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Population in Papua New Guinea compared to South Africa: Trends, Charts, Rankings

Updated on by Georank team

The latest officially reported population of Papua New Guinea was 10,576,502 in 2024 vs 64,007,187 people in South Africa in 2024. In 2026, based on the adjusted UN estimation, the current Papua New Guinea's population is 11,002,753 people compared to 65,683,993 in South Africa.

Population statistics:

  • South Africa's population is 5.97 times bigger than Papua New Guinea's.
  • Papua New Guinea is ranked the 89th most populous country in the world, while South Africa is the 24th.
  • The countries together account for 0.93% of the world: 0.13% for Papua New Guinea vs 0.79% for South Africa.
  • For the last 10 years, Papua New Guinea has had an average growth rate of +2.23% per year vs +1.44% in South Africa.
  • Since 2006, the population of Papua New Guinea has increased from 6.75M people to 11M (63.1% growth), while South Africa has grown from 50M to 65.7M (31.4% growth).

Papua New Guinea vs South Africa: population by year and forecast

Papua New Guinea
Factual

Projection
South Africa
Factual

Projection
1x
Year Population
Papua New Guinea South Africa
2100 18,802,138 94,767,727
2099 18,790,040 94,556,931
2098 18,776,265 94,349,546
2097 18,758,897 94,158,472
2096 18,737,707 93,960,605
2095 18,714,219 93,752,736
2094 18,687,257 93,527,902
2093 18,658,233 93,300,398
2092 18,625,772 93,074,837
2091 18,590,001 92,826,204
2090 18,549,501 92,594,033
2089 18,510,463 92,355,184
2088 18,468,827 92,112,914
2087 18,424,378 91,866,024
2086 18,376,043 91,614,165
2085 18,325,641 91,385,350
2084 18,274,394 91,139,318
2083 18,218,709 90,877,425
2082 18,163,177 90,615,359
2081 18,104,285 90,345,492
2080 18,039,008 90,071,835
2079 17,975,778 89,801,998
2078 17,908,670 89,526,224
2077 17,840,781 89,249,206
2076 17,771,791 88,986,114
2075 17,699,428 88,713,215
2074 17,625,044 88,428,616
2073 17,548,128 88,149,885
2072 17,466,649 87,866,246
2071 17,381,598 87,540,177
2070 17,295,105 87,209,425
2069 17,205,503 86,901,512
2068 17,112,154 86,588,742
2067 17,015,090 86,268,392
2066 16,915,436 85,935,310
2065 16,812,946 85,604,376
2064 16,708,669 85,244,950
2063 16,604,296 84,875,503
2062 16,497,292 84,503,237
2061 16,386,905 84,132,885
2060 16,270,535 83,748,999
2059 16,152,614 83,354,923
2058 16,032,684 82,947,675
2057 15,909,649 82,538,045
2056 15,784,519 82,127,477
2055 15,656,542 81,698,196
2054 15,523,143 81,255,867
2053 15,389,244 80,818,632
2052 15,250,715 80,367,409
2051 15,110,389 79,886,672
2050 14,968,530 79,411,977
2049 14,821,865 78,925,493
2048 14,673,459 78,437,677
2047 14,522,926 77,922,211
2046 14,370,120 77,397,298
2045 14,213,585 76,879,838
2044 14,056,036 76,357,155
2043 13,897,765 75,827,709
2042 13,738,690 75,291,615
2041 13,577,382 74,748,408
2040 13,413,396 74,205,530
2039 13,247,486 73,663,047
2038 13,079,352 73,105,930
2037 12,909,735 72,532,742
2036 12,738,223 71,956,247
2035 12,566,543 71,362,555
2034 12,392,476 70,762,815
2033 12,218,246 70,153,205
2032 12,042,345 69,527,410
2031 11,865,316 68,890,002
2030 11,685,599 68,245,372
2029 11,504,890 67,573,179
2028 11,322,573 66,884,377
2027 11,138,409 66,190,258
2026 10,952,454 65,496,277
2025 10,765,048 64,770,314
2024 10,576,502 64,007,187
2023 10,389,635 63,212,384
2022 10,203,169 62,378,410
2021 10,012,896 61,502,603
2020 9,815,746 60,562,381
2019 9,609,010 59,587,885
2018 9,394,513 58,613,001
2017 9,178,714 57,635,162
2016 8,961,718 57,259,551
2015 8,743,246 56,723,537
2014 8,523,441 55,594,838
2013 8,302,698 54,678,791
2012 8,081,390 53,782,567
2011 7,859,346 52,995,205
2010 7,633,523 52,344,051
2009 7,406,438 51,728,516
2008 7,183,002 51,114,599
2007 6,963,345 50,528,584
2006 6,747,720 49,998,277
2005 6,535,905 49,490,033
2004 6,328,041 48,991,421
2003 6,123,997 48,500,348
2002 5,924,003 48,019,415
2001 5,728,435 47,566,800
2000 5,537,064 47,159,719
1999 5,349,333 46,730,335
1998 5,166,390 46,223,880
1997 4,987,883 45,666,838
1996 4,813,361 45,123,018
1995 4,644,278 44,541,554
1994 4,480,208 44,004,139
1993 4,320,872 43,297,156
1992 4,166,699 42,443,509
1991 4,021,837 41,687,898
1990 3,896,481 40,746,268
1989 3,796,078 39,628,575
1988 3,711,880 38,480,649
1987 3,632,543 37,326,190
1986 3,554,793 36,180,515
1985 3,478,936 35,042,093
1984 3,405,198 33,892,788
1983 3,333,633 32,739,304
1982 3,264,291 31,615,339
1981 3,197,019 30,541,044
1980 3,131,512 29,518,857
1979 3,067,341 28,634,162
1978 3,003,714 27,869,507
1977 2,940,327 27,118,952
1976 2,877,327 26,395,450
1975 2,814,820 25,690,940
1974 2,752,671 24,989,108
1973 2,690,629 24,294,263
1972 2,628,432 23,609,456
1971 2,566,421 22,942,143
1970 2,505,628 22,279,984
1969 2,446,927 21,614,676
1968 2,390,803 20,957,287
1967 2,337,532 20,314,066
1966 2,285,774 19,690,087
1965 2,235,820 19,089,380
1964 2,188,325 18,511,361
1963 2,141,376 17,954,564
1962 2,093,919 17,418,522
1961 2,046,127 16,908,035
1960 1,995,110 16,440,172

Data sources: United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10); World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/population/papua-new-guinea/south-africa | CC BY

From 2006 to 2016, the population of Papua New Guinea increased by 2,213,998 people (a 32.8% growth), while South Africa gained 7,261,274 people (a 14.5% growth).

For the next 10 years, from 2016 to 2026, Papua New Guinea gained 2,041,035 people (a 22.8% growth), while South Africa's population increased by 8,424,442 people (a 14.7% growth).

Papua New Guinea was ranked 100th most populous country in 2006 and is 89th in 2026. South Africa was ranked 24th in 2006 and still ranked 24th now.

The UN's World Population Prospects forecasts that in 24 years (in 2050) Papua New Guinea's population will grow by 36% to 14,968,530 people with a rank change from 89th to 85th. The population of South Africa will increase by 20.9% to 79,411,977 people and rank change from 24th to 23rd.

Papua New Guinea is projected to reach its peak in 2100 at 18.8M people compared to the peak of 94.8M people in 2100 for South Africa.

Population growth rate by year

Papua New Guinea
Factual

Projection
South Africa
Factual

Projection
1x
Year Growth rate
Papua New Guinea South Africa
2100 0.06% 0.22%
2099 0.07% 0.22%
2098 0.09% 0.2%
2097 0.11% 0.21%
2096 0.13% 0.22%
2095 0.14% 0.24%
2094 0.16% 0.24%
2093 0.17% 0.24%
2092 0.19% 0.27%
2091 0.22% 0.25%
2090 0.21% 0.26%
2089 0.23% 0.26%
2088 0.24% 0.27%
2087 0.26% 0.27%
2086 0.28% 0.25%
2085 0.28% 0.27%
2084 0.31% 0.29%
2083 0.31% 0.29%
2082 0.33% 0.3%
2081 0.36% 0.3%
2080 0.35% 0.3%
2079 0.37% 0.31%
2078 0.38% 0.31%
2077 0.39% 0.3%
2076 0.41% 0.31%
2075 0.42% 0.32%
2074 0.44% 0.32%
2073 0.47% 0.32%
2072 0.49% 0.37%
2071 0.5% 0.38%
2070 0.52% 0.35%
2069 0.55% 0.36%
2068 0.57% 0.37%
2067 0.59% 0.39%
2066 0.61% 0.39%
2065 0.62% 0.42%
2064 0.63% 0.44%
2063 0.65% 0.44%
2062 0.67% 0.44%
2061 0.72% 0.46%
2060 0.73% 0.47%
2059 0.75% 0.49%
2058 0.77% 0.5%
2057 0.79% 0.5%
2056 0.82% 0.53%
2055 0.86% 0.54%
2054 0.87% 0.54%
2053 0.91% 0.56%
2052 0.93% 0.6%
2051 0.95% 0.6%
2050 0.99% 0.62%
2049 1.01% 0.62%
2048 1.04% 0.66%
2047 1.06% 0.68%
2046 1.1% 0.67%
2045 1.12% 0.68%
2044 1.14% 0.7%
2043 1.16% 0.71%
2042 1.19% 0.73%
2041 1.22% 0.73%
2040 1.25% 0.74%
2039 1.29% 0.76%
2038 1.31% 0.79%
2037 1.35% 0.8%
2036 1.37% 0.83%
2035 1.4% 0.85%
2034 1.43% 0.87%
2033 1.46% 0.9%
2032 1.49% 0.93%
2031 1.54% 0.94%
2030 1.57% 0.99%
2029 1.61% 1.03%
2028 1.65% 1.05%
2027 1.7% 1.06%
2026 1.74% 1.12%
2025 1.78% 1.19%
2024 1.8% 1.26%
2023 1.83% 1.34%
2022 1.9% 1.42%
2021 2.01% 1.55%
2020 2.15% 1.64%
2019 2.28% 1.66%
2018 2.35% 1.7%
2017 2.42% 0.66%
2016 2.5% 0.94%
2015 2.58% 2.03%
2014 2.66% 1.68%
2013 2.74% 1.67%
2012 2.83% 1.49%
2011 2.96% 1.24%
2010 3.07% 1.19%
2009 3.11% 1.2%
2008 3.15% 1.16%
2007 3.2% 1.06%
2006 3.24% 1.03%
2005 3.28% 1.02%
2004 3.33% 1.01%
2003 3.38% 1%
2002 3.41% 0.95%
2001 3.46% 0.86%
2000 3.51% 0.92%
1999 3.54% 1.1%
1998 3.58% 1.22%
1997 3.63% 1.21%
1996 3.64% 1.31%
1995 3.66% 1.22%
1994 3.69% 1.63%
1993 3.7% 2.01%
1992 3.6% 1.81%
1991 3.22% 2.31%
1990 2.64% 2.82%
1989 2.27% 2.98%
1988 2.18% 3.09%
1987 2.19% 3.17%
1986 2.18% 3.25%
1985 2.17% 3.39%
1984 2.15% 3.52%
1983 2.12% 3.56%
1982 2.1% 3.52%
1981 2.09% 3.46%
1980 2.09% 3.09%
1979 2.12% 2.74%
1978 2.16% 2.77%
1977 2.19% 2.74%
1976 2.22% 2.74%
1975 2.26% 2.81%
1974 2.31% 2.86%
1973 2.37% 2.9%
1972 2.42% 2.91%
1971 2.43% 2.97%
1970 2.4% 3.08%
1969 2.35% 3.14%
1968 2.28% 3.17%
1967 2.26% 3.17%
1966 2.23% 3.15%
1965 2.17% 3.12%
1964 2.19% 3.1%
1963 2.27% 3.08%
1962 2.34% 3.02%
1961 2.56% 2.85%

Data sources: United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10); World Bank | Health (1961–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/population/papua-new-guinea/south-africa | CC BY

In 2024, the population of Papua New Guinea grew by 1.8%, while South Africa's population grew by 1.26%.

Live population counters

Papua New Guinea South Africa
Current population
11002753
65683993
Population rank 89/197 24/197
Percent of world population 0.13% 0.79%
One net population change
2.81 minutes
39.7 seconds
One birth every
2.06 minutes
26.6 seconds
One death every
7.76 minutes
54 seconds
Daily growth/decline +512 +2,178
Annual growth/decline +186,867 +794,803
Annual growth/decline rate +1.8% +1.26%
Population growth rate rank 59/197 85/197
One migration net change every
1.29 days
3.6 minutes
Annual migration change -284 +146,370
Net migration rank 87/196 9/196
Foreign-born residents 31,171 2,631,100
Foreign-born residents rank 163/195 28/195
Foreign-born share of population 0.3% 4.1%
Foreign-born share rank 183/195 105/195

Natural population change vs migration

Papua New Guinea
Natural

Migration
South Africa
Natural

Migration
1x
Year Population change
Papua New Guinea South Africa
Natural Migration Natural Migration
2025 - -284 - 146,370
2024 - -707 - 166,972
2023 187,637 -787 602,793 228,222
2022 186,861 -787 603,636 233,284
2021 183,766 10,703 456,411 458,246
2020 189,130 10,703 595,873 369,901
2019 190,662 22,978 652,130 331,124
2018 190,662 24,684 648,319 318,260
2017 189,715 26,513 645,975 343,146
2016 189,281 28,473 641,365 -879,235
2015 188,600 30,580 668,771 641,150
2014 187,592 32,840 674,754 272,697
2013 185,790 35,280 652,427 232,230
2012 183,658 37,893 643,723 264,091
2011 181,842 40,690 601,708 65,166
2010 178,998 50,106 566,834 68,563
2009 175,421 49,647 554,115 41,528
2008 172,823 48,985 595,332 36,869
2007 169,306 48,203 503,567 36,339
2006 166,540 47,191 487,584 33,159
2005 163,888 46,014 464,464 31,286
2004 161,023 44,811 442,540 58,924
2003 158,611 43,639 415,018 65,604
2002 155,091 42,657 430,926 50,313
2001 151,431 41,962 484,801 -60,793
2000 147,496 41,855 526,963 -136,794
1999 143,592 42,519 594,643 -126,011
1998 136,677 43,091 627,027 -82,722
1997 134,458 42,787 667,969 -98,181
1996 129,802 41,994 710,868 -193,007
1995 125,410 40,962 743,488 -98,403
1994 122,113 39,669 698,609 -268,849
1993 118,668 38,220 789,220 194,977
1992 114,818 36,622 794,415 -71,342
1991 111,453 26,830 827,296 -39,131
1990 110,033 2,398 835,421 259,718
1989 108,199 -19,824 884,629 255,605
1988 106,256 -26,232 909,221 246,382
1987 104,367 -25,720 922,330 231,009
1986 102,346 -25,495 903,644 234,378
1985 100,333 -25,470 893,889 244,940
1984 98,103 -25,487 869,011 290,789
1983 95,982 -25,465 837,013 310,172
1982 93,522 -25,355 807,550 293,195
1981 91,767 -25,383 767,833 279,985
1980 90,266 -25,638 738,415 258,127
1979 89,330 -25,618 716,541 56,323
1978 88,747 -25,208 694,341 62,121
1977 87,954 -24,722 680,929 63,739
1976 86,965 -24,198 675,011 27,333
1975 85,809 -23,562 667,862 38,809
1974 84,829 -22,771 658,438 38,518
1973 83,821 -21,803 651,596 41,125
1972 82,672 -20,303 638,754 38,163
1971 80,599 -18,945 624,761 32,961
1970 78,712 -18,773 605,102 61,514
1969 76,454 -18,994 590,794 73,225
1968 73,983 -19,188 571,841 78,932
1967 71,519 -19,767 553,741 81,932
1966 69,206 -17,454 534,862 77,417
1965 66,693 -18,532 506,632 82,514
1964 64,558 -17,730 490,606 76,298
1963 62,260 -15,189 473,821 72,844
1962 59,974 -12,141 455,634 69,771
1961 58,151 -10,409 437,851 57,728
1960 56,326 -2,034 421,263 18,891

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/population/papua-new-guinea/south-africa | CC BY

Over the last 10 years, 91% of the population change in Papua New Guinea is from natural causes (a gain of 1,883,906 people) and 8.98% is from migration (a gain of 185,900 people). In South Africa 72.8% is from natural causes (a gain of 6,190,027 people) and 27.2% is from migration (a gain of 2,316,795 people).

As of 2024, 31,171 residents or 0.3% of the population were not native-born in Papua New Guinea, compared to 2,631,100 people or 4.1% in South Africa.

Biggest cities by population

Papua New Guinea
City Population
Port Moresby 317K
Lae 101K
South Africa
City Population
Johannesburg 4.8M
Cape Town 3.78M
Soweto 1.27M
Pietermaritzburg 839K
Pretoria 742K
Durban 595K
Rustenburg 550K
Randburg 337K
Port Elizabeth 312K
East London 267K

Compare countries by 7 more topics

Population map with other countries

1x

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06); United Nations | World Population Prospects (1960–2026, retrieved 2026-03-10); U.S. Census Bureau (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-02-08); Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2000–2019, retrieved 2026-02-20).

GeoRank.org/population/papua-new-guinea/south-africa | CC BY

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Data sources:

  1. World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-04-06)
  2. United Nations | World Population Prospects (1960–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10)
  3. U.S. Census Bureau (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-02-08)
  4. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2000–2019, retrieved 2026-02-20)
  5. Wikidata (2026, retrieved 2026-02-08)

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