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Population in Papua New Guinea compared to Tuvalu: Trends, Charts, Rankings

Updated on by Georank team

The latest officially reported population of Papua New Guinea was 10,576,502 in 2024 vs 9,646 people in Tuvalu in 2024. In 2026, based on the adjusted UN estimation, the current Papua New Guinea's population is 11,002,753 people compared to 9,341 in Tuvalu.

Population statistics:

  • Papua New Guinea's population is 1,178 times bigger than Tuvalu's.
  • Papua New Guinea is ranked the 89th most populous country in the world, while Tuvalu is the 196th.
  • The countries together account for 0.13% of the world: 0.13% for Papua New Guinea vs 0.0001% for Tuvalu.
  • For the last 10 years, Papua New Guinea has had an average growth rate of +2.23% per year vs -1.19% in Tuvalu.
  • Since 2006, the population of Papua New Guinea has increased from 6.75M people to 11M (63.1% growth), while Tuvalu has declined from 10.1K to 9.34K (7.11% decline).

Papua New Guinea vs Tuvalu: population by year and forecast

Papua New Guinea
Factual

Projection
Tuvalu
Factual

Projection
1x
Year Population
Papua New Guinea Tuvalu
2100 18,802,138 12,153
2099 18,790,040 12,146
2098 18,776,265 12,126
2097 18,758,897 12,104
2096 18,737,707 12,081
2095 18,714,219 12,066
2094 18,687,257 12,048
2093 18,658,233 12,028
2092 18,625,772 11,999
2091 18,590,001 11,972
2090 18,549,501 11,941
2089 18,510,463 11,909
2088 18,468,827 11,874
2087 18,424,378 11,847
2086 18,376,043 11,812
2085 18,325,641 11,772
2084 18,274,394 11,728
2083 18,218,709 11,689
2082 18,163,177 11,649
2081 18,104,285 11,609
2080 18,039,008 11,547
2079 17,975,778 11,491
2078 17,908,670 11,441
2077 17,840,781 11,382
2076 17,771,791 11,324
2075 17,699,428 11,268
2074 17,625,044 11,203
2073 17,548,128 11,127
2072 17,466,649 11,069
2071 17,381,598 10,994
2070 17,295,105 10,936
2069 17,205,503 10,866
2068 17,112,154 10,798
2067 17,015,090 10,730
2066 16,915,436 10,666
2065 16,812,946 10,611
2064 16,708,669 10,546
2063 16,604,296 10,482
2062 16,497,292 10,425
2061 16,386,905 10,356
2060 16,270,535 10,299
2059 16,152,614 10,230
2058 16,032,684 10,167
2057 15,909,649 10,115
2056 15,784,519 10,048
2055 15,656,542 9,985
2054 15,523,143 9,927
2053 15,389,244 9,859
2052 15,250,715 9,802
2051 15,110,389 9,731
2050 14,968,530 9,666
2049 14,821,865 9,600
2048 14,673,459 9,533
2047 14,522,926 9,456
2046 14,370,120 9,390
2045 14,213,585 9,329
2044 14,056,036 9,267
2043 13,897,765 9,201
2042 13,738,690 9,136
2041 13,577,382 9,084
2040 13,413,396 9,043
2039 13,247,486 8,992
2038 13,079,352 8,952
2037 12,909,735 8,925
2036 12,738,223 8,910
2035 12,566,543 8,901
2034 12,392,476 8,894
2033 12,218,246 8,903
2032 12,042,345 8,923
2031 11,865,316 8,946
2030 11,685,599 8,997
2029 11,504,890 9,056
2028 11,322,573 9,132
2027 11,138,409 9,226
2026 10,952,454 9,341
2025 10,765,048 9,484
2024 10,576,502 9,646
2023 10,389,635 9,816
2022 10,203,169 9,992
2021 10,012,896 10,194
2020 9,815,746 10,399
2019 9,609,010 10,581
2018 9,394,513 10,751
2017 9,178,714 10,869
2016 8,961,718 10,930
2015 8,743,246 10,963
2014 8,523,441 10,984
2013 8,302,698 11,001
2012 8,081,390 10,934
2011 7,859,346 10,780
2010 7,633,523 10,614
2009 7,406,438 10,461
2008 7,183,002 10,321
2007 6,963,345 10,182
2006 6,747,720 10,056
2005 6,535,905 9,940
2004 6,328,041 9,816
2003 6,123,997 9,695
2002 5,924,003 9,623
2001 5,728,435 9,586
2000 5,537,064 9,544
1999 5,349,333 9,496
1998 5,166,390 9,451
1997 4,987,883 9,400
1996 4,813,361 9,342
1995 4,644,278 9,280
1994 4,480,208 9,207
1993 4,320,872 9,126
1992 4,166,699 9,038
1991 4,021,837 8,928
1990 3,896,481 8,798
1989 3,796,078 8,662
1988 3,711,880 8,518
1987 3,632,543 8,371
1986 3,554,793 8,217
1985 3,478,936 8,046
1984 3,405,198 7,902
1983 3,333,633 7,789
1982 3,264,291 7,664
1981 3,197,019 7,526
1980 3,131,512 7,366
1979 3,067,341 7,184
1978 3,003,714 6,957
1977 2,940,327 6,686
1976 2,877,327 6,404
1975 2,814,820 6,117
1974 2,752,671 5,822
1973 2,690,629 5,681
1972 2,628,432 5,692
1971 2,566,421 5,685
1970 2,505,628 5,663
1969 2,446,927 5,631
1968 2,390,803 5,624
1967 2,337,532 5,652
1966 2,285,774 5,686
1965 2,235,820 5,715
1964 2,188,325 5,752
1963 2,141,376 5,751
1962 2,093,919 5,699
1961 2,046,127 5,648
1960 1,995,110 5,598

Data sources: United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10); World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/population/papua-new-guinea/tuvalu | CC BY

From 2006 to 2016, the population of Papua New Guinea increased by 2,213,998 people (a 32.8% growth), while Tuvalu gained 874 people (a 8.69% growth).

For the next 10 years, from 2016 to 2026, Papua New Guinea gained 2,041,035 people (a 22.8% growth), while Tuvalu's population decreased by 1,589 people (a 14.5% decline).

Papua New Guinea was ranked 100th most populous country in 2006 and is 89th in 2026. Tuvalu was ranked 195th in 2006 and ranked 196th now.

The UN's World Population Prospects forecasts that in 24 years (in 2050) Papua New Guinea's population will grow by 36% to 14,968,530 people with a rank change from 89th to 85th. The population of Tuvalu will increase by 3.48% to 9,666 people and will still be ranked 196th.

Papua New Guinea is projected to reach its peak in 2100 at 18.8M people compared to the peak of 12.2K people in 2100 for Tuvalu.

Population growth rate by year

Papua New Guinea
Factual

Projection
Tuvalu
Factual

Projection
1x
Year Growth rate
Papua New Guinea Tuvalu
2100 0.06% 0.06%
2099 0.07% 0.17%
2098 0.09% 0.18%
2097 0.11% 0.19%
2096 0.13% 0.12%
2095 0.14% 0.15%
2094 0.16% 0.16%
2093 0.17% 0.25%
2092 0.19% 0.22%
2091 0.22% 0.26%
2090 0.21% 0.27%
2089 0.23% 0.3%
2088 0.24% 0.23%
2087 0.26% 0.29%
2086 0.28% 0.35%
2085 0.28% 0.37%
2084 0.31% 0.33%
2083 0.31% 0.35%
2082 0.33% 0.34%
2081 0.36% 0.54%
2080 0.35% 0.48%
2079 0.37% 0.43%
2078 0.38% 0.52%
2077 0.39% 0.51%
2076 0.41% 0.5%
2075 0.42% 0.58%
2074 0.44% 0.69%
2073 0.47% 0.53%
2072 0.49% 0.68%
2071 0.5% 0.54%
2070 0.52% 0.64%
2069 0.55% 0.63%
2068 0.57% 0.63%
2067 0.59% 0.6%
2066 0.61% 0.51%
2065 0.62% 0.62%
2064 0.63% 0.61%
2063 0.65% 0.55%
2062 0.67% 0.67%
2061 0.72% 0.55%
2060 0.73% 0.68%
2059 0.75% 0.61%
2058 0.77% 0.52%
2057 0.79% 0.66%
2056 0.82% 0.64%
2055 0.86% 0.58%
2054 0.87% 0.69%
2053 0.91% 0.58%
2052 0.93% 0.73%
2051 0.95% 0.67%
2050 0.99% 0.69%
2049 1.01% 0.7%
2048 1.04% 0.82%
2047 1.06% 0.71%
2046 1.1% 0.65%
2045 1.12% 0.67%
2044 1.14% 0.71%
2043 1.16% 0.72%
2042 1.19% 0.57%
2041 1.22% 0.46%
2040 1.25% 0.56%
2039 1.29% 0.44%
2038 1.31% 0.31%
2037 1.35% 0.17%
2036 1.37% 0.1%
2035 1.4% 0.08%
2034 1.43% -0.1%
2033 1.46% -0.22%
2032 1.49% -0.27%
2031 1.54% -0.56%
2030 1.57% -0.66%
2029 1.61% -0.83%
2028 1.65% -1.02%
2027 1.7% -1.23%
2026 1.74% -1.51%
2025 1.78% -1.68%
2024 1.8% -1.73%
2023 1.83% -1.76%
2022 1.9% -1.98%
2021 2.01% -1.97%
2020 2.15% -1.72%
2019 2.28% -1.58%
2018 2.35% -1.09%
2017 2.42% -0.56%
2016 2.5% -0.3%
2015 2.58% -0.19%
2014 2.66% -0.15%
2013 2.74% 0.61%
2012 2.83% 1.43%
2011 2.96% 1.56%
2010 3.07% 1.46%
2009 3.11% 1.36%
2008 3.15% 1.37%
2007 3.2% 1.25%
2006 3.24% 1.17%
2005 3.28% 1.26%
2004 3.33% 1.25%
2003 3.38% 0.75%
2002 3.41% 0.39%
2001 3.46% 0.44%
2000 3.51% 0.51%
1999 3.54% 0.48%
1998 3.58% 0.54%
1997 3.63% 0.62%
1996 3.64% 0.67%
1995 3.66% 0.79%
1994 3.69% 0.89%
1993 3.7% 0.97%
1992 3.6% 1.23%
1991 3.22% 1.48%
1990 2.64% 1.57%
1989 2.27% 1.69%
1988 2.18% 1.76%
1987 2.19% 1.87%
1986 2.18% 2.13%
1985 2.17% 1.82%
1984 2.15% 1.45%
1983 2.12% 1.63%
1982 2.1% 1.83%
1981 2.09% 2.17%
1980 2.09% 2.53%
1979 2.12% 3.26%
1978 2.16% 4.05%
1977 2.19% 4.4%
1976 2.22% 4.69%
1975 2.26% 5.07%
1974 2.31% 2.48%
1973 2.37% -0.19%
1972 2.42% 0.12%
1971 2.43% 0.39%
1970 2.4% 0.57%
1969 2.35% 0.12%
1968 2.28% -0.5%
1967 2.26% -0.6%
1966 2.23% -0.51%
1965 2.17% -0.64%
1964 2.19% 0.02%
1963 2.27% 0.91%
1962 2.34% 0.9%
1961 2.56% 0.89%

Data sources: United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10); World Bank | Health (1961–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/population/papua-new-guinea/tuvalu | CC BY

In 2024, the population of Papua New Guinea grew by 1.8%, while Tuvalu's population declined by 1.73%.

Live population counters

Papua New Guinea Tuvalu
Current population
11002753
9341
Population rank 89/197 196/197
Percent of world population 0.13% 0.0001%
One net population change
2.81 minutes
2.15 days
One birth every
2.06 minutes
1.62 days
One death every
7.76 minutes
4.1 days
Daily growth/decline +512 +0
Annual growth/decline +186,867 -170
Annual growth/decline rate +1.8% -1.73%
Population growth rate rank 59/197 195/197
One migration net change every
1.29 days
1.44 days
Annual migration change -284 -255
Net migration rank 87/196 86/196
Foreign-born residents 31,171 246
Foreign-born residents rank 163/195 195/195
Foreign-born share of population 0.3% 2.6%
Foreign-born share rank 183/195 126/195

Natural population change vs migration

Papua New Guinea
Natural

Migration
Tuvalu
Natural

Migration
1x
Year Population change
Papua New Guinea Tuvalu
Natural Migration Natural Migration
2025 - -284 - -255
2024 - -707 - -280
2023 187,637 -787 137 -323
2022 186,861 -787 150 -320
2021 183,766 10,703 151 -366
2020 189,130 10,703 161 -355
2019 190,662 22,978 166 -343
2018 190,662 24,684 169 -329
2017 189,715 26,513 163 -246
2016 189,281 28,473 157 -200
2015 188,600 30,580 153 -179
2014 187,592 32,840 149 -166
2013 185,790 35,280 148 -160
2012 183,658 37,893 148 1
2011 181,842 40,690 142 28
2010 178,998 50,106 136 22
2009 175,421 49,647 130 15
2008 172,823 48,985 125 10
2007 169,306 48,203 125 1
2006 166,540 47,191 129 -5
2005 163,888 46,014 131 -8
2004 161,023 44,811 132 -10
2003 158,611 43,639 136 -16
2002 155,091 42,657 141 -104
2001 151,431 41,962 151 -117
2000 147,496 41,855 159 -118
1999 143,592 42,519 166 -120
1998 136,677 43,091 172 -122
1997 134,458 42,787 177 -120
1996 129,802 41,994 182 -121
1995 125,410 40,962 191 -125
1994 122,113 39,669 195 -120
1993 118,668 38,220 202 -119
1992 114,818 36,622 196 -104
1991 111,453 26,830 203 -72
1990 110,033 2,398 204 -69
1989 108,199 -19,824 208 -71
1988 106,256 -26,232 215 -72
1987 104,367 -25,720 219 -68
1986 102,346 -25,495 219 -56
1985 100,333 -25,470 215 -36
1984 98,103 -25,487 212 -103
1983 95,982 -25,465 206 -87
1982 93,522 -25,355 198 -66
1981 91,767 -25,383 186 -46
1980 90,266 -25,638 173 0
1979 89,330 -25,618 158 37
1978 88,747 -25,208 141 119
1977 87,954 -24,722 128 149
1976 86,965 -24,198 117 171
1975 85,809 -23,562 108 186
1974 84,829 -22,771 102 197
1973 83,821 -21,803 101 -121
1972 82,672 -20,303 94 -102
1971 80,599 -18,945 101 -85
1970 78,712 -18,773 102 -71
1969 76,454 -18,994 102 -65
1968 73,983 -19,188 97 -127
1967 71,519 -19,767 92 -123
1966 69,206 -17,454 91 -121
1965 66,693 -18,532 93 -128
1964 64,558 -17,730 98 -135
1963 62,260 -15,189 106 -52
1962 59,974 -12,141 113 -61
1961 58,151 -10,409 120 -77
1960 56,326 -2,034 126 -79

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/population/papua-new-guinea/tuvalu | CC BY

Over the last 10 years, 91% of the population change in Papua New Guinea is from natural causes (a gain of 1,883,906 people) and 8.98% is from migration (a gain of 185,900 people). In Tuvalu 35.5% is from natural causes (a gain of 1,556 people) and 64.5% is from migration (a loss of 2,827 people).

As of 2024, 31,171 residents or 0.3% of the population were not native-born in Papua New Guinea, compared to 246 people or 2.6% in Tuvalu.

Biggest cities by population

Papua New Guinea
City Population
Port Moresby 317K
Lae 101K
Tuvalu
City Population
Funafuti 6.02K
Vaiaku 516

Compare countries by 7 more topics

Population map with other countries

1x

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06); United Nations | World Population Prospects (1960–2026, retrieved 2026-03-10); U.S. Census Bureau (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-02-08); Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2000–2019, retrieved 2026-02-20).

GeoRank.org/population/papua-new-guinea/tuvalu | CC BY

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Data sources:

  1. World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-04-06)
  2. United Nations | World Population Prospects (1960–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10)
  3. U.S. Census Bureau (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-02-08)
  4. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2000–2019, retrieved 2026-02-20)
  5. Wikidata (2026, retrieved 2026-02-08)

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