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Population in Nigeria compared to Tajikistan: Trends, Charts, Rankings

Updated on by Georank

The latest officially reported population of Nigeria was 237,527,782 in 2025 vs 10,786,734 people in Tajikistan in 2025. In 2026, based on the adjusted UN estimation, the current Nigeria's population is 245,016,045 people compared to 11,080,415 in Tajikistan.

Population statistics:

  • Nigeria's population is 22.1 times bigger than Tajikistan's.
  • Nigeria is ranked the 6th most populous country in the world, while Tajikistan is the 88th.
  • The countries together account for 3.08% of the world: 2.95% for Nigeria vs 0.13% for Tajikistan.
  • For the last 10 years, Nigeria has had an average growth rate of +2.25% per year vs +2.27% in Tajikistan.
  • Since 2006, the population of Nigeria has increased from 149M people to 245M (64.4% growth), while Tajikistan has grown from 7.06M to 11.1M (57% growth).

Nigeria vs Tajikistan: population by year and forecast

Nigeria
Factual

Projection
Tajikistan
Factual

Projection
1x
Year Population
Nigeria Tajikistan
2100 481,640,156 20,381,526
2099 481,456,918 20,372,551
2098 481,181,892 20,358,644
2097 480,838,161 20,340,387
2096 480,422,467 20,316,369
2095 479,938,579 20,289,397
2094 479,395,022 20,257,491
2093 478,769,369 20,225,699
2092 478,059,864 20,184,493
2091 477,236,907 20,140,447
2090 476,329,495 20,095,391
2089 475,326,347 20,047,692
2088 474,231,442 19,997,155
2087 473,035,563 19,941,974
2086 471,732,001 19,887,286
2085 470,328,175 19,828,693
2084 468,806,172 19,765,003
2083 467,187,453 19,697,841
2082 465,472,417 19,631,303
2081 463,643,190 19,564,411
2080 461,705,493 19,491,236
2079 459,644,523 19,417,379
2078 457,477,264 19,339,170
2077 455,218,871 19,257,390
2076 452,849,991 19,167,336
2075 450,367,356 19,075,879
2074 447,789,885 18,980,350
2073 445,117,028 18,881,571
2072 442,340,440 18,777,247
2071 439,464,323 18,666,888
2070 436,505,329 18,551,377
2069 433,437,998 18,430,162
2068 430,286,232 18,307,352
2067 427,032,499 18,179,902
2066 423,702,640 18,046,854
2065 420,285,359 17,914,179
2064 416,778,394 17,776,364
2063 413,198,800 17,633,689
2062 409,551,159 17,490,989
2061 405,827,482 17,348,872
2060 402,041,765 17,199,727
2059 398,197,311 17,048,953
2058 394,284,767 16,896,463
2057 390,311,065 16,742,280
2056 386,267,580 16,588,751
2055 382,162,992 16,434,774
2054 378,000,511 16,278,710
2053 373,769,779 16,123,490
2052 369,472,476 15,961,093
2051 365,120,741 15,798,643
2050 360,706,317 15,632,073
2049 356,243,287 15,462,414
2048 351,724,743 15,286,104
2047 347,142,279 15,105,763
2046 342,505,549 14,921,881
2045 337,807,869 14,733,376
2044 333,050,132 14,538,462
2043 328,230,652 14,343,357
2042 323,363,366 14,141,976
2041 318,443,989 13,939,862
2040 313,468,061 13,735,841
2039 308,450,008 13,531,043
2038 303,399,842 13,325,915
2037 298,327,800 13,119,563
2036 293,227,654 12,911,709
2035 288,115,630 12,708,867
2034 282,995,818 12,510,728
2033 277,875,880 12,316,142
2032 272,747,599 12,122,988
2031 267,645,657 11,933,358
2030 262,562,767 11,744,792
2029 257,484,616 11,554,401
2028 252,445,821 11,364,659
2027 247,437,680 11,173,930
2026 242,458,365 10,981,648
2025 237,527,782 10,786,734
2024 232,679,478 10,590,927
2023 227,882,945 10,389,799
2022 223,150,896 10,182,222
2021 218,529,286 9,966,908
2020 213,996,181 9,749,310
2019 209,485,641 9,529,966
2018 204,938,755 9,307,333
2017 200,254,579 9,085,946
2016 195,443,700 8,865,631
2015 190,671,878 8,643,840
2014 185,896,915 8,425,552
2013 181,049,443 8,216,724
2012 176,200,625 8,014,084
2011 171,379,598 7,824,785
2010 166,642,886 7,652,141
2009 162,049,464 7,490,230
2008 157,595,014 7,338,403
2007 153,267,261 7,194,477
2006 149,077,334 7,057,566
2005 145,017,253 6,924,720
2004 141,057,045 6,790,547
2003 137,202,644 6,658,575
2002 133,471,989 6,531,669
2001 129,862,595 6,407,377
2000 126,382,494 6,284,735
1999 123,047,320 6,208,370
1998 119,846,254 6,176,397
1997 116,754,792 6,139,829
1996 113,754,779 6,066,523
1995 110,819,428 5,948,584
1994 107,935,714 5,825,368
1993 105,122,069 5,724,993
1992 102,372,770 5,649,400
1991 99,720,162 5,541,205
1990 97,120,925 5,398,768
1989 94,531,014 5,267,249
1988 92,020,090 5,114,989
1987 89,591,716 4,939,059
1986 87,235,953 4,772,139
1985 84,897,973 4,619,003
1984 82,526,443 4,480,026
1983 80,438,260 4,350,874
1982 78,378,701 4,227,171
1981 76,068,103 4,109,022
1980 73,764,641 3,995,256
1979 71,498,242 3,882,691
1978 69,326,532 3,768,508
1977 67,234,590 3,653,265
1976 65,258,009 3,540,076
1975 63,410,815 3,430,425
1974 61,679,144 3,324,499
1973 60,082,139 3,222,290
1972 58,601,748 3,123,691
1971 57,214,684 3,028,837
1970 55,893,838 2,936,779
1969 54,631,914 2,845,273
1968 53,432,783 2,753,848
1967 52,293,065 2,664,130
1966 51,188,234 2,577,184
1965 50,086,764 2,492,998
1964 49,012,016 2,411,260
1963 47,973,575 2,331,736
1962 46,965,292 2,255,026
1961 45,989,310 2,181,805
1960 45,053,782 2,112,131

Data sources: United Nations | World Population Prospects (2026–2100, retrieved 2026-07-08); World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08).

GeoRank.org/population/nigeria/tajikistan | CC BY

From 2006 to 2016, the population of Nigeria increased by 46,366,366 people (a 31.1% growth), while Tajikistan gained 1,808,065 people (a 25.6% growth).

For the next 10 years, from 2016 to 2026, Nigeria gained 49,572,345 people (a 25.4% growth), while Tajikistan's population increased by 2,214,784 people (a 25% growth).

Nigeria was ranked 7th most populous country in 2006 and is 6th in 2026. Tajikistan was ranked 98th in 2006 and ranked 88th now.

The UN's World Population Prospects forecasts that in 24 years (in 2050) Nigeria's population will grow by 47.2% to 360,706,317 people with a rank change from 6th to 5th. The population of Tajikistan will increase by 41.1% to 15,632,073 people and rank change from 88th to 83rd.

Nigeria is projected to reach its peak in 2100 at 482M people compared to the peak of 20.4M people in 2100 for Tajikistan.

Population growth rate by year

Nigeria
Factual

Projection
Tajikistan
Factual

Projection
1x
Year Growth rate
Nigeria Tajikistan
2100 0.04% 0.04%
2099 0.06% 0.07%
2098 0.07% 0.09%
2097 0.09% 0.12%
2096 0.1% 0.13%
2095 0.11% 0.16%
2094 0.13% 0.16%
2093 0.15% 0.2%
2092 0.17% 0.22%
2091 0.19% 0.22%
2090 0.21% 0.24%
2089 0.23% 0.25%
2088 0.25% 0.28%
2087 0.28% 0.27%
2086 0.3% 0.3%
2085 0.32% 0.32%
2084 0.35% 0.34%
2083 0.37% 0.34%
2082 0.39% 0.34%
2081 0.42% 0.38%
2080 0.45% 0.38%
2079 0.47% 0.4%
2078 0.5% 0.42%
2077 0.52% 0.47%
2076 0.55% 0.48%
2075 0.58% 0.5%
2074 0.6% 0.52%
2073 0.63% 0.56%
2072 0.65% 0.59%
2071 0.68% 0.62%
2070 0.71% 0.66%
2069 0.73% 0.67%
2068 0.76% 0.7%
2067 0.79% 0.74%
2066 0.81% 0.74%
2065 0.84% 0.78%
2064 0.87% 0.81%
2063 0.89% 0.82%
2062 0.92% 0.82%
2061 0.94% 0.87%
2060 0.97% 0.88%
2059 0.99% 0.9%
2058 1.02% 0.92%
2057 1.05% 0.93%
2056 1.07% 0.94%
2055 1.1% 0.96%
2054 1.13% 0.96%
2053 1.16% 1.02%
2052 1.19% 1.03%
2051 1.22% 1.07%
2050 1.25% 1.1%
2049 1.28% 1.15%
2048 1.32% 1.19%
2047 1.35% 1.23%
2046 1.39% 1.28%
2045 1.43% 1.34%
2044 1.47% 1.36%
2043 1.51% 1.42%
2042 1.54% 1.45%
2041 1.59% 1.49%
2040 1.63% 1.51%
2039 1.66% 1.54%
2038 1.7% 1.57%
2037 1.74% 1.61%
2036 1.77% 1.6%
2035 1.81% 1.58%
2034 1.84% 1.58%
2033 1.88% 1.59%
2032 1.91% 1.59%
2031 1.94% 1.61%
2030 1.97% 1.65%
2029 2% 1.67%
2028 2.02% 1.71%
2027 2.05% 1.75%
2026 2.08% 1.81%
2025 2.08% 1.85%
2024 2.1% 1.94%
2023 2.12% 2.04%
2022 2.11% 2.16%
2021 2.12% 2.23%
2020 2.15% 2.3%
2019 2.22% 2.39%
2018 2.34% 2.44%
2017 2.46% 2.49%
2016 2.5% 2.57%
2015 2.57% 2.59%
2014 2.68% 2.54%
2013 2.75% 2.53%
2012 2.81% 2.42%
2011 2.84% 2.26%
2010 2.83% 2.16%
2009 2.83% 2.07%
2008 2.82% 2%
2007 2.81% 1.94%
2006 2.8% 1.92%
2005 2.81% 1.98%
2004 2.81% 1.98%
2003 2.8% 1.94%
2002 2.78% 1.94%
2001 2.75% 1.95%
2000 2.71% 1.23%
1999 2.67% 0.52%
1998 2.65% 0.6%
1997 2.64% 1.21%
1996 2.65% 1.98%
1995 2.67% 2.12%
1994 2.68% 1.75%
1993 2.69% 1.34%
1992 2.66% 1.95%
1991 2.68% 2.64%
1990 2.74% 2.5%
1989 2.73% 2.98%
1988 2.71% 3.56%
1987 2.7% 3.5%
1986 2.75% 3.32%
1985 2.87% 3.1%
1984 2.6% 2.97%
1983 2.63% 2.93%
1982 3.04% 2.88%
1981 3.12% 2.85%
1980 3.17% 2.9%
1979 3.13% 3.03%
1978 3.11% 3.15%
1977 3.03% 3.2%
1976 2.91% 3.2%
1975 2.81% 3.19%
1974 2.66% 3.17%
1973 2.53% 3.16%
1972 2.42% 3.13%
1971 2.36% 3.13%
1970 2.31% 3.22%
1969 2.24% 3.32%
1968 2.18% 3.37%
1967 2.16% 3.37%
1966 2.2% 3.38%
1965 2.19% 3.39%
1964 2.16% 3.41%
1963 2.15% 3.4%
1962 2.12% 3.36%
1961 2.08% 3.3%

Data sources: United Nations | World Population Prospects (2026–2100, retrieved 2026-07-08); World Bank | Health (1961–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08).

GeoRank.org/population/nigeria/tajikistan | CC BY

In 2025, the population of Nigeria grew by 2.08%, while Tajikistan's population grew by 1.85%.

Live population counters

Nigeria Tajikistan
Current population
245016045
11080415
Population rank 6/197 88/197
Percent of world population 2.95% 0.13%
One net population change
6.52 seconds
2.69 minutes
One birth every
4.17 seconds
1.96 minutes
One death every
11.6 seconds
10.8 minutes
Daily growth/decline +13,283 +536
Annual growth/decline +4,848,304 +195,807
Annual growth/decline rate +2.08% +1.85%
Population growth rate rank 45/197 58/197
One migration net change every
34.5 minutes
24.4 minutes
Annual migration change -15,258 -21,606
Net migration rank 145/196 152/196
Foreign-born residents 1,403,281 276,777
Foreign-born residents rank 49/195 101/195
Foreign-born share of population 0.6% 2.6%
Foreign-born share rank 173/195 124/195

Natural population change vs migration

Nigeria
Natural

Migration
Tajikistan
Natural

Migration
1x
Year Population change
Nigeria Tajikistan
Natural Migration Natural Migration
2025 - -15,258 - -21,606
2024 4,851,833 -35,202 219,677 -21,236
2023 4,834,309 -57,936 223,828 -19,999
2022 4,739,502 -51,680 228,336 -17,001
2021 4,641,562 -86,115 222,850 -3,564
2020 4,525,164 -14,497 219,467 -3,564
2019 4,609,941 -99,722 231,817 -9,041
2018 4,659,898 -76,565 228,597 -6,111
2017 4,706,183 78,685 224,396 -4,093
2016 4,761,594 75,265 228,547 -8,210
2015 4,823,045 -116,162 230,903 -7,660
2014 4,862,319 -19,376 227,304 -13,962
2013 4,811,751 40,201 220,693 -16,362
2012 4,774,508 71,138 213,078 -12,132
2011 4,728,363 67,808 208,429 -30,783
2010 4,629,173 47,966 201,389 -33,733
2009 4,528,149 -18,422 192,851 -36,677
2008 4,412,976 -13,646 182,337 -34,855
2007 4,265,428 -9,162 173,200 -32,831
2006 4,135,703 -12,093 164,046 -30,591
2005 4,013,788 -17,146 160,189 -27,954
2004 3,877,376 46,370 161,201 -25,082
2003 3,751,120 33,857 150,391 -22,562
2002 3,606,814 69,594 146,492 -20,526
2001 3,478,370 64,163 142,276 -19,657
2000 3,343,196 74,535 136,549 -13,871
1999 3,155,425 97,195 147,622 -117,571
1998 3,003,946 145,575 153,508 -119,621
1997 2,936,500 96,885 149,825 -110,572
1996 2,882,205 84,448 138,287 -30,922
1995 2,830,771 73,243 168,934 -40,418
1994 2,735,198 128,134 167,590 -49,668
1993 2,673,675 90,200 157,975 -75,147
1992 2,596,173 138,412 163,652 -95,280
1991 2,527,807 42,760 177,585 -29,553
1990 2,491,928 135,959 178,429 -41,596
1989 2,452,324 99,588 179,212 -53,020
1988 2,376,419 93,510 172,805 5,523
1987 2,322,397 64,418 163,611 9,923
1986 2,295,003 29,682 155,987 4,321
1985 2,289,784 61,514 145,720 247
1984 2,278,060 113,758 139,145 -7,152
1983 2,292,089 -507,539 133,280 -6,972
1982 2,233,401 101,116 127,838 -6,730
1981 2,179,884 106,723 121,418 -6,221
1980 2,121,618 198,672 117,888 -5,557
1979 2,074,807 137,721 114,496 -1,703
1978 2,019,621 111,258 110,564 5,006
1977 1,923,917 129,075 106,920 7,999
1976 1,827,289 72,889 103,777 7,679
1975 1,718,623 75,603 100,604 7,237
1974 1,624,813 44,281 97,481 6,531
1973 1,525,485 -618 94,523 5,876
1972 1,448,928 -12,962 91,677 5,123
1971 1,373,896 -35,639 88,618 4,293
1970 1,295,507 7,953 85,645 5,559
1969 1,213,484 6,912 82,931 8,886
1968 1,168,254 9,615 80,698 10,323
1967 1,082,884 18,683 78,733 9,670
1966 1,095,582 12,513 76,702 8,796
1965 1,061,840 32,988 75,139 7,744
1964 1,028,272 26,411 74,030 6,568
1963 995,116 27,115 73,065 5,379
1962 966,452 27,906 70,700 4,270
1961 932,111 25,515 68,182 3,291
1960 901,301 12,131 65,415 2,457

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08).

GeoRank.org/population/nigeria/tajikistan | CC BY

Over the last 10 years, 99.2% of the population change in Nigeria is from natural causes (a gain of 47,153,031 people) and 0.81% is from migration (a loss of 383,929 people). In Tajikistan 95.7% is from natural causes (a gain of 2,258,418 people) and 4.26% is from migration (a loss of 100,479 people).

As of 2024, 1,403,281 residents or 0.6% of the population were not native-born in Nigeria, compared to 276,777 people or 2.6% in Tajikistan.

Biggest cities by population

Nigeria
City Population
Lagos 15.1M
Kano 4.35M
Port Harcourt 3.32M
Ibadan 2.56M
Benin 1.78M
Abuja 1.69M
Onitsha 1.48M
Aba 1.16M
Enugu 1.03M
Owerri 908K
Tajikistan
City Population
Dushanbe 948K
Khujand 199K
Qurghonteppa 127K
Istaravshan 64.3K
Konibodom 54.4K
Tursunzoda 46.7K
Panjakent 43.8K
Buston 29.8K
Ghafurov 18.4K
Istiklol 14.2K

Compare countries by 7 more topics

Population map with other countries

1x

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08); United Nations | World Population Prospects (1960–2026, retrieved 2026-07-08); U.S. Census Bureau (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08); Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2000–2019, retrieved 2026-07-08).

GeoRank.org/population/nigeria/tajikistan | CC BY

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Data sources:

  1. World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08)
  2. United Nations | World Population Prospects (1960–2100, retrieved 2026-07-08)
  3. U.S. Census Bureau (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08)
  4. Wikidata (2026, retrieved 2026-07-08)
  5. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2000–2019, retrieved 2026-07-08)

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