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Population in Eritrea compared to Tajikistan: Trends, Charts, Rankings

Updated on by Georank

The latest officially reported population of Eritrea was 3,607,003 in 2025 vs 10,786,734 people in Tajikistan in 2025. In 2026, based on the adjusted UN estimation, the current Eritrea's population is 3,722,489 people compared to 11,080,415 in Tajikistan.

Population statistics:

  • Tajikistan's population is 2.98 times bigger than Eritrea's.
  • Eritrea is ranked the 131st most populous country in the world, while Tajikistan is the 88th.
  • The countries together account for 0.18% of the world: 0.04% for Eritrea vs 0.13% for Tajikistan.
  • For the last 10 years, Eritrea has had an average growth rate of +1.4% per year vs +2.27% in Tajikistan.
  • Since 2006, the population of Eritrea has increased from 2.7M people to 3.72M (37.7% growth), while Tajikistan has grown from 7.06M to 11.1M (57% growth).

Eritrea vs Tajikistan: population by year and forecast

Eritrea
Factual

Projection
Tajikistan
Factual

Projection
1x
Year Population
Eritrea Tajikistan
2100 8,522,007 20,381,526
2099 8,497,228 20,372,551
2098 8,474,268 20,358,644
2097 8,451,733 20,340,387
2096 8,429,569 20,316,369
2095 8,403,309 20,289,397
2094 8,377,316 20,257,491
2093 8,351,585 20,225,699
2092 8,316,183 20,184,493
2091 8,285,983 20,140,447
2090 8,250,998 20,095,391
2089 8,216,946 20,047,692
2088 8,179,696 19,997,155
2087 8,143,016 19,941,974
2086 8,100,028 19,887,286
2085 8,053,737 19,828,693
2084 8,006,588 19,765,003
2083 7,963,231 19,697,841
2082 7,918,571 19,631,303
2081 7,878,525 19,564,411
2080 7,822,491 19,491,236
2079 7,772,358 19,417,379
2078 7,718,520 19,339,170
2077 7,662,894 19,257,390
2076 7,607,491 19,167,336
2075 7,545,398 19,075,879
2074 7,490,761 18,980,350
2073 7,426,955 18,881,571
2072 7,364,831 18,777,247
2071 7,302,386 18,666,888
2070 7,237,419 18,551,377
2069 7,171,047 18,430,162
2068 7,100,633 18,307,352
2067 7,032,045 18,179,902
2066 6,958,496 18,046,854
2065 6,890,246 17,914,179
2064 6,820,756 17,776,364
2063 6,739,056 17,633,689
2062 6,665,261 17,490,989
2061 6,586,585 17,348,872
2060 6,506,537 17,199,727
2059 6,427,830 17,048,953
2058 6,348,527 16,896,463
2057 6,270,841 16,742,280
2056 6,199,452 16,588,751
2055 6,119,360 16,434,774
2054 6,044,997 16,278,710
2053 5,962,464 16,123,490
2052 5,877,006 15,961,093
2051 5,796,079 15,798,643
2050 5,715,974 15,632,073
2049 5,637,011 15,462,414
2048 5,554,665 15,286,104
2047 5,473,222 15,105,763
2046 5,391,902 14,921,881
2045 5,305,072 14,733,376
2044 5,220,319 14,538,462
2043 5,136,101 14,343,357
2042 5,048,602 14,141,976
2041 4,964,690 13,939,862
2040 4,875,172 13,735,841
2039 4,786,431 13,531,043
2038 4,697,052 13,325,915
2037 4,603,709 13,119,563
2036 4,510,757 12,911,709
2035 4,424,170 12,708,867
2034 4,336,556 12,510,728
2033 4,251,927 12,316,142
2032 4,168,824 12,122,988
2031 4,087,276 11,933,358
2030 4,002,343 11,744,792
2029 3,921,145 11,554,401
2028 3,839,994 11,364,659
2027 3,759,928 11,173,930
2026 3,682,948 10,981,648
2025 3,607,003 10,786,734
2024 3,535,603 10,590,927
2023 3,470,390 10,389,799
2022 3,409,447 10,182,222
2021 3,350,183 9,966,908
2020 3,291,271 9,749,310
2019 3,240,194 9,529,966
2018 3,192,760 9,307,333
2017 3,150,347 9,085,946
2016 3,124,698 8,865,631
2015 3,105,546 8,643,840
2014 3,095,173 8,425,552
2013 3,074,360 8,216,724
2012 3,036,988 8,014,084
2011 2,998,485 7,824,785
2010 2,945,186 7,652,141
2009 2,887,885 7,490,230
2008 2,816,327 7,338,403
2007 2,743,222 7,194,477
2006 2,703,502 7,057,566
2005 2,661,215 6,924,720
2004 2,598,284 6,790,547
2003 2,493,903 6,658,575
2002 2,392,978 6,531,669
2001 2,312,079 6,407,377
2000 2,247,031 6,284,735
1999 2,212,780 6,208,370
1998 2,180,419 6,176,397
1997 2,152,135 6,139,829
1996 2,128,464 6,066,523
1995 2,025,267 5,948,584
1994 1,913,915 5,825,368
1993 1,856,006 5,724,993
1992 1,798,748 5,649,400
1991 1,919,571 5,541,205
1990 2,032,737 5,398,768
1989 1,987,017 5,267,249
1988 1,938,255 5,114,989
1987 1,888,669 4,939,059
1986 1,845,164 4,772,139
1985 1,807,816 4,619,003
1984 1,771,730 4,480,026
1983 1,736,160 4,350,874
1982 1,695,461 4,227,171
1981 1,649,939 4,109,022
1980 1,605,797 3,995,256
1979 1,563,332 3,882,691
1978 1,522,378 3,768,508
1977 1,482,565 3,653,265
1976 1,443,807 3,540,076
1975 1,408,210 3,430,425
1974 1,375,688 3,324,499
1973 1,342,669 3,222,290
1972 1,309,235 3,123,691
1971 1,276,154 3,028,837
1970 1,243,453 2,936,779
1969 1,212,005 2,845,273
1968 1,181,737 2,753,848
1967 1,152,339 2,664,130
1966 1,124,957 2,577,184
1965 1,098,335 2,492,998
1964 1,071,287 2,411,260
1963 1,045,092 2,331,736
1962 1,019,788 2,255,026
1961 995,573 2,181,805
1960 972,547 2,112,131

Data sources: United Nations | World Population Prospects (2026–2100, retrieved 2026-07-08); World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08).

GeoRank.org/population/eritrea/tajikistan | CC BY

From 2006 to 2016, the population of Eritrea increased by 421,196 people (a 15.6% growth), while Tajikistan gained 1,808,065 people (a 25.6% growth).

For the next 10 years, from 2016 to 2026, Eritrea gained 597,791 people (a 19.1% growth), while Tajikistan's population increased by 2,214,784 people (a 25% growth).

Eritrea was ranked 135th most populous country in 2006 and is 131st in 2026. Tajikistan was ranked 98th in 2006 and ranked 88th now.

The UN's World Population Prospects forecasts that in 24 years (in 2050) Eritrea's population will grow by 53.6% to 5,715,974 people with a rank change from 131st to 123rd. The population of Tajikistan will increase by 41.1% to 15,632,073 people and rank change from 88th to 83rd.

Eritrea is projected to reach its peak in 2100 at 8.52M people compared to the peak of 20.4M people in 2100 for Tajikistan.

Population growth rate by year

Eritrea
Factual

Projection
Tajikistan
Factual

Projection
1x
Year Growth rate
Eritrea Tajikistan
2100 0.29% 0.04%
2099 0.27% 0.07%
2098 0.27% 0.09%
2097 0.26% 0.12%
2096 0.31% 0.13%
2095 0.31% 0.16%
2094 0.31% 0.16%
2093 0.43% 0.2%
2092 0.36% 0.22%
2091 0.42% 0.22%
2090 0.41% 0.24%
2089 0.46% 0.25%
2088 0.45% 0.28%
2087 0.53% 0.27%
2086 0.57% 0.3%
2085 0.59% 0.32%
2084 0.54% 0.34%
2083 0.56% 0.34%
2082 0.51% 0.34%
2081 0.72% 0.38%
2080 0.65% 0.38%
2079 0.7% 0.4%
2078 0.73% 0.42%
2077 0.73% 0.47%
2076 0.82% 0.48%
2075 0.73% 0.5%
2074 0.86% 0.52%
2073 0.84% 0.56%
2072 0.86% 0.59%
2071 0.9% 0.62%
2070 0.93% 0.66%
2069 0.99% 0.67%
2068 0.98% 0.7%
2067 1.06% 0.74%
2066 0.99% 0.74%
2065 1.02% 0.78%
2064 1.21% 0.81%
2063 1.11% 0.82%
2062 1.19% 0.82%
2061 1.23% 0.87%
2060 1.22% 0.88%
2059 1.25% 0.9%
2058 1.24% 0.92%
2057 1.15% 0.93%
2056 1.31% 0.94%
2055 1.23% 0.96%
2054 1.38% 0.96%
2053 1.45% 1.02%
2052 1.4% 1.03%
2051 1.4% 1.07%
2050 1.4% 1.1%
2049 1.48% 1.15%
2048 1.49% 1.19%
2047 1.51% 1.23%
2046 1.64% 1.28%
2045 1.62% 1.34%
2044 1.64% 1.36%
2043 1.73% 1.42%
2042 1.69% 1.45%
2041 1.84% 1.49%
2040 1.85% 1.51%
2039 1.9% 1.54%
2038 2.03% 1.57%
2037 2.06% 1.61%
2036 1.96% 1.6%
2035 2.02% 1.58%
2034 1.99% 1.58%
2033 1.99% 1.59%
2032 2% 1.59%
2031 2.12% 1.61%
2030 2.07% 1.65%
2029 2.11% 1.67%
2028 2.13% 1.71%
2027 2.09% 1.75%
2026 2.11% 1.81%
2025 2.02% 1.85%
2024 1.88% 1.94%
2023 1.79% 2.04%
2022 1.77% 2.16%
2021 1.79% 2.23%
2020 1.58% 2.3%
2019 1.49% 2.39%
2018 1.35% 2.44%
2017 0.82% 2.49%
2016 0.62% 2.57%
2015 0.34% 2.59%
2014 0.68% 2.54%
2013 1.23% 2.53%
2012 1.28% 2.42%
2011 1.81% 2.26%
2010 1.98% 2.16%
2009 2.54% 2.07%
2008 2.66% 2%
2007 1.47% 1.94%
2006 1.59% 1.92%
2005 2.42% 1.98%
2004 4.19% 1.98%
2003 4.22% 1.94%
2002 3.5% 1.94%
2001 2.89% 1.95%
2000 1.55% 1.23%
1999 1.48% 0.52%
1998 1.31% 0.6%
1997 1.11% 1.21%
1996 5.1% 1.98%
1995 5.82% 2.12%
1994 3.12% 1.75%
1993 3.18% 1.34%
1992 -6.29% 1.95%
1991 -5.57% 2.64%
1990 2.3% 2.5%
1989 2.52% 2.98%
1988 2.63% 3.56%
1987 2.36% 3.5%
1986 2.07% 3.32%
1985 2.04% 3.1%
1984 2.05% 2.97%
1983 2.4% 2.93%
1982 2.76% 2.88%
1981 2.75% 2.85%
1980 2.72% 2.9%
1979 2.69% 3.03%
1978 2.69% 3.15%
1977 2.68% 3.2%
1976 2.53% 3.2%
1975 2.36% 3.19%
1974 2.46% 3.17%
1973 2.55% 3.16%
1972 2.59% 3.13%
1971 2.63% 3.13%
1970 2.59% 3.22%
1969 2.56% 3.32%
1968 2.55% 3.37%
1967 2.43% 3.37%
1966 2.42% 3.38%
1965 2.52% 3.39%
1964 2.51% 3.41%
1963 2.48% 3.4%
1962 2.43% 3.36%
1961 2.37% 3.3%

Data sources: United Nations | World Population Prospects (2026–2100, retrieved 2026-07-08); World Bank | Health (1961–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08).

GeoRank.org/population/eritrea/tajikistan | CC BY

In 2025, the population of Eritrea grew by 2.02%, while Tajikistan's population grew by 1.85%.

Live population counters

Eritrea Tajikistan
Current population
3722489
11080415
Population rank 131/197 88/197
Percent of world population 0.04% 0.13%
One net population change
7.38 minutes
2.69 minutes
One birth every
5.18 minutes
1.96 minutes
One death every
24.8 minutes
10.8 minutes
Daily growth/decline +196 +536
Annual growth/decline +71,400 +195,807
Annual growth/decline rate +2.02% +1.85%
Population growth rate rank 49/197 58/197
One migration net change every
1.31 hours
24.4 minutes
Annual migration change -6,698 -21,606
Net migration rank 122/196 152/196
Foreign-born residents 12,512 276,777
Foreign-born residents rank 176/195 101/195
Foreign-born share of population 0.4% 2.6%
Foreign-born share rank 178/195 124/195

Natural population change vs migration

Eritrea
Natural

Migration
Tajikistan
Natural

Migration
1x
Year Population change
Eritrea Tajikistan
Natural Migration Natural Migration
2025 - -6,698 - -21,606
2024 80,343 -12,696 219,677 -21,236
2023 78,073 -15,284 223,828 -19,999
2022 76,221 -17,134 228,336 -17,001
2021 74,394 -14,966 222,850 -3,564
2020 73,362 -14,967 219,467 -3,564
2019 73,572 -29,818 231,817 -9,041
2018 72,511 -21,403 228,597 -6,111
2017 72,291 -38,579 224,396 -4,093
2016 73,002 -55,431 228,547 -8,210
2015 73,682 -52,965 230,903 -7,660
2014 75,729 -75,696 227,304 -13,962
2013 75,562 -33,974 220,693 -16,362
2012 76,416 -43,269 213,078 -12,132
2011 76,806 -32,949 208,429 -30,783
2010 76,098 -13,361 201,389 -33,733
2009 76,206 -24,348 192,851 -36,677
2008 73,391 17,855 182,337 -34,855
2007 73,101 -18,131 173,200 -32,831
2006 74,470 -49,998 164,046 -30,591
2005 72,930 -12,835 160,189 -27,954
2004 72,147 -6,374 161,201 -25,082
2003 66,291 76,703 150,391 -22,562
2002 65,436 -6,574 146,492 -20,526
2001 61,180 41,760 142,276 -19,657
2000 60,274 -33,133 136,549 -13,871
1999 45,120 -3,769 147,622 -117,571
1998 55,332 -31,951 153,508 -119,621
1997 63,953 -30,768 149,825 -110,572
1996 66,557 -52,421 138,287 -30,922
1995 56,157 136,105 168,934 -40,418
1994 56,288 -25,841 167,590 -49,668
1993 51,679 33,688 157,975 -75,147
1992 51,443 -22,293 163,652 -95,280
1991 57,741 -328,546 177,585 -29,553
1990 56,903 -12,425 178,429 -41,596
1989 54,299 -7,330 179,212 -53,020
1988 54,163 -3,612 172,805 5,523
1987 52,229 -3,613 163,611 9,923
1986 39,470 -1,073 155,987 4,321
1985 37,362 -1,073 145,720 247
1984 35,101 772 139,145 -7,152
1983 33,420 1,853 133,280 -6,972
1982 44,146 1,985 127,838 -6,730
1981 42,924 1,985 121,418 -6,221
1980 41,392 1,985 117,888 -5,557
1979 39,577 1,985 114,496 -1,703
1978 38,353 1,985 110,564 5,006
1977 37,295 1,985 106,920 7,999
1976 36,250 1,985 103,777 7,679
1975 30,971 1,985 100,604 7,237
1974 30,111 1,985 97,481 6,531
1973 31,969 1,985 94,523 5,876
1972 30,951 1,953 91,677 5,123
1971 31,490 1,758 88,618 4,293
1970 30,686 1,480 85,645 5,559
1969 29,535 1,199 82,931 8,886
1968 28,777 1,013 80,698 10,323
1967 27,992 1,004 78,733 9,670
1966 24,713 1,063 76,702 8,796
1965 26,285 1,188 75,139 7,744
1964 25,327 1,300 74,030 6,568
1963 24,393 1,368 73,065 5,379
1962 23,478 1,364 70,700 4,270
1961 22,351 1,235 68,182 3,291
1960 21,424 1,045 65,415 2,457

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08).

GeoRank.org/population/eritrea/tajikistan | CC BY

Over the last 10 years, 73.2% of the population change in Eritrea is from natural causes (a gain of 747,451 people) and 26.8% is from migration (a loss of 273,243 people). In Tajikistan 95.7% is from natural causes (a gain of 2,258,418 people) and 4.26% is from migration (a loss of 100,479 people).

As of 2024, 12,512 residents or 0.4% of the population were not native-born in Eritrea, compared to 276,777 people or 2.6% in Tajikistan.

Biggest cities by population

Eritrea
City Population
Asmara 963K
Keren 120K
Massawa 39.8K
Mendefera 28.5K
Tajikistan
City Population
Dushanbe 948K
Khujand 199K
Qurghonteppa 127K
Istaravshan 64.3K
Konibodom 54.4K
Tursunzoda 46.7K
Panjakent 43.8K
Buston 29.8K
Ghafurov 18.4K
Istiklol 14.2K

Compare countries by 7 more topics

Population map with other countries

1x

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08); United Nations | World Population Prospects (1960–2026, retrieved 2026-07-08); U.S. Census Bureau (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08); Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2000–2019, retrieved 2026-07-08).

GeoRank.org/population/eritrea/tajikistan | CC BY

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Data sources:

  1. World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08)
  2. United Nations | World Population Prospects (1960–2100, retrieved 2026-07-08)
  3. U.S. Census Bureau (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-07-08)
  4. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2000–2019, retrieved 2026-07-08)
  5. Wikidata (2026, retrieved 2026-07-08)

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