 -1,455 -3,674 643,723 264,091
2011 -531 -3,941 601,708 65,166
2010 0 -3,781 566,834 68,563
2009 -400 -2,089 554,115 41,528
2008 -668 -2,034 595,332 36,869
2007 -1,608 -2,941 503,567 36,339
2006 -2,559 -5,351 487,584 33,159
2005 -2,981 -5,208 464,464 31,286
2004 -3,679 -3,681 442,540 58,924
2003 -5,072 -3,705 415,018 65,604
2002 -5,380 -2,889 430,926 50,313
2001 -5,830 -3,280 484,801 -60,793
2000 -5,309 -3,083 526,963 -136,794
1999 -6,117 1,419 594,643 -126,011
1998 -7,208 -3,296 627,027 -82,722
1997 -6,018 -4,066 667,969 -98,181
1996 -5,662 -10,540 710,868 -193,007
1995 -7,327 -12,655 743,488 -98,403
1994 -8,044 -17,984 698,609 -268,849
1993 -5,976 -25,501 789,220 194,977
1992 -1,993 -38,391 794,415 -71,342
1991 -312 -9,712 827,296 -39,131
1990 2,825 -2,660 835,421 259,718
1989 5,803 -368 884,629 255,605
1988 6,404 5,256 909,221 246,382
1987 6,829 5,389 922,330 231,009
1986 6,160 5,260 903,644 234,378
1985 4,281 5,097 893,889 244,940
1984 5,163 5,006 869,011 290,789
1983 5,884 4,986 837,013 310,172
1982 5,244 4,832 807,550 293,195
1981 4,612 4,789 767,833 279,985
1980 3,989 4,619 738,415 258,127
1979 3,818 4,521 716,541 56,323
1978 4,088 7,234 694,341 62,121
1977 4,931 7,189 680,929 63,739
1976 4,319 6,942 675,011 27,333
1975 4,717 6,737 667,862 38,809
1974 5,956 6,594 658,438 38,518
1973 5,623 6,488 651,596 41,125
1972 6,267 6,432 638,754 38,163
1971 7,160 6,392 624,761 32,961
1970 6,257 6,158 605,102 61,514
1969 5,515 8,650 590,794 73,225
1968 5,592 9,403 571,841 78,932
1967 5,012 9,115 553,741 81,932
1966 4,842 8,998 534,862 77,417
1965 5,437 8,851 506,632 82,514
1964 6,897 8,734 490,606 76,298
1963 6,043 8,410 473,821 72,844
1962 6,457 8,248 455,634 69,771
1961 7,228 7,991 437,851 57,728
1960 7,511 7,762 421,263 18,891

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08).

GeoRank.org/population/estonia/south-africa | CC BY

Over the last 10 years, 30.8% of the population change in Estonia is from natural causes (a loss of 31,749 people) and 69.2% is from migration (a gain of 71,485 people). In South Africa 73.4% is from natural causes (a gain of 6,106,891 people) and 26.6% is from migration (a gain of 2,211,070 people).

As of 2024, 203,046 residents or 14.9% of the population were not native-born in Estonia, compared to 2,631,100 people or 4.1% in South Africa.

Biggest cities by population

Estonia
City Population
Tallinn 458K
Tartu 97.8K
Narva 53.4K
Parnu 41.5K
Kohtla-Jarve 33.4K
Viljandi 17.3K
Maardu 17K
Rakvere 15.7K
Kuressaare 13.2K
Sillamae 12.4K
South Africa
City Population
Johannesburg 4.8M
Cape Town 3.78M
Soweto 1.27M
Pretoria 742K
Pietermaritzburg 619K
Durban 595K
Rustenburg 550K
Randburg 337K
Port Elizabeth 312K
East London 267K

Compare countries by 7 more topics

Population map with other countries

1x

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08); United Nations | World Population Prospects (1960–2026, retrieved 2026-07-08); U.S. Census Bureau (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08); Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2000–2019, retrieved 2026-07-08).

GeoRank.org/population/estonia/south-africa | CC BY

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Data sources:

  1. World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08)
  2. United Nations | World Population Prospects (1960–2100, retrieved 2026-07-08)
  3. U.S. Census Bureau (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08)
  4. Wikidata (2026, retrieved 2026-07-08)
  5. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2000–2019, retrieved 2026-07-08)

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