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Population in Eritrea compared to Tajikistan: Trends, Charts, Rankings

Updated on by Georank team

The latest officially reported population of Eritrea was 3,535,603 in 2024 vs 10,590,927 people in Tajikistan in 2024. In 2026, based on the adjusted UN estimation, the current Eritrea's population is 3,700,586 people compared to 11,038,274 in Tajikistan.

Population statistics:

  • Tajikistan's population is 2.98 times bigger than Eritrea's.
  • Eritrea is ranked the 130th most populous country in the world, while Tajikistan is the 88th.
  • The countries together account for 0.18% of the world: 0.04% for Eritrea vs 0.13% for Tajikistan.
  • For the last 10 years, Eritrea has had an average growth rate of +1.28% per year vs +2.33% in Tajikistan.
  • Since 2006, the population of Eritrea has increased from 2.7M people to 3.7M (36.9% growth), while Tajikistan has grown from 7.06M to 11M (56.4% growth).

Eritrea vs Tajikistan: population by year and forecast

Eritrea
Factual

Projection
Tajikistan
Factual

Projection
1x
Year Population
Eritrea Tajikistan
2100 8,514,681 20,390,053
2099 8,489,924 20,381,074
2098 8,466,983 20,367,161
2097 8,444,468 20,348,897
2096 8,422,323 20,324,869
2095 8,396,086 20,297,885
2094 8,370,114 20,265,966
2093 8,344,405 20,234,160
2092 8,309,034 20,192,937
2091 8,278,860 20,148,873
2090 8,243,905 20,103,798
2089 8,209,883 20,056,079
2088 8,172,664 20,005,521
2087 8,136,016 19,950,317
2086 8,093,065 19,895,606
2085 8,046,814 19,836,988
2084 7,999,706 19,773,272
2083 7,956,385 19,706,082
2082 7,911,764 19,639,516
2081 7,871,753 19,572,596
2080 7,815,766 19,499,390
2079 7,765,677 19,425,502
2078 7,711,886 19,347,261
2077 7,656,307 19,265,447
2076 7,600,951 19,175,355
2075 7,538,912 19,083,859
2074 7,484,322 18,988,290
2073 7,420,571 18,889,470
2072 7,358,500 18,785,103
2071 7,296,109 18,674,697
2070 7,231,198 18,559,138
2069 7,164,883 18,437,873
2068 7,094,530 18,315,011
2067 7,026,000 18,187,508
2066 6,952,514 18,054,404
2065 6,884,323 17,921,674
2064 6,814,893 17,783,801
2063 6,733,263 17,641,066
2062 6,659,531 17,498,306
2061 6,580,923 17,356,130
2060 6,500,944 17,206,922
2059 6,422,305 17,056,085
2058 6,343,070 16,903,532
2057 6,265,450 16,749,284
2056 6,194,123 16,595,691
2055 6,114,099 16,441,650
2054 6,039,801 16,285,520
2053 5,957,339 16,130,235
2052 5,871,954 15,967,770
2051 5,791,096 15,805,253
2050 5,711,061 15,638,613
2049 5,632,165 15,468,883
2048 5,549,890 15,292,499
2047 5,468,518 15,112,083
2046 5,387,267 14,928,123
2045 5,300,511 14,739,540
2044 5,215,831 14,544,544
2043 5,131,686 14,349,357
2042 5,044,262 14,147,892
2041 4,960,422 13,945,694
2040 4,870,981 13,741,587
2039 4,782,316 13,536,704
2038 4,693,015 13,331,490
2037 4,599,752 13,125,051
2036 4,506,879 12,917,110
2035 4,420,367 12,714,184
2034 4,332,828 12,515,962
2033 4,248,272 12,321,294
2032 4,165,241 12,128,060
2031 4,083,762 11,938,351
2030 3,998,903 11,749,706
2029 3,917,775 11,559,235
2028 3,836,693 11,369,414
2027 3,756,696 11,178,605
2026 3,679,782 10,986,242
2025 3,603,902 10,791,246
2024 3,535,603 10,590,927
2023 3,470,390 10,389,799
2022 3,409,447 10,182,222
2021 3,350,183 9,966,908
2020 3,291,271 9,749,310
2019 3,240,194 9,529,966
2018 3,192,760 9,307,333
2017 3,150,347 9,085,946
2016 3,124,698 8,865,631
2015 3,105,546 8,643,840
2014 3,095,173 8,425,552
2013 3,074,360 8,216,724
2012 3,036,988 8,014,084
2011 2,998,485 7,824,785
2010 2,945,186 7,652,141
2009 2,887,885 7,490,230
2008 2,816,327 7,338,403
2007 2,743,222 7,194,477
2006 2,703,502 7,057,566
2005 2,661,215 6,924,720
2004 2,598,284 6,790,547
2003 2,493,903 6,658,575
2002 2,392,978 6,531,669
2001 2,312,079 6,407,377
2000 2,247,031 6,284,735
1999 2,212,780 6,208,370
1998 2,180,419 6,176,397
1997 2,152,135 6,139,829
1996 2,128,464 6,066,523
1995 2,025,267 5,948,584
1994 1,913,915 5,825,368
1993 1,856,006 5,724,993
1992 1,798,748 5,649,400
1991 1,919,571 5,541,205
1990 2,032,737 5,398,768
1989 1,987,017 5,267,249
1988 1,938,255 5,114,989
1987 1,888,669 4,939,059
1986 1,845,164 4,772,139
1985 1,807,816 4,619,003
1984 1,771,730 4,480,026
1983 1,736,160 4,350,874
1982 1,695,461 4,227,171
1981 1,649,939 4,109,022
1980 1,605,797 3,995,256
1979 1,563,332 3,882,691
1978 1,522,378 3,768,508
1977 1,482,565 3,653,265
1976 1,443,807 3,540,076
1975 1,408,210 3,430,425
1974 1,375,688 3,324,499
1973 1,342,669 3,222,290
1972 1,309,235 3,123,691
1971 1,276,154 3,028,837
1970 1,243,453 2,936,779
1969 1,212,005 2,845,273
1968 1,181,737 2,753,848
1967 1,152,339 2,664,130
1966 1,124,957 2,577,184
1965 1,098,335 2,492,998
1964 1,071,287 2,411,260
1963 1,045,092 2,331,736
1962 1,019,788 2,255,026
1961 995,573 2,181,805
1960 972,547 2,112,131

Data sources: United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10); World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/population/eritrea/tajikistan | CC BY

From 2006 to 2016, the population of Eritrea increased by 421,196 people (a 15.6% growth), while Tajikistan gained 1,808,065 people (a 25.6% growth).

For the next 10 years, from 2016 to 2026, Eritrea gained 575,888 people (a 18.4% growth), while Tajikistan's population increased by 2,172,643 people (a 24.5% growth).

Eritrea was ranked 135th most populous country in 2006 and is 130th in 2026. Tajikistan was ranked 98th in 2006 and ranked 88th now.

The UN's World Population Prospects forecasts that in 24 years (in 2050) Eritrea's population will grow by 54.3% to 5,711,061 people with a rank change from 130th to 123rd. The population of Tajikistan will increase by 41.7% to 15,638,613 people and rank change from 88th to 82nd.

Eritrea is projected to reach its peak in 2100 at 8.51M people compared to the peak of 20.4M people in 2100 for Tajikistan.

Population growth rate by year

Eritrea
Factual

Projection
Tajikistan
Factual

Projection
1x
Year Growth rate
Eritrea Tajikistan
2100 0.29% 0.04%
2099 0.27% 0.07%
2098 0.27% 0.09%
2097 0.26% 0.12%
2096 0.31% 0.13%
2095 0.31% 0.16%
2094 0.31% 0.16%
2093 0.43% 0.2%
2092 0.36% 0.22%
2091 0.42% 0.22%
2090 0.41% 0.24%
2089 0.46% 0.25%
2088 0.45% 0.28%
2087 0.53% 0.27%
2086 0.57% 0.3%
2085 0.59% 0.32%
2084 0.54% 0.34%
2083 0.56% 0.34%
2082 0.51% 0.34%
2081 0.72% 0.38%
2080 0.65% 0.38%
2079 0.7% 0.4%
2078 0.73% 0.42%
2077 0.73% 0.47%
2076 0.82% 0.48%
2075 0.73% 0.5%
2074 0.86% 0.52%
2073 0.84% 0.56%
2072 0.86% 0.59%
2071 0.9% 0.62%
2070 0.93% 0.66%
2069 0.99% 0.67%
2068 0.98% 0.7%
2067 1.06% 0.74%
2066 0.99% 0.74%
2065 1.02% 0.78%
2064 1.21% 0.81%
2063 1.11% 0.82%
2062 1.19% 0.82%
2061 1.23% 0.87%
2060 1.22% 0.88%
2059 1.25% 0.9%
2058 1.24% 0.92%
2057 1.15% 0.93%
2056 1.31% 0.94%
2055 1.23% 0.96%
2054 1.38% 0.96%
2053 1.45% 1.02%
2052 1.4% 1.03%
2051 1.4% 1.07%
2050 1.4% 1.1%
2049 1.48% 1.15%
2048 1.49% 1.19%
2047 1.51% 1.23%
2046 1.64% 1.28%
2045 1.62% 1.34%
2044 1.64% 1.36%
2043 1.73% 1.42%
2042 1.69% 1.45%
2041 1.84% 1.49%
2040 1.85% 1.51%
2039 1.9% 1.54%
2038 2.03% 1.57%
2037 2.06% 1.61%
2036 1.96% 1.6%
2035 2.02% 1.58%
2034 1.99% 1.58%
2033 1.99% 1.59%
2032 2% 1.59%
2031 2.12% 1.61%
2030 2.07% 1.65%
2029 2.11% 1.67%
2028 2.13% 1.71%
2027 2.09% 1.75%
2026 2.11% 1.81%
2025 1.93% 1.89%
2024 1.88% 1.94%
2023 1.79% 2.04%
2022 1.77% 2.16%
2021 1.79% 2.23%
2020 1.58% 2.3%
2019 1.49% 2.39%
2018 1.35% 2.44%
2017 0.82% 2.49%
2016 0.62% 2.57%
2015 0.34% 2.59%
2014 0.68% 2.54%
2013 1.23% 2.53%
2012 1.28% 2.42%
2011 1.81% 2.26%
2010 1.98% 2.16%
2009 2.54% 2.07%
2008 2.66% 2%
2007 1.47% 1.94%
2006 1.59% 1.92%
2005 2.42% 1.98%
2004 4.19% 1.98%
2003 4.22% 1.94%
2002 3.5% 1.94%
2001 2.89% 1.95%
2000 1.55% 1.23%
1999 1.48% 0.52%
1998 1.31% 0.6%
1997 1.11% 1.21%
1996 5.1% 1.98%
1995 5.82% 2.12%
1994 3.12% 1.75%
1993 3.18% 1.34%
1992 -6.29% 1.95%
1991 -5.57% 2.64%
1990 2.3% 2.5%
1989 2.52% 2.98%
1988 2.63% 3.56%
1987 2.36% 3.5%
1986 2.07% 3.32%
1985 2.04% 3.1%
1984 2.05% 2.97%
1983 2.4% 2.93%
1982 2.76% 2.88%
1981 2.75% 2.85%
1980 2.72% 2.9%
1979 2.69% 3.03%
1978 2.69% 3.15%
1977 2.68% 3.2%
1976 2.53% 3.2%
1975 2.36% 3.19%
1974 2.46% 3.17%
1973 2.55% 3.16%
1972 2.59% 3.13%
1971 2.63% 3.13%
1970 2.59% 3.22%
1969 2.56% 3.32%
1968 2.55% 3.37%
1967 2.43% 3.37%
1966 2.42% 3.38%
1965 2.52% 3.39%
1964 2.51% 3.41%
1963 2.48% 3.4%
1962 2.43% 3.36%
1961 2.37% 3.3%

Data sources: United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10); World Bank | Health (1961–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/population/eritrea/tajikistan | CC BY

In 2024, the population of Eritrea grew by 1.88%, while Tajikistan's population grew by 1.94%.

Live population counters

Eritrea Tajikistan
Current population
3700586
11038274
Population rank 130/197 88/197
Percent of world population 0.04% 0.13%
One net population change
8.06 minutes
2.61 minutes
One birth every
5.31 minutes
1.94 minutes
One death every
25 minutes
11 minutes
Daily growth/decline +179 +551
Annual growth/decline +65,213 +201,128
Annual growth/decline rate +1.88% +1.94%
Population growth rate rank 58/197 55/197
One migration net change every
1.31 hours
24.4 minutes
Annual migration change -6,698 -21,606
Net migration rank 122/196 152/196
Foreign-born residents 12,512 276,777
Foreign-born residents rank 176/195 101/195
Foreign-born share of population 0.4% 2.6%
Foreign-born share rank 178/195 124/195

Natural population change vs migration

Eritrea
Natural

Migration
Tajikistan
Natural

Migration
1x
Year Population change
Eritrea Tajikistan
Natural Migration Natural Migration
2025 - -6,698 - -21,606
2024 - -12,696 - -21,236
2023 78,073 -15,284 223,828 -19,999
2022 76,221 -17,134 228,336 -17,001
2021 74,394 -14,966 222,850 -3,564
2020 73,362 -14,967 219,467 -3,564
2019 73,572 -29,818 231,817 -9,041
2018 72,511 -21,403 228,597 -6,111
2017 72,291 -38,579 224,396 -4,093
2016 73,002 -55,431 228,547 -8,210
2015 73,682 -52,965 230,903 -7,660
2014 75,729 -75,696 227,304 -13,962
2013 75,562 -33,974 220,693 -16,362
2012 76,416 -43,269 213,078 -12,132
2011 76,806 -32,949 208,429 -30,783
2010 76,098 -13,361 201,389 -33,733
2009 76,206 -24,348 192,851 -36,677
2008 73,391 17,855 182,337 -34,855
2007 73,101 -18,131 173,200 -32,831
2006 74,470 -49,998 164,046 -30,591
2005 72,930 -12,835 160,189 -27,954
2004 72,147 -6,374 161,201 -25,082
2003 66,291 76,703 150,391 -22,562
2002 65,436 -6,574 146,492 -20,526
2001 61,180 41,760 142,276 -19,657
2000 60,274 -33,133 136,549 -13,871
1999 45,120 -3,769 147,622 -117,571
1998 55,332 -31,951 153,508 -119,621
1997 63,953 -30,768 149,825 -110,572
1996 66,557 -52,421 138,287 -30,922
1995 56,157 136,105 168,934 -40,418
1994 56,288 -25,841 167,590 -49,668
1993 51,679 33,688 157,975 -75,147
1992 51,443 -22,293 163,652 -95,280
1991 57,741 -328,546 177,585 -29,553
1990 56,903 -12,425 178,429 -41,596
1989 54,299 -7,330 179,212 -53,020
1988 54,163 -3,612 172,805 5,523
1987 52,229 -3,613 163,611 9,923
1986 39,470 -1,073 155,987 4,321
1985 37,362 -1,073 145,720 247
1984 35,101 772 139,145 -7,152
1983 33,420 1,853 133,280 -6,972
1982 44,146 1,985 127,838 -6,730
1981 42,924 1,985 121,418 -6,221
1980 41,392 1,985 117,888 -5,557
1979 39,577 1,985 114,496 -1,703
1978 38,353 1,985 110,564 5,006
1977 37,295 1,985 106,920 7,999
1976 36,250 1,985 103,777 7,679
1975 30,971 1,985 100,604 7,237
1974 30,111 1,985 97,481 6,531
1973 31,969 1,985 94,523 5,876
1972 30,951 1,953 91,677 5,123
1971 31,490 1,758 88,618 4,293
1970 30,686 1,480 85,645 5,559
1969 29,535 1,199 82,931 8,886
1968 28,777 1,013 80,698 10,323
1967 27,992 1,004 78,733 9,670
1966 24,713 1,063 76,702 8,796
1965 26,285 1,188 75,139 7,744
1964 25,327 1,300 74,030 6,568
1963 24,393 1,368 73,065 5,379
1962 23,478 1,364 70,700 4,270
1961 22,351 1,235 68,182 3,291
1960 21,424 1,045 65,415 2,457

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/population/eritrea/tajikistan | CC BY

Over the last 10 years, 68.8% of the population change in Eritrea is from natural causes (a gain of 742,837 people) and 31.2% is from migration (a loss of 336,243 people). In Tajikistan 96% is from natural causes (a gain of 2,266,045 people) and 3.95% is from migration (a loss of 93,205 people).

As of 2024, 12,512 residents or 0.4% of the population were not native-born in Eritrea, compared to 276,777 people or 2.6% in Tajikistan.

Biggest cities by population

Eritrea
City Population
Asmara 963K
Keren 120K
Massawa 39.8K
Mendefera 28.5K
Tajikistan
City Population
Dushanbe 948K
Khujand 199K
Qurghonteppa 127K
Istaravshan 64.3K
Konibodom 54.4K
Tursunzoda 46.7K
Panjakent 33K
Buston 29.8K
Ghafurov 18.4K
Istiklol 14.2K

Compare countries by 7 more topics

Population map with other countries

1x

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06); United Nations | World Population Prospects (1960–2026, retrieved 2026-03-10); U.S. Census Bureau (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-02-08); Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2000–2019, retrieved 2026-02-20).

GeoRank.org/population/eritrea/tajikistan | CC BY

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Data sources:

  1. World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-04-06)
  2. United Nations | World Population Prospects (1960–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10)
  3. U.S. Census Bureau (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-02-08)
  4. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2000–2019, retrieved 2026-02-20)
  5. Wikidata (2026, retrieved 2026-02-08)

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