Fertility & birth rates in Mexico and United States

Fertility rate in Mexico vs United States chart

According to the latest available data on birth rates, the fertility rate in Mexico was 1.91 children per woman in 2023, compared to 1.62 in the United States in 2023. The replacement level is considered to be 2.1 children per woman.

Check Mexico vs the United States population clock for a dynamic visualization of the changing population.

The chart below showcases historical changes in the birth rates.

Table

Year	Fertility rate
	Mexico	United States
1960	6.76	3.65
1961	6.78	3.62
1962	6.8	3.46
1963	6.82	3.32
1964	6.83	3.19
1965	6.82	2.91
1966	6.79	2.72
1967	6.75	2.56
1968	6.71	2.46
1969	6.63	2.46
1970	6.53	2.48
1971	6.42	2.27
1972	6.28	2.01
1973	6.12	1.88
1974	5.95	1.84
1975	5.74	1.77
1976	5.54	1.74
1977	5.36	1.79
1978	5.2	1.76
1979	4.96	1.81
1980	4.74	1.84
1981	4.57	1.81
1982	4.43	1.83
1983	4.3	1.8
1984	4.18	1.81
1985	4.09	1.84
1986	3.97	1.84
1987	3.8	1.87
1988	3.64	1.93
1989	3.53	2.01
1990	3.44	2.08
1991	3.36	2.06
1992	3.29	2.05
1993	3.21	2.02
1994	3.13	2
1995	3.04	1.98
1996	2.96	1.98
1997	2.89	1.97
1998	2.82	2
1999	2.76	2.01
2000	2.71	2.06
2001	2.67	2.03
2002	2.63	2.02
2003	2.58	2.05
2004	2.54	2.05
2005	2.5	2.06
2006	2.46	2.11
2007	2.42	2.12
2008	2.39	2.07
2009	2.36	2
2010	2.34	1.93
2011	2.32	1.89
2012	2.29	1.88
2013	2.27	1.86
2014	2.21	1.86
2015	2.14	1.84
2016	2.09	1.82
2017	2.04	1.77
2018	2.03	1.73
2019	2.02	1.71
2020	1.99	1.64
2021	1.97	1.66
2022	1.94	1.66
2023	1.91	1.62
2024	1.89	1.62
2025	1.87	1.62
2026	1.85	1.62
2027	1.83	1.62
2028	1.82	1.62
2029	1.81	1.62
2030	1.79	1.62
2031	1.78	1.62
2032	1.77	1.62
2033	1.77	1.63
2034	1.76	1.62
2035	1.76	1.63
2036	1.75	1.63
2037	1.75	1.63
2038	1.74	1.63
2039	1.74	1.63
2040	1.73	1.63
2041	1.73	1.63
2042	1.72	1.63
2043	1.72	1.63
2044	1.72	1.63
2045	1.71	1.64
2046	1.71	1.64
2047	1.71	1.63
2048	1.7	1.64
2049	1.7	1.63
2050	1.7	1.64

Children 0-14 years as share of population

Table

Year	Share of people 0-14 years old
	Mexico	United States
1960	46.8%	31.3%
1961	47%	31.4%
1962	47.1%	31.3%
1963	47.2%	31.1%
1964	47.3%	30.9%
1965	47.4%	30.7%
1966	47.5%	30.4%
1967	47.6%	30%
1968	47.6%	29.5%
1969	47.7%	29%
1970	47.7%	28.6%
1971	47.8%	28%
1972	47.7%	27.4%
1973	47.7%	26.6%
1974	47.6%	25.9%
1975	47.5%	25.2%
1976	47.2%	24.4%
1977	47%	23.8%
1978	46.7%	23.2%
1979	46.3%	22.8%
1980	45.8%	22.4%
1981	45.2%	22.1%
1982	44.4%	22%
1983	43.7%	21.8%
1984	43%	21.7%
1985	42.3%	21.5%
1986	41.6%	21.3%
1987	41%	21.3%
1988	40.3%	21.3%
1989	39.7%	21.5%
1990	39%	21.6%
1991	38.4%	21.7%
1992	37.8%	21.8%
1993	37.3%	21.9%
1994	36.9%	21.9%
1995	36.5%	21.8%
1996	36%	21.7%
1997	35.6%	21.5%
1998	35.2%	21.4%
1999	34.8%	21.3%
2000	34.3%	21.2%
2001	33.9%	21%
2002	33.4%	20.9%
2003	33%	20.7%
2004	32.5%	20.5%
2005	32.1%	20.3%
2006	31.6%	20.2%
2007	31.1%	20%
2008	30.6%	19.9%
2009	30.2%	19.8%
2010	29.8%	19.7%
2011	29.4%	19.6%
2012	29%	19.5%
2013	28.7%	19.4%
2014	28.3%	19.3%
2015	28%	19.2%
2016	27.6%	19.1%
2017	27.2%	18.9%
2018	26.7%	18.8%
2019	26.3%	18.6%
2020	26%	18.4%
2021	25.7%	18.1%
2022	25.3%	17.9%
2023	24.9%	17.6%
2024	24.5%	17.3%
2025	24.1%	17.1%
2026	23.7%	16.9%
2027	23.2%	16.7%
2028	22.8%	16.6%
2029	22.4%	16.4%
2030	22.1%	16.3%
2031	21.7%	16.1%
2032	21.4%	16%
2033	21.2%	16%
2034	20.9%	15.9%
2035	20.6%	15.9%
2036	20.3%	15.9%
2037	20.1%	15.9%
2038	19.9%	15.9%
2039	19.6%	15.9%
2040	19.4%	15.9%
2041	19.2%	16%
2042	19%	16%
2043	18.8%	16%
2044	18.6%	16%
2045	18.4%	16%
2046	18.2%	16%
2047	18%	16%
2048	17.8%	16%
2049	17.7%	15.9%
2050	17.5%	15.9%

Children aged 0-14 make up 24.5% of the population in Mexico and 17.3% in the United States in 2024, compared to 39% and 21.6% respectively in 1990.

Demographics of Mexico and the United States compared.

Natural population change in Mexico vs United States by year

For the past 10 years, the annual natural population change (excluding migration) has been +1.05% in Mexico and +0.25% in the United States. The chart below illustrates the comparison of the absolute yearly changes resulting from births and deaths.

Table

Year	Population change due to births and deaths
	Mexico	United States
1960	1,206,955	2,565,530
1961	1,265,833	2,571,681
1962	1,328,319	2,406,337
1963	1,387,678	2,289,826
1964	1,447,360	2,245,099
1965	1,508,344	1,943,030
1966	1,566,170	1,749,387
1967	1,620,534	1,669,181
1968	1,671,918	1,565,507
1969	1,711,297	1,702,487
1970	1,753,370	1,824,965
1971	1,790,990	1,640,519
1972	1,823,302	1,301,355
1973	1,845,593	1,165,499
1974	1,868,809	1,218,968
1975	1,880,241	1,252,644
1976	1,891,958	1,264,604
1977	1,902,964	1,431,556
1978	1,921,419	1,402,283
1979	1,908,018	1,597,894
1980	1,893,158	1,608,450
1981	1,904,384	1,652,153
1982	1,921,772	1,714,317
1983	1,939,193	1,636,544
1984	1,960,428	1,627,192
1985	1,983,622	1,689,258
1986	1,998,043	1,656,917
1987	1,971,231	1,720,252
1988	1,936,601	1,735,943
1989	1,927,752	1,875,826
1990	1,926,480	2,026,068
1991	1,942,832	1,926,543
1992	1,956,659	1,875,328
1993	1,963,708	1,717,685
1994	1,959,775	1,633,302
1995	1,941,458	1,546,031
1996	1,922,554	1,510,137
1997	1,898,383	1,501,014
1998	1,871,650	1,573,857
1999	1,859,475	1,564,050
2000	1,845,383	1,664,758
2001	1,836,418	1,595,826
2002	1,820,665	1,581,938
2003	1,788,016	1,653,615
2004	1,759,250	1,698,271
2005	1,732,663	1,684,445
2006	1,706,084	1,849,955
2007	1,684,915	1,897,757
2008	1,670,846	1,794,154
2009	1,661,180	1,717,920
2010	1,658,682	1,548,182
2011	1,659,161	1,441,697
2012	1,656,599	1,411,822
2013	1,642,609	1,322,711
2014	1,587,620	1,357,281
2015	1,508,439	1,270,126
2016	1,445,256	1,197,627
2017	1,384,178	1,028,037
2018	1,366,076	955,022
2019	1,357,485	887,476
2020	1,031,637	208,862
2021	936,682	199,137
2022	1,224,397	399,926
2023	1,238,366	502,372

Maternal mortality chart: Mexico vs United States

The maternal mortality rate, which is the probability of dying during childbirth or within 42 days of pregnancy termination, is 42 deaths per 100,000 live births in Mexico, compared to 17 deaths in the United States.

Table

Year	Maternal mortality per 100K births
	Mexico	United States
1985	107	11
1986	100	11
1987	93	11
1988	88	12
1989	85	12
1990	81	12
1991	77	12
1992	73	11
1993	71	12
1994	69	11
1995	66	12
1996	64	11
1997	62	11
1998	60	11
1999	58	12
2000	56	12
2001	55	13
2002	55	13
2003	54	13
2004	53	13
2005	52	13
2006	51	13
2007	50	13
2008	51	14
2009	51	15
2010	50	15
2011	47	15
2012	46	16
2013	45	16
2014	44	17
2015	43	17
2016	43	18
2017	44	18
2018	44	18
2019	43	18
2020	61	22
2021	104	31
2022	45	20
2023	42	17

Under-five mortality rates

The chance that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five is 1.25% in Mexico and 0.65% in the United States. Below is the historical data on under-five mortality rates.

Table

Year	Mortality rate before reaching 5 years of age, per 1,000 live births
	Mexico	United States
1960	15.5%	3.01%
1961	14.8%	2.95%
1962	14.3%	2.89%
1963	13.7%	2.83%
1964	13.2%	2.77%
1965	12.7%	2.71%
1966	12.3%	2.64%
1967	11.9%	2.57%
1968	11.5%	2.49%
1969	11.1%	2.41%
1970	10.7%	2.32%
1971	10.3%	2.24%
1972	9.93%	2.15%
1973	9.56%	2.06%
1974	9.21%	1.97%
1975	8.86%	1.88%
1976	8.52%	1.79%
1977	8.18%	1.71%
1978	7.85%	1.63%
1979	7.51%	1.56%
1980	7.18%	1.5%
1981	6.86%	1.44%
1982	6.55%	1.39%
1983	6.26%	1.34%
1984	5.98%	1.3%
1985	5.71%	1.27%
1986	5.46%	1.24%
1987	5.21%	1.21%
1988	4.98%	1.19%
1989	4.75%	1.16%
1990	4.53%	1.12%
1991	4.32%	1.09%
1992	4.12%	1.05%
1993	3.92%	1.01%
1994	3.74%	0.98%
1995	3.57%	0.95%
1996	3.4%	0.92%
1997	3.24%	0.89%
1998	3.09%	0.87%
1999	2.94%	0.86%
2000	2.81%	0.84%
2001	2.68%	0.83%
2002	2.57%	0.82%
2003	2.46%	0.81%
2004	2.36%	0.81%
2005	2.27%	0.8%
2006	2.19%	0.79%
2007	2.11%	0.77%
2008	2.04%	0.76%
2009	1.98%	0.75%
2010	1.91%	0.73%
2011	1.85%	0.72%
2012	1.79%	0.7%
2013	1.73%	0.69%
2014	1.68%	0.68%
2015	1.62%	0.68%
2016	1.57%	0.67%
2017	1.52%	0.66%
2018	1.47%	0.65%
2019	1.42%	0.65%
2020	1.38%	0.65%
2021	1.33%	0.65%
2022	1.29%	0.65%
2023	1.25%	0.65%