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Population in Nigeria compared to Tonga: Trends, Charts, Rankings

Updated on by Georank

The latest officially reported population of Nigeria was 237,527,782 in 2025 vs 103,742 people in Tonga in 2025. In 2026, based on the adjusted UN estimation, the current Nigeria's population is 245,016,045 people compared to 103,283 in Tonga.

Population statistics:

  • Nigeria's population is 2,372 times bigger than Tonga's.
  • Nigeria is ranked the 6th most populous country in the world, while Tonga is the 183rd.
  • The countries together account for 2.95% of the world: 2.95% for Nigeria vs 0.001% for Tonga.
  • For the last 10 years, Nigeria has had an average growth rate of +2.25% per year vs -0.25% in Tonga.
  • Since 2006, the population of Nigeria has increased from 149M people to 245M (64.4% growth), while Tonga has declined from 106K to 103K (2.8% decline).

Nigeria vs Tonga: population by year and forecast

Nigeria
Factual

Projection
Tonga
Factual

Projection
1x
Year Population
Nigeria Tonga
2100 481,640,156 117,617
2099 481,456,918 117,585
2098 481,181,892 117,530
2097 480,838,161 117,492
2096 480,422,467 117,461
2095 479,938,579 117,383
2094 479,395,022 117,290
2093 478,769,369 117,207
2092 478,059,864 117,097
2091 477,236,907 116,983
2090 476,329,495 116,838
2089 475,326,347 116,682
2088 474,231,442 116,481
2087 473,035,563 116,277
2086 471,732,001 116,088
2085 470,328,175 115,872
2084 468,806,172 115,628
2083 467,187,453 115,336
2082 465,472,417 115,041
2081 463,643,190 114,752
2080 461,705,493 114,424
2079 459,644,523 114,074
2078 457,477,264 113,710
2077 455,218,871 113,349
2076 452,849,991 112,945
2075 450,367,356 112,565
2074 447,789,885 112,179
2073 445,117,028 111,790
2072 442,340,440 111,377
2071 439,464,323 110,963
2070 436,505,329 110,576
2069 433,437,998 110,209
2068 430,286,232 109,825
2067 427,032,499 109,446
2066 423,702,640 109,062
2065 420,285,359 108,736
2064 416,778,394 108,377
2063 413,198,800 108,033
2062 409,551,159 107,710
2061 405,827,482 107,396
2060 402,041,765 107,117
2059 398,197,311 106,842
2058 394,284,767 106,589
2057 390,311,065 106,345
2056 386,267,580 106,130
2055 382,162,992 105,915
2054 378,000,511 105,698
2053 373,769,779 105,486
2052 369,472,476 105,286
2051 365,120,741 105,079
2050 360,706,317 104,844
2049 356,243,287 104,636
2048 351,724,743 104,387
2047 347,142,279 104,154
2046 342,505,549 103,852
2045 337,807,869 103,548
2044 333,050,132 103,215
2043 328,230,652 102,934
2042 323,363,366 102,692
2041 318,443,989 102,447
2040 313,468,061 102,228
2039 308,450,008 102,061
2038 303,399,842 101,835
2037 298,327,800 101,707
2036 293,227,654 101,627
2035 288,115,630 101,580
2034 282,995,818 101,571
2033 277,875,880 101,591
2032 272,747,599 101,633
2031 267,645,657 101,764
2030 262,562,767 101,928
2029 257,484,616 102,181
2028 252,445,821 102,494
2027 247,437,680 102,841
2026 242,458,365 103,283
2025 237,527,782 103,742
2024 232,679,478 104,175
2023 227,882,945 104,597
2022 223,150,896 105,042
2021 218,529,286 105,490
2020 213,996,181 105,704
2019 209,485,641 105,669
2018 204,938,755 105,567
2017 200,254,579 105,356
2016 195,443,700 105,524
2015 190,671,878 106,095
2014 185,896,915 106,609
2013 181,049,443 107,078
2012 176,200,625 107,460
2011 171,379,598 107,570
2010 166,642,886 107,400
2009 162,049,464 107,203
2008 157,595,014 107,020
2007 153,267,261 106,726
2006 149,077,334 106,253
2005 145,017,253 105,671
2004 141,057,045 105,071
2003 137,202,644 104,464
2002 133,471,989 103,874
2001 129,862,595 103,288
2000 126,382,494 102,677
1999 123,047,320 102,046
1998 119,846,254 101,388
1997 116,754,792 100,674
1996 113,754,779 100,275
1995 110,819,428 100,225
1994 107,935,714 100,166
1993 105,122,069 100,103
1992 102,372,770 100,022
1991 99,720,162 99,895
1990 97,120,925 99,700
1989 94,531,014 99,403
1988 92,020,090 98,969
1987 89,591,716 98,376
1986 87,235,953 98,010
1985 84,897,973 97,984
1984 82,526,443 97,990
1983 80,438,260 97,998
1982 78,378,701 97,980
1981 76,068,103 97,909
1980 73,764,641 97,769
1979 71,498,242 97,544
1978 69,326,532 97,204
1977 67,234,590 96,725
1976 65,258,009 95,325
1975 63,410,815 93,017
1974 61,679,144 90,683
1973 60,082,139 88,805
1972 58,601,748 87,356
1971 57,214,684 85,896
1970 55,893,838 84,401
1969 54,631,914 82,885
1968 53,432,783 81,353
1967 52,293,065 79,814
1966 51,188,234 78,002
1965 50,086,764 75,924
1964 49,012,016 73,879
1963 47,973,575 71,885
1962 46,965,292 69,940
1961 45,989,310 68,037
1960 45,053,782 66,170

Data sources: United Nations | World Population Prospects (2026–2100, retrieved 2026-07-08); World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08).

GeoRank.org/population/nigeria/tonga | CC BY

From 2006 to 2016, the population of Nigeria increased by 46,366,366 people (a 31.1% growth), while Tonga lost 729 people (a 0.69% decline).

For the next 10 years, from 2016 to 2026, Nigeria gained 49,572,345 people (a 25.4% growth), while Tonga's population decreased by 2,241 people (a 2.12% decline).

Nigeria was ranked 7th most populous country in 2006 and is 6th in 2026. Tonga was ranked 182nd in 2006 and ranked 183rd now.

The UN's World Population Prospects forecasts that in 24 years (in 2050) Nigeria's population will grow by 47.2% to 360,706,317 people with a rank change from 6th to 5th. The population of Tonga will increase by 1.51% to 104,844 people and will still be ranked 183rd.

Nigeria is projected to reach its peak in 2100 at 482M people compared to the peak of 118K people in 2100 for Tonga.

Population growth rate by year

Nigeria
Factual

Projection
Tonga
Factual

Projection
1x
Year Growth rate
Nigeria Tonga
2100 0.04% 0.03%
2099 0.06% 0.05%
2098 0.07% 0.03%
2097 0.09% 0.03%
2096 0.1% 0.07%
2095 0.11% 0.08%
2094 0.13% 0.07%
2093 0.15% 0.09%
2092 0.17% 0.1%
2091 0.19% 0.12%
2090 0.21% 0.13%
2089 0.23% 0.17%
2088 0.25% 0.18%
2087 0.28% 0.16%
2086 0.3% 0.19%
2085 0.32% 0.21%
2084 0.35% 0.25%
2083 0.37% 0.26%
2082 0.39% 0.25%
2081 0.42% 0.29%
2080 0.45% 0.31%
2079 0.47% 0.32%
2078 0.5% 0.32%
2077 0.52% 0.36%
2076 0.55% 0.34%
2075 0.58% 0.34%
2074 0.6% 0.35%
2073 0.63% 0.37%
2072 0.65% 0.37%
2071 0.68% 0.35%
2070 0.71% 0.33%
2069 0.73% 0.35%
2068 0.76% 0.35%
2067 0.79% 0.35%
2066 0.81% 0.3%
2065 0.84% 0.33%
2064 0.87% 0.32%
2063 0.89% 0.3%
2062 0.92% 0.29%
2061 0.94% 0.26%
2060 0.97% 0.26%
2059 0.99% 0.24%
2058 1.02% 0.23%
2057 1.05% 0.2%
2056 1.07% 0.2%
2055 1.1% 0.2%
2054 1.13% 0.2%
2053 1.16% 0.19%
2052 1.19% 0.2%
2051 1.22% 0.22%
2050 1.25% 0.2%
2049 1.28% 0.24%
2048 1.32% 0.22%
2047 1.35% 0.29%
2046 1.39% 0.29%
2045 1.43% 0.32%
2044 1.47% 0.27%
2043 1.51% 0.24%
2042 1.54% 0.24%
2041 1.59% 0.21%
2040 1.63% 0.16%
2039 1.66% 0.22%
2038 1.7% 0.13%
2037 1.74% 0.08%
2036 1.77% 0.05%
2035 1.81% 0.009%
2034 1.84% -0.02%
2033 1.88% -0.04%
2032 1.91% -0.13%
2031 1.94% -0.16%
2030 1.97% -0.25%
2029 2% -0.31%
2028 2.02% -0.34%
2027 2.05% -0.43%
2026 2.08% -0.44%
2025 2.08% -0.42%
2024 2.1% -0.4%
2023 2.12% -0.42%
2022 2.11% -0.42%
2021 2.12% -0.2%
2020 2.15% 0.03%
2019 2.22% 0.1%
2018 2.34% 0.2%
2017 2.46% -0.16%
2016 2.5% -0.54%
2015 2.57% -0.48%
2014 2.68% -0.44%
2013 2.75% -0.36%
2012 2.81% -0.1%
2011 2.84% 0.16%
2010 2.83% 0.18%
2009 2.83% 0.17%
2008 2.82% 0.28%
2007 2.81% 0.45%
2006 2.8% 0.55%
2005 2.81% 0.57%
2004 2.81% 0.58%
2003 2.8% 0.57%
2002 2.78% 0.57%
2001 2.75% 0.6%
2000 2.71% 0.62%
1999 2.67% 0.65%
1998 2.65% 0.71%
1997 2.64% 0.4%
1996 2.65% 0.05%
1995 2.67% 0.06%
1994 2.68% 0.06%
1993 2.69% 0.08%
1992 2.66% 0.13%
1991 2.68% 0.2%
1990 2.74% 0.3%
1989 2.73% 0.44%
1988 2.71% 0.6%
1987 2.7% 0.37%
1986 2.75% 0.03%
1985 2.87% -0.006%
1984 2.6% -0.008%
1983 2.63% 0.02%
1982 3.04% 0.07%
1981 3.12% 0.14%
1980 3.17% 0.23%
1979 3.13% 0.35%
1978 3.11% 0.5%
1977 3.03% 1.47%
1976 2.91% 2.48%
1975 2.81% 2.57%
1974 2.66% 2.11%
1973 2.53% 1.66%
1972 2.42% 1.7%
1971 2.36% 1.77%
1970 2.31% 1.83%
1969 2.24% 1.88%
1968 2.18% 1.93%
1967 2.16% 2.32%
1966 2.2% 2.74%
1965 2.19% 2.77%
1964 2.16% 2.77%
1963 2.15% 2.78%
1962 2.12% 2.8%
1961 2.08% 2.82%

Data sources: United Nations | World Population Prospects (2026–2100, retrieved 2026-07-08); World Bank | Health (1961–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08).

GeoRank.org/population/nigeria/tonga | CC BY

In 2025, the population of Nigeria grew by 2.08%, while Tonga's population declined by 0.42%.

Live population counters

Nigeria Tonga
Current population
245016045
103283
Population rank 6/197 183/197
Percent of world population 2.95% 0.001%
One net population change
6.52 seconds
20.3 hours
One birth every
4.17 seconds
3.65 hours
One death every
11.6 seconds
13.1 hours
Daily growth/decline +13,283 -1
Annual growth/decline +4,848,304 -433
Annual growth/decline rate +2.08% -0.42%
Population growth rate rank 45/197 181/197
One migration net change every
34.5 minutes
4.09 hours
Annual migration change -15,258 -2,150
Net migration rank 145/196 99/196
Foreign-born residents 1,403,281 3,581
Foreign-born residents rank 49/195 187/195
Foreign-born share of population 0.6% 3.4%
Foreign-born share rank 173/195 113/195

Natural population change vs migration

Nigeria
Natural

Migration
Tonga
Natural

Migration
1x
Year Population change
Nigeria Tonga
Natural Migration Natural Migration
2025 - -15,258 - -2,150
2024 4,851,833 -35,202 1,729 -2,149
2023 4,834,309 -57,936 1,744 -2,173
2022 4,739,502 -51,680 1,772 -2,218
2021 4,641,562 -86,115 1,773 -2,220
2020 4,525,164 -14,497 1,816 -1,807
2019 4,609,941 -99,722 1,841 -1,778
2018 4,659,898 -76,565 1,873 -1,723
2017 4,706,183 78,685 1,912 -1,642
2016 4,761,594 75,265 1,989 -2,591
2015 4,823,045 -116,162 2,064 -2,610
2014 4,862,319 -19,376 2,135 -2,622
2013 4,811,751 40,201 2,199 -2,637
2012 4,774,508 71,138 2,255 -2,578
2011 4,728,363 67,808 2,298 -2,198
2010 4,629,173 47,966 2,332 -2,097
2009 4,528,149 -18,422 2,358 -2,204
2008 4,412,976 -13,646 2,397 -2,177
2007 4,265,428 -9,162 2,423 -2,057
2006 4,135,703 -12,093 2,459 -1,875
2005 4,013,788 -17,146 2,495 -1,906
2004 3,877,376 46,370 2,478 -1,876
2003 3,751,120 33,857 2,448 -1,844
2002 3,606,814 69,594 2,396 -1,815
2001 3,478,370 64,163 2,358 -1,766
2000 3,343,196 74,535 2,346 -1,721
1999 3,155,425 97,195 2,352 -1,710
1998 3,003,946 145,575 2,344 -1,665
1997 2,936,500 96,885 2,332 -1,589
1996 2,882,205 84,448 2,393 -2,338
1995 2,830,771 73,243 2,476 -2,422
1994 2,735,198 128,134 2,547 -2,484
1993 2,673,675 90,200 2,594 -2,532
1992 2,596,173 138,412 2,622 -2,524
1991 2,527,807 42,760 2,637 -2,484
1990 2,491,928 135,959 2,641 -2,409
1989 2,452,324 99,588 2,644 -2,280
1988 2,376,419 93,510 2,649 -2,138
1987 2,322,397 64,418 2,646 -1,970
1986 2,295,003 29,682 2,704 -2,650
1985 2,289,784 61,514 2,762 -2,775
1984 2,278,060 113,758 2,814 -2,823
1983 2,292,089 -507,539 2,840 -2,840
1982 2,233,401 101,116 2,853 -2,814
1981 2,179,884 106,723 2,882 -2,778
1980 2,121,618 198,672 2,885 -2,708
1979 2,074,807 137,721 2,884 -2,604
1978 2,019,621 111,258 2,862 -2,457
1977 1,923,917 129,075 2,822 -2,273
1976 1,827,289 72,889 2,769 -523
1975 1,718,623 75,603 2,709 -346
1974 1,624,813 44,281 2,650 -344
1973 1,525,485 -618 2,617 -1,168
1972 1,448,928 -12,962 2,605 -1,153
1971 1,373,896 -35,639 2,611 -1,138
1970 1,295,507 7,953 2,628 -1,122
1969 1,213,484 6,912 2,632 -1,101
1968 1,168,254 9,615 2,614 -1,078
1967 1,082,884 18,683 2,603 -1,060
1966 1,095,582 12,513 2,550 -465
1965 1,061,840 32,988 2,498 -426
1964 1,028,272 26,411 2,445 -428
1963 995,116 27,115 2,394 -426
1962 966,452 27,906 2,343 -420
1961 932,111 25,515 2,284 -401
1960 901,301 12,131 2,230 -384

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08).

GeoRank.org/population/nigeria/tonga | CC BY

Over the last 10 years, 99.2% of the population change in Nigeria is from natural causes (a gain of 47,153,031 people) and 0.81% is from migration (a loss of 383,929 people). In Tonga 47% is from natural causes (a gain of 18,513 people) and 53% is from migration (a loss of 20,911 people).

As of 2024, 1,403,281 residents or 0.6% of the population were not native-born in Nigeria, compared to 3,581 people or 3.4% in Tonga.

Biggest cities by population

Nigeria
City Population
Lagos 15.1M
Kano 4.35M
Port Harcourt 3.32M
Ibadan 2.56M
Benin 1.78M
Abuja 1.69M
Onitsha 1.48M
Aba 1.16M
Enugu 1.03M
Owerri 908K
Tonga
City Population
Nukualofa 23.2K
Mua 5K

Compare countries by 7 more topics

Population map with other countries

1x

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08); United Nations | World Population Prospects (1960–2026, retrieved 2026-07-08); U.S. Census Bureau (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08); Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2000–2019, retrieved 2026-07-08).

GeoRank.org/population/nigeria/tonga | CC BY

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Data sources:

  1. World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08)
  2. United Nations | World Population Prospects (1960–2100, retrieved 2026-07-08)
  3. U.S. Census Bureau (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08)
  4. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2000–2019, retrieved 2026-07-08)
  5. Wikidata (2026, retrieved 2026-07-08)

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