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Population in Tonga compared to Vanuatu: Trends, Charts, Rankings

Updated on by Georank

The latest officially reported population of Tonga was 103,742 in 2025 vs 335,169 people in Vanuatu in 2025. In 2026, based on the adjusted UN estimation, the current Tonga's population is 103,283 people compared to 346,488 in Vanuatu.

Population statistics:

  • Vanuatu's population is 3.35 times bigger than Tonga's.
  • Tonga is ranked the 183rd most populous country in the world, while Vanuatu is the 174th.
  • The countries together account for 0.005% of the world: 0.001% for Tonga vs 0.004% for Vanuatu.
  • For the last 10 years, Tonga has had an average growth rate of -0.25% per year vs +2.33% in Vanuatu.
  • Since 2006, the population of Tonga has decreased from 106K people to 103K (2.8% decline), while Vanuatu has grown from 216K to 346K (60.5% growth).

Tonga vs Vanuatu: population by year and forecast

Tonga
Factual

Projection
Vanuatu
Factual

Projection
1x
Year Population
Tonga Vanuatu
2100 117,617 883,016
2099 117,585 878,369
2098 117,530 873,597
2097 117,492 868,672
2096 117,461 863,700
2095 117,383 858,515
2094 117,290 853,182
2093 117,207 847,713
2092 117,097 842,198
2091 116,983 836,615
2090 116,838 830,915
2089 116,682 825,143
2088 116,481 819,225
2087 116,277 813,199
2086 116,088 807,118
2085 115,872 800,846
2084 115,628 794,459
2083 115,336 788,013
2082 115,041 781,513
2081 114,752 774,913
2080 114,424 768,233
2079 114,074 761,418
2078 113,710 754,464
2077 113,349 747,507
2076 112,945 740,413
2075 112,565 733,236
2074 112,179 725,977
2073 111,790 718,583
2072 111,377 711,096
2071 110,963 703,543
2070 110,576 695,963
2069 110,209 688,347
2068 109,825 680,670
2067 109,446 672,919
2066 109,062 665,095
2065 108,736 657,238
2064 108,377 649,317
2063 108,033 641,384
2062 107,710 633,453
2061 107,396 625,585
2060 107,117 617,652
2059 106,842 609,661
2058 106,589 601,631
2057 106,345 593,578
2056 106,130 585,523
2055 105,915 577,375
2054 105,698 569,204
2053 105,486 560,984
2052 105,286 552,762
2051 105,079 544,521
2050 104,844 536,181
2049 104,636 527,854
2048 104,387 519,491
2047 104,154 511,139
2046 103,852 502,701
2045 103,548 494,279
2044 103,215 485,821
2043 102,934 477,431
2042 102,692 469,034
2041 102,447 460,706
2040 102,228 452,395
2039 102,061 444,129
2038 101,835 435,887
2037 101,707 427,727
2036 101,627 419,648
2035 101,580 411,652
2034 101,571 403,718
2033 101,591 395,853
2032 101,633 388,114
2031 101,764 380,413
2030 101,928 372,755
2029 102,181 365,162
2028 102,494 357,621
2027 102,841 350,124
2026 103,283 342,649
2025 103,742 335,169
2024 104,175 327,777
2023 104,597 320,409
2022 105,042 313,046
2021 105,490 305,868
2020 105,704 298,858
2019 105,669 291,985
2018 105,567 285,259
2017 105,356 278,507
2016 105,524 272,087
2015 106,095 266,101
2014 106,609 260,240
2013 107,078 254,482
2012 107,460 248,883
2011 107,570 243,474
2010 107,400 238,248
2009 107,203 232,731
2008 107,020 226,896
2007 106,726 221,276
2006 106,253 215,923
2005 105,671 210,760
2004 105,071 205,711
2003 104,464 200,746
2002 103,874 195,863
2001 103,288 191,031
2000 102,677 186,281
1999 102,046 182,048
1998 101,388 178,313
1997 100,674 174,626
1996 100,275 170,911
1995 100,225 167,137
1994 100,166 163,314
1993 100,103 159,463
1992 100,022 155,608
1991 99,895 151,793
1990 99,700 148,063
1989 99,403 144,393
1988 98,969 140,756
1987 98,376 137,187
1986 98,010 133,720
1985 97,984 130,356
1984 97,990 127,109
1983 97,998 123,998
1982 97,980 121,035
1981 97,909 118,249
1980 97,769 115,660
1979 97,544 113,040
1978 97,204 109,963
1977 96,725 106,618
1976 95,325 103,388
1975 93,017 100,269
1974 90,683 97,260
1973 88,805 94,362
1972 87,356 91,562
1971 85,896 88,862
1970 84,401 86,266
1969 82,885 83,755
1968 81,353 81,314
1967 79,814 78,921
1966 78,002 76,590
1965 75,924 74,358
1964 73,879 72,219
1963 71,885 70,159
1962 69,940 68,174
1961 68,037 66,264
1960 66,170 64,431

Data sources: United Nations | World Population Prospects (2026–2100, retrieved 2026-07-08); World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08).

GeoRank.org/population/tonga/vanuatu | CC BY

From 2006 to 2016, the population of Tonga decreased by 729 people (a 0.69% decline), while Vanuatu gained 56,164 people (a 26% growth).

For the next 10 years, from 2016 to 2026, Tonga lost 2,241 people (a 2.12% decline), while Vanuatu's population increased by 74,401 people (a 27.3% growth).

Tonga was ranked 182nd most populous country in 2006 and is 183rd in 2026. Vanuatu was ranked 175th in 2006 and ranked 174th now.

The UN's World Population Prospects forecasts that in 24 years (in 2050) Tonga's population will grow by 1.51% to 104,844 people and will still be ranked 183rd. The population of Vanuatu will increase by 54.7% to 536,181 people and rank change from 174th to 169th.

Tonga is projected to reach its peak in 2100 at 118K people compared to the peak of 883K people in 2100 for Vanuatu.

Population growth rate by year

Tonga
Factual

Projection
Vanuatu
Factual

Projection
1x
Year Growth rate
Tonga Vanuatu
2100 0.03% 0.53%
2099 0.05% 0.55%
2098 0.03% 0.57%
2097 0.03% 0.58%
2096 0.07% 0.6%
2095 0.08% 0.63%
2094 0.07% 0.65%
2093 0.09% 0.65%
2092 0.1% 0.67%
2091 0.12% 0.69%
2090 0.13% 0.7%
2089 0.17% 0.72%
2088 0.18% 0.74%
2087 0.16% 0.75%
2086 0.19% 0.78%
2085 0.21% 0.8%
2084 0.25% 0.82%
2083 0.26% 0.83%
2082 0.25% 0.85%
2081 0.29% 0.87%
2080 0.31% 0.9%
2079 0.32% 0.92%
2078 0.32% 0.93%
2077 0.36% 0.96%
2076 0.34% 0.98%
2075 0.34% 1%
2074 0.35% 1.03%
2073 0.37% 1.05%
2072 0.37% 1.07%
2071 0.35% 1.09%
2070 0.33% 1.11%
2069 0.35% 1.13%
2068 0.35% 1.15%
2067 0.35% 1.18%
2066 0.3% 1.2%
2065 0.33% 1.22%
2064 0.32% 1.24%
2063 0.3% 1.25%
2062 0.29% 1.26%
2061 0.26% 1.28%
2060 0.26% 1.31%
2059 0.24% 1.33%
2058 0.23% 1.36%
2057 0.2% 1.38%
2056 0.2% 1.41%
2055 0.2% 1.44%
2054 0.2% 1.47%
2053 0.19% 1.49%
2052 0.2% 1.51%
2051 0.22% 1.56%
2050 0.2% 1.58%
2049 0.24% 1.61%
2048 0.22% 1.63%
2047 0.29% 1.68%
2046 0.29% 1.7%
2045 0.32% 1.74%
2044 0.27% 1.76%
2043 0.24% 1.79%
2042 0.24% 1.81%
2041 0.21% 1.84%
2040 0.16% 1.86%
2039 0.22% 1.89%
2038 0.13% 1.91%
2037 0.08% 1.93%
2036 0.05% 1.94%
2035 0.009% 1.97%
2034 -0.02% 1.99%
2033 -0.04% 1.99%
2032 -0.13% 2.02%
2031 -0.16% 2.05%
2030 -0.25% 2.08%
2029 -0.31% 2.11%
2028 -0.34% 2.14%
2027 -0.43% 2.18%
2026 -0.44% 2.23%
2025 -0.42% 2.26%
2024 -0.4% 2.3%
2023 -0.42% 2.35%
2022 -0.42% 2.35%
2021 -0.2% 2.35%
2020 0.03% 2.35%
2019 0.1% 2.36%
2018 0.2% 2.42%
2017 -0.16% 2.36%
2016 -0.54% 2.25%
2015 -0.48% 2.25%
2014 -0.44% 2.26%
2013 -0.36% 2.25%
2012 -0.1% 2.22%
2011 0.16% 2.19%
2010 0.18% 2.37%
2009 0.17% 2.57%
2008 0.28% 2.54%
2007 0.45% 2.48%
2006 0.55% 2.45%
2005 0.57% 2.45%
2004 0.58% 2.47%
2003 0.57% 2.49%
2002 0.57% 2.53%
2001 0.6% 2.55%
2000 0.62% 2.33%
1999 0.65% 2.09%
1998 0.71% 2.11%
1997 0.4% 2.17%
1996 0.05% 2.26%
1995 0.06% 2.34%
1994 0.06% 2.41%
1993 0.08% 2.48%
1992 0.13% 2.51%
1991 0.2% 2.52%
1990 0.3% 2.54%
1989 0.44% 2.58%
1988 0.6% 2.6%
1987 0.37% 2.59%
1986 0.03% 2.58%
1985 -0.006% 2.55%
1984 -0.008% 2.51%
1983 0.02% 2.45%
1982 0.07% 2.36%
1981 0.14% 2.24%
1980 0.23% 2.32%
1979 0.35% 2.8%
1978 0.5% 3.14%
1977 1.47% 3.12%
1976 2.48% 3.11%
1975 2.57% 3.09%
1974 2.11% 3.07%
1973 1.66% 3.06%
1972 1.7% 3.04%
1971 1.77% 3.01%
1970 1.83% 3%
1969 1.88% 3%
1968 1.93% 3.03%
1967 2.32% 3.04%
1966 2.74% 3%
1965 2.77% 2.96%
1964 2.77% 2.94%
1963 2.78% 2.91%
1962 2.8% 2.88%
1961 2.82% 2.84%

Data sources: United Nations | World Population Prospects (2026–2100, retrieved 2026-07-08); World Bank | Health (1961–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08).

GeoRank.org/population/tonga/vanuatu | CC BY

In 2025, the population of Tonga declined by 0.42%, while Vanuatu's population grew by 2.26%.

Live population counters

Tonga Vanuatu
Current population
103283
346488
Population rank 183/197 174/197
Percent of world population 0.001% 0.004%
One net population change
20.3 hours
1.19 hours
One birth every
3.65 hours
58 minutes
One death every
13.1 hours
5.33 hours
Daily growth/decline -1 +20
Annual growth/decline -433 +7,392
Annual growth/decline rate -0.42% +2.26%
Population growth rate rank 181/197 36/197
One migration net change every
4.09 hours
1.01 weeks
Annual migration change -2,150 -52
Net migration rank 99/196 80/196
Foreign-born residents 3,581 3,315
Foreign-born residents rank 187/195 188/195
Foreign-born share of population 3.4% 1%
Foreign-born share rank 113/195 155/195

Natural population change vs migration

Tonga
Natural

Migration
Vanuatu
Natural

Migration
1x
Year Population change
Tonga Vanuatu
Natural Migration Natural Migration
2025 - -2,150 - -52
2024 1,729 -2,149 7,419 -43
2023 1,744 -2,173 7,359 0
2022 1,772 -2,218 7,358 0
2021 1,773 -2,220 7,199 -201
2020 1,816 -1,807 7,233 -201
2019 1,841 -1,778 7,364 -652
2018 1,873 -1,723 7,379 -638
2017 1,912 -1,642 7,371 -610
2016 1,989 -2,591 7,315 -1,235
2015 2,064 -2,610 7,220 -1,324
2014 2,135 -2,622 7,143 -1,320
2013 2,199 -2,637 7,036 -1,343
2012 2,255 -2,578 6,877 -1,369
2011 2,298 -2,198 6,715 -1,395
2010 2,332 -2,097 6,548 -1,413
2009 2,358 -2,204 6,362 -467
2008 2,397 -2,177 6,138 -372
2007 2,423 -2,057 5,842 -374
2006 2,459 -1,875 5,606 -364
2005 2,495 -1,906 5,454 -364
2004 2,478 -1,876 5,353 -349
2003 2,448 -1,844 5,258 -342
2002 2,396 -1,815 5,181 -329
2001 2,358 -1,766 5,144 -328
2000 2,346 -1,721 5,026 -339
1999 2,352 -1,710 4,871 -1,090
1998 2,344 -1,665 4,866 -1,178
1997 2,332 -1,589 4,854 -1,166
1996 2,393 -2,338 4,897 -1,154
1995 2,476 -2,422 4,945 -1,140
1994 2,547 -2,484 4,973 -1,132
1993 2,594 -2,532 4,973 -1,115
1992 2,622 -2,524 4,941 -1,095
1991 2,637 -2,484 4,859 -1,078
1990 2,641 -2,409 4,762 -1,072
1989 2,644 -2,280 4,656 -1,006
1988 2,649 -2,138 4,577 -959
1987 2,646 -1,970 4,427 -907
1986 2,704 -2,650 4,360 -938
1985 2,762 -2,775 4,219 -916
1984 2,814 -2,823 4,088 -907
1983 2,840 -2,840 3,944 -899
1982 2,853 -2,814 3,778 -897
1981 2,882 -2,778 3,592 -896
1980 2,885 -2,708 3,383 -896
1979 2,884 -2,604 3,590 -845
1978 2,862 -2,457 3,428 -15
1977 2,822 -2,273 3,285 -3
1976 2,769 -523 3,174 3
1975 2,709 -346 3,074 -15
1974 2,650 -344 2,968 -17
1973 2,617 -1,168 2,876 -22
1972 2,605 -1,153 2,775 -28
1971 2,611 -1,138 2,685 -40
1970 2,628 -1,122 2,597 -46
1969 2,632 -1,101 2,529 -53
1968 2,614 -1,078 2,470 -68
1967 2,603 -1,060 2,384 0
1966 2,550 -465 2,278 0
1965 2,498 -426 2,180 0
1964 2,445 -428 2,098 0
1963 2,394 -426 2,025 0
1962 2,343 -420 1,947 0
1961 2,284 -401 1,872 0
1960 2,230 -384 1,796 0

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08).

GeoRank.org/population/tonga/vanuatu | CC BY

Over the last 10 years, 47% of the population change in Tonga is from natural causes (a gain of 18,513 people) and 53% is from migration (a loss of 20,911 people). In Vanuatu 93.7% is from natural causes (a gain of 73,217 people) and 6.28% is from migration (a loss of 4,904 people).

As of 2024, 3,581 residents or 3.4% of the population were not native-born in Tonga, compared to 3,315 people or 1% in Vanuatu.

Biggest cities by population

Tonga
City Population
Nukualofa 23.2K
Mua 5K
Vanuatu
City Population
Port Vila 49K
Luganville 17.7K

Compare countries by 7 more topics

Population map with other countries

1x

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08); United Nations | World Population Prospects (1960–2026, retrieved 2026-07-08); U.S. Census Bureau (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08); Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2000–2019, retrieved 2026-07-08).

GeoRank.org/population/tonga/vanuatu | CC BY

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Data sources:

  1. World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08)
  2. United Nations | World Population Prospects (1960–2100, retrieved 2026-07-08)
  3. U.S. Census Bureau (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08)
  4. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2000–2019, retrieved 2026-07-08)
  5. Wikidata (2026, retrieved 2026-07-08)

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