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Population in Papua New Guinea compared to Tuvalu: Trends, Charts, Rankings

Updated on by Georank

The latest officially reported population of Papua New Guinea was 10,762,817 in 2025 vs 9,492 people in Tuvalu in 2025. In 2026, based on the adjusted UN estimation, the current Papua New Guinea's population is 11,045,681 people compared to 9,349 in Tuvalu.

Population statistics:

  • Papua New Guinea's population is 1,181 times bigger than Tuvalu's.
  • Papua New Guinea is ranked the 89th most populous country in the world, while Tuvalu is the 196th.
  • The countries together account for 0.13% of the world: 0.13% for Papua New Guinea vs 0.0001% for Tuvalu.
  • For the last 10 years, Papua New Guinea has had an average growth rate of +2.14% per year vs -1.32% in Tuvalu.
  • Since 2006, the population of Papua New Guinea has increased from 6.75M people to 11M (63.7% growth), while Tuvalu has declined from 10.1K to 9.35K (7.03% decline).

Papua New Guinea vs Tuvalu: population by year and forecast

Papua New Guinea
Factual

Projection
Tuvalu
Factual

Projection
1x
Year Population
Papua New Guinea Tuvalu
2100 18,798,240 12,163
2099 18,786,145 12,156
2098 18,772,372 12,135
2097 18,755,008 12,114
2096 18,733,822 12,091
2095 18,710,340 12,076
2094 18,683,383 12,058
2093 18,654,365 12,038
2092 18,621,911 12,008
2091 18,586,147 11,982
2090 18,545,656 11,951
2089 18,506,626 11,919
2088 18,464,999 11,883
2087 18,420,558 11,857
2086 18,372,233 11,822
2085 18,321,842 11,781
2084 18,270,605 11,737
2083 18,214,932 11,699
2082 18,159,412 11,658
2081 18,100,531 11,618
2080 18,035,268 11,556
2079 17,972,052 11,500
2078 17,904,957 11,451
2077 17,837,082 11,391
2076 17,768,107 11,334
2075 17,695,759 11,277
2074 17,621,390 11,212
2073 17,544,490 11,136
2072 17,463,028 11,077
2071 17,377,995 11,003
2070 17,291,519 10,944
2069 17,201,936 10,875
2068 17,108,606 10,807
2067 17,011,562 10,739
2066 16,911,929 10,675
2065 16,809,460 10,620
2064 16,705,205 10,554
2063 16,600,853 10,491
2062 16,493,872 10,433
2061 16,383,508 10,364
2060 16,267,162 10,307
2059 16,149,265 10,238
2058 16,029,360 10,175
2057 15,906,350 10,123
2056 15,781,247 10,056
2055 15,653,296 9,993
2054 15,519,925 9,935
2053 15,386,054 9,867
2052 15,247,553 9,810
2051 15,107,257 9,739
2050 14,965,427 9,674
2049 14,818,793 9,608
2048 14,670,417 9,541
2047 14,519,915 9,464
2046 14,367,141 9,397
2045 14,210,639 9,337
2044 14,053,122 9,274
2043 13,894,884 9,209
2042 13,735,841 9,143
2041 13,574,567 9,092
2040 13,410,615 9,050
2039 13,244,740 8,999
2038 13,076,640 8,960
2037 12,907,059 8,932
2036 12,735,582 8,917
2035 12,563,938 8,908
2034 12,389,907 8,901
2033 12,215,713 8,910
2032 12,039,848 8,930
2031 11,862,856 8,954
2030 11,683,177 9,004
2029 11,502,504 9,064
2028 11,320,226 9,139
2027 11,136,100 9,233
2026 10,950,183 9,349
2025 10,762,817 9,492
2024 10,576,502 9,646
2023 10,389,635 9,816
2022 10,203,169 9,992
2021 10,012,896 10,194
2020 9,815,746 10,399
2019 9,609,010 10,581
2018 9,394,513 10,751
2017 9,178,714 10,869
2016 8,961,718 10,930
2015 8,743,246 10,963
2014 8,523,441 10,984
2013 8,302,698 11,001
2012 8,081,390 10,934
2011 7,859,346 10,780
2010 7,633,523 10,614
2009 7,406,438 10,461
2008 7,183,002 10,321
2007 6,963,345 10,182
2006 6,747,720 10,056
2005 6,535,905 9,940
2004 6,328,041 9,816
2003 6,123,997 9,695
2002 5,924,003 9,623
2001 5,728,435 9,586
2000 5,537,064 9,544
1999 5,349,333 9,496
1998 5,166,390 9,451
1997 4,987,883 9,400
1996 4,813,361 9,342
1995 4,644,278 9,280
1994 4,480,208 9,207
1993 4,320,872 9,126
1992 4,166,699 9,038
1991 4,021,837 8,928
1990 3,896,481 8,798
1989 3,796,078 8,662
1988 3,711,880 8,518
1987 3,632,543 8,371
1986 3,554,793 8,217
1985 3,478,936 8,046
1984 3,405,198 7,902
1983 3,333,633 7,789
1982 3,264,291 7,664
1981 3,197,019 7,526
1980 3,131,512 7,366
1979 3,067,341 7,184
1978 3,003,714 6,957
1977 2,940,327 6,686
1976 2,877,327 6,404
1975 2,814,820 6,117
1974 2,752,671 5,822
1973 2,690,629 5,681
1972 2,628,432 5,692
1971 2,566,421 5,685
1970 2,505,628 5,663
1969 2,446,927 5,631
1968 2,390,803 5,624
1967 2,337,532 5,652
1966 2,285,774 5,686
1965 2,235,820 5,715
1964 2,188,325 5,752
1963 2,141,376 5,751
1962 2,093,919 5,699
1961 2,046,127 5,648
1960 1,995,110 5,598

Data sources: United Nations | World Population Prospects (2026–2100, retrieved 2026-07-08); World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08).

GeoRank.org/population/papua-new-guinea/tuvalu | CC BY

From 2006 to 2016, the population of Papua New Guinea increased by 2,213,998 people (a 32.8% growth), while Tuvalu gained 874 people (a 8.69% growth).

For the next 10 years, from 2016 to 2026, Papua New Guinea gained 2,083,963 people (a 23.3% growth), while Tuvalu's population decreased by 1,581 people (a 14.5% decline).

Papua New Guinea was ranked 100th most populous country in 2006 and is 89th in 2026. Tuvalu was ranked 195th in 2006 and ranked 196th now.

The UN's World Population Prospects forecasts that in 24 years (in 2050) Papua New Guinea's population will grow by 35.5% to 14,965,427 people with a rank change from 89th to 84th. The population of Tuvalu will increase by 3.48% to 9,674 people and will still be ranked 196th.

Papua New Guinea is projected to reach its peak in 2100 at 18.8M people compared to the peak of 12.2K people in 2100 for Tuvalu.

Population growth rate by year

Papua New Guinea
Factual

Projection
Tuvalu
Factual

Projection
1x
Year Growth rate
Papua New Guinea Tuvalu
2100 0.06% 0.06%
2099 0.07% 0.17%
2098 0.09% 0.18%
2097 0.11% 0.19%
2096 0.13% 0.12%
2095 0.14% 0.15%
2094 0.16% 0.16%
2093 0.17% 0.25%
2092 0.19% 0.22%
2091 0.22% 0.26%
2090 0.21% 0.27%
2089 0.23% 0.3%
2088 0.24% 0.23%
2087 0.26% 0.29%
2086 0.28% 0.35%
2085 0.28% 0.37%
2084 0.31% 0.33%
2083 0.31% 0.35%
2082 0.33% 0.34%
2081 0.36% 0.54%
2080 0.35% 0.48%
2079 0.37% 0.43%
2078 0.38% 0.52%
2077 0.39% 0.51%
2076 0.41% 0.5%
2075 0.42% 0.58%
2074 0.44% 0.69%
2073 0.47% 0.53%
2072 0.49% 0.68%
2071 0.5% 0.54%
2070 0.52% 0.64%
2069 0.55% 0.63%
2068 0.57% 0.63%
2067 0.59% 0.6%
2066 0.61% 0.51%
2065 0.62% 0.62%
2064 0.63% 0.61%
2063 0.65% 0.55%
2062 0.67% 0.67%
2061 0.72% 0.55%
2060 0.73% 0.68%
2059 0.75% 0.61%
2058 0.77% 0.52%
2057 0.79% 0.66%
2056 0.82% 0.64%
2055 0.86% 0.58%
2054 0.87% 0.69%
2053 0.91% 0.58%
2052 0.93% 0.73%
2051 0.95% 0.67%
2050 0.99% 0.69%
2049 1.01% 0.7%
2048 1.04% 0.82%
2047 1.06% 0.71%
2046 1.1% 0.65%
2045 1.12% 0.67%
2044 1.14% 0.71%
2043 1.16% 0.72%
2042 1.19% 0.57%
2041 1.22% 0.46%
2040 1.25% 0.56%
2039 1.29% 0.44%
2038 1.31% 0.31%
2037 1.35% 0.17%
2036 1.37% 0.1%
2035 1.4% 0.08%
2034 1.43% -0.1%
2033 1.46% -0.22%
2032 1.49% -0.27%
2031 1.54% -0.56%
2030 1.57% -0.66%
2029 1.61% -0.83%
2028 1.65% -1.02%
2027 1.7% -1.23%
2026 1.74% -1.51%
2025 1.76% -1.6%
2024 1.8% -1.73%
2023 1.83% -1.76%
2022 1.9% -1.98%
2021 2.01% -1.97%
2020 2.15% -1.72%
2019 2.28% -1.58%
2018 2.35% -1.09%
2017 2.42% -0.56%
2016 2.5% -0.3%
2015 2.58% -0.19%
2014 2.66% -0.15%
2013 2.74% 0.61%
2012 2.83% 1.43%
2011 2.96% 1.56%
2010 3.07% 1.46%
2009 3.11% 1.36%
2008 3.15% 1.37%
2007 3.2% 1.25%
2006 3.24% 1.17%
2005 3.28% 1.26%
2004 3.33% 1.25%
2003 3.38% 0.75%
2002 3.41% 0.39%
2001 3.46% 0.44%
2000 3.51% 0.51%
1999 3.54% 0.48%
1998 3.58% 0.54%
1997 3.63% 0.62%
1996 3.64% 0.67%
1995 3.66% 0.79%
1994 3.69% 0.89%
1993 3.7% 0.97%
1992 3.6% 1.23%
1991 3.22% 1.48%
1990 2.64% 1.57%
1989 2.27% 1.69%
1988 2.18% 1.76%
1987 2.19% 1.87%
1986 2.18% 2.13%
1985 2.17% 1.82%
1984 2.15% 1.45%
1983 2.12% 1.63%
1982 2.1% 1.83%
1981 2.09% 2.17%
1980 2.09% 2.53%
1979 2.12% 3.26%
1978 2.16% 4.05%
1977 2.19% 4.4%
1976 2.22% 4.69%
1975 2.26% 5.07%
1974 2.31% 2.48%
1973 2.37% -0.19%
1972 2.42% 0.12%
1971 2.43% 0.39%
1970 2.4% 0.57%
1969 2.35% 0.12%
1968 2.28% -0.5%
1967 2.26% -0.6%
1966 2.23% -0.51%
1965 2.17% -0.64%
1964 2.19% 0.02%
1963 2.27% 0.91%
1962 2.34% 0.9%
1961 2.56% 0.89%

Data sources: United Nations | World Population Prospects (2026–2100, retrieved 2026-07-08); World Bank | Health (1961–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08).

GeoRank.org/population/papua-new-guinea/tuvalu | CC BY

In 2025, the population of Papua New Guinea grew by 1.76%, while Tuvalu's population declined by 1.6%.

Live population counters

Papua New Guinea Tuvalu
Current population
11045681
9349
Population rank 89/197 196/197
Percent of world population 0.13% 0.0001%
One net population change
2.83 minutes
2.38 days
One birth every
2.05 minutes
1.73 days
One death every
7.58 minutes
4.1 days
Daily growth/decline +510 +0
Annual growth/decline +186,315 -154
Annual growth/decline rate +1.76% -1.6%
Population growth rate rank 59/197 195/197
One migration net change every
1.29 days
1.44 days
Annual migration change -284 -255
Net migration rank 87/196 86/196
Foreign-born residents 31,171 246
Foreign-born residents rank 163/195 195/195
Foreign-born share of population 0.3% 2.6%
Foreign-born share rank 183/195 126/195

Natural population change vs migration

Papua New Guinea
Natural

Migration
Tuvalu
Natural

Migration
1x
Year Population change
Papua New Guinea Tuvalu
Natural Migration Natural Migration
2025 - -284 - -255
2024 187,595 -707 122 -280
2023 187,637 -787 137 -323
2022 186,861 -787 150 -320
2021 183,766 10,703 151 -366
2020 189,130 10,703 161 -355
2019 190,662 22,978 166 -343
2018 190,662 24,684 169 -329
2017 189,715 26,513 163 -246
2016 189,281 28,473 157 -200
2015 188,600 30,580 153 -179
2014 187,592 32,840 149 -166
2013 185,790 35,280 148 -160
2012 183,658 37,893 148 1
2011 181,842 40,690 142 28
2010 178,998 50,106 136 22
2009 175,421 49,647 130 15
2008 172,823 48,985 125 10
2007 169,306 48,203 125 1
2006 166,540 47,191 129 -5
2005 163,888 46,014 131 -8
2004 161,023 44,811 132 -10
2003 158,611 43,639 136 -16
2002 155,091 42,657 141 -104
2001 151,431 41,962 151 -117
2000 147,496 41,855 159 -118
1999 143,592 42,519 166 -120
1998 136,677 43,091 172 -122
1997 134,458 42,787 177 -120
1996 129,802 41,994 182 -121
1995 125,410 40,962 191 -125
1994 122,113 39,669 195 -120
1993 118,668 38,220 202 -119
1992 114,818 36,622 196 -104
1991 111,453 26,830 203 -72
1990 110,033 2,398 204 -69
1989 108,199 -19,824 208 -71
1988 106,256 -26,232 215 -72
1987 104,367 -25,720 219 -68
1986 102,346 -25,495 219 -56
1985 100,333 -25,470 215 -36
1984 98,103 -25,487 212 -103
1983 95,982 -25,465 206 -87
1982 93,522 -25,355 198 -66
1981 91,767 -25,383 186 -46
1980 90,266 -25,638 173 0
1979 89,330 -25,618 158 37
1978 88,747 -25,208 141 119
1977 87,954 -24,722 128 149
1976 86,965 -24,198 117 171
1975 85,809 -23,562 108 186
1974 84,829 -22,771 102 197
1973 83,821 -21,803 101 -121
1972 82,672 -20,303 94 -102
1971 80,599 -18,945 101 -85
1970 78,712 -18,773 102 -71
1969 76,454 -18,994 102 -65
1968 73,983 -19,188 97 -127
1967 71,519 -19,767 92 -123
1966 69,206 -17,454 91 -121
1965 66,693 -18,532 93 -128
1964 64,558 -17,730 98 -135
1963 62,260 -15,189 106 -52
1962 59,974 -12,141 113 -61
1961 58,151 -10,409 120 -77
1960 56,326 -2,034 126 -79

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08).

GeoRank.org/population/papua-new-guinea/tuvalu | CC BY

Over the last 10 years, 92.5% of the population change in Papua New Guinea is from natural causes (a gain of 1,883,909 people) and 7.48% is from migration (a gain of 152,353 people). In Tuvalu 34.2% is from natural causes (a gain of 1,529 people) and 65.8% is from migration (a loss of 2,941 people).

As of 2024, 31,171 residents or 0.3% of the population were not native-born in Papua New Guinea, compared to 246 people or 2.6% in Tuvalu.

Biggest cities by population

Papua New Guinea
City Population
Port Moresby 317K
Lae 101K
Tuvalu
City Population
Funafuti 6.02K
Vaiaku 516

Compare countries by 7 more topics

Population map with other countries

1x

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08); United Nations | World Population Prospects (1960–2026, retrieved 2026-07-08); U.S. Census Bureau (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08); Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2000–2019, retrieved 2026-07-08).

GeoRank.org/population/papua-new-guinea/tuvalu | CC BY

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Data sources:

  1. World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08)
  2. United Nations | World Population Prospects (1960–2100, retrieved 2026-07-08)
  3. U.S. Census Bureau (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08)
  4. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2000–2019, retrieved 2026-07-08)
  5. Wikidata (2026, retrieved 2026-07-08)

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