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Population in Kenya compared to Tajikistan: Trends, Charts, Rankings

Updated on by Georank team

The latest officially reported population of Kenya was 56,432,944 in 2024 vs 10,590,927 people in Tajikistan in 2024. In 2026, based on the adjusted UN estimation, the current Kenya's population is 58,955,623 people compared to 11,038,274 in Tajikistan.

Population statistics:

  • Kenya's population is 5.34 times bigger than Tajikistan's.
  • Kenya is ranked the 25th most populous country in the world, while Tajikistan is the 88th.
  • The countries together account for 0.84% of the world: 0.71% for Kenya vs 0.13% for Tajikistan.
  • For the last 10 years, Kenya has had an average growth rate of +2.08% per year vs +2.33% in Tajikistan.
  • Since 2006, the population of Kenya has increased from 36.9M people to 59M (59.8% growth), while Tajikistan has grown from 7.06M to 11M (56.4% growth).

Kenya vs Tajikistan: population by year and forecast

Kenya
Factual

Projection
Tajikistan
Factual

Projection
1x
Year Population
Kenya Tajikistan
2100 105,238,162 20,390,053
2099 105,257,438 20,381,074
2098 105,257,489 20,367,161
2097 105,250,948 20,348,897
2096 105,220,085 20,324,869
2095 105,175,623 20,297,885
2094 105,118,372 20,265,966
2093 105,046,907 20,234,160
2092 104,955,024 20,192,937
2091 104,846,805 20,148,873
2090 104,718,130 20,103,798
2089 104,573,271 20,056,079
2088 104,414,197 20,005,521
2087 104,243,505 19,950,317
2086 104,056,143 19,895,606
2085 103,854,891 19,836,988
2084 103,640,244 19,773,272
2083 103,407,124 19,706,082
2082 103,158,580 19,639,516
2081 102,889,291 19,572,596
2080 102,594,978 19,499,390
2079 102,286,967 19,425,502
2078 101,961,280 19,347,261
2077 101,613,181 19,265,447
2076 101,239,843 19,175,355
2075 100,849,423 19,083,859
2074 100,436,632 18,988,290
2073 100,001,277 18,889,470
2072 99,533,234 18,785,103
2071 99,042,264 18,674,697
2070 98,529,166 18,559,138
2069 97,992,232 18,437,873
2068 97,428,138 18,315,011
2067 96,842,744 18,187,508
2066 96,230,345 18,054,404
2065 95,598,937 17,921,674
2064 94,942,874 17,783,801
2063 94,266,124 17,641,066
2062 93,561,519 17,498,306
2061 92,837,768 17,356,130
2060 92,098,717 17,206,922
2059 91,343,602 17,056,085
2058 90,569,828 16,903,532
2057 89,783,087 16,749,284
2056 88,994,126 16,595,691
2055 88,192,182 16,441,650
2054 87,379,992 16,285,520
2053 86,552,281 16,130,235
2052 85,710,403 15,967,770
2051 84,850,558 15,805,253
2050 83,976,685 15,638,613
2049 83,090,517 15,468,883
2048 82,191,119 15,292,499
2047 81,274,836 15,112,083
2046 80,340,592 14,928,123
2045 79,389,433 14,739,540
2044 78,414,158 14,544,544
2043 77,418,567 14,349,357
2042 76,399,781 14,147,892
2041 75,363,853 13,945,694
2040 74,308,480 13,741,587
2039 73,241,028 13,536,704
2038 72,153,876 13,331,490
2037 71,058,753 13,125,051
2036 69,949,421 12,917,110
2035 68,831,151 12,714,184
2034 67,705,051 12,515,962
2033 66,569,532 12,321,294
2032 65,431,402 12,128,060
2031 64,289,540 11,938,351
2030 63,153,520 11,749,706
2029 62,021,378 11,559,235
2028 60,894,078 11,369,414
2027 59,770,115 11,178,605
2026 58,653,621 10,986,242
2025 57,540,609 10,791,246
2024 56,432,944 10,590,927
2023 55,339,003 10,389,799
2022 54,252,461 10,182,222
2021 53,219,166 9,966,908
2020 52,217,334 9,749,310
2019 51,202,827 9,529,966
2018 50,207,107 9,307,333
2017 49,197,766 9,085,946
2016 48,139,687 8,865,631
2015 47,088,526 8,643,840
2014 46,051,440 8,425,552
2013 44,986,791 8,216,724
2012 43,888,303 8,014,084
2011 42,758,461 7,824,785
2010 41,598,567 7,652,141
2009 40,408,891 7,490,230
2008 39,206,351 7,338,403
2007 38,036,349 7,194,477
2006 36,904,008 7,057,566
2005 35,796,484 6,924,720
2004 34,713,455 6,790,547
2003 33,652,223 6,658,575
2002 32,629,808 6,531,669
2001 31,619,170 6,407,377
2000 30,642,890 6,284,735
1999 29,733,408 6,208,370
1998 28,888,057 6,176,397
1997 28,101,768 6,139,829
1996 27,344,211 6,066,523
1995 26,601,751 5,948,584
1994 25,857,130 5,825,368
1993 25,117,188 5,724,993
1992 24,382,460 5,649,400
1991 23,646,514 5,541,205
1990 22,892,651 5,398,768
1989 22,118,434 5,267,249
1988 21,356,219 5,114,989
1987 20,616,096 4,939,059
1986 19,901,646 4,772,139
1985 19,201,768 4,619,003
1984 18,514,906 4,480,026
1983 17,846,374 4,350,874
1982 17,206,175 4,227,171
1981 16,601,507 4,109,022
1980 16,018,459 3,995,256
1979 15,460,666 3,882,691
1978 14,934,126 3,768,508
1977 14,428,819 3,653,265
1976 13,957,623 3,540,076
1975 13,511,671 3,430,425
1974 13,070,078 3,324,499
1973 12,634,835 3,222,290
1972 12,206,060 3,123,691
1971 11,788,904 3,028,837
1970 11,368,791 2,936,779
1969 10,939,695 2,845,273
1968 10,518,823 2,753,848
1967 10,111,057 2,664,130
1966 9,717,816 2,577,184
1965 9,338,078 2,492,998
1964 8,973,535 2,411,260
1963 8,627,971 2,331,736
1962 8,299,308 2,255,026
1961 7,987,770 2,181,805
1960 7,695,307 2,112,131

Data sources: United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10); World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/population/kenya/tajikistan | CC BY

From 2006 to 2016, the population of Kenya increased by 11,235,679 people (a 30.4% growth), while Tajikistan gained 1,808,065 people (a 25.6% growth).

For the next 10 years, from 2016 to 2026, Kenya gained 10,815,936 people (a 22.5% growth), while Tajikistan's population increased by 2,172,643 people (a 24.5% growth).

Kenya was ranked 33rd most populous country in 2006 and is 25th in 2026. Tajikistan was ranked 98th in 2006 and ranked 88th now.

The UN's World Population Prospects forecasts that in 24 years (in 2050) Kenya's population will grow by 42.4% to 83,976,685 people with a rank change from 25th to 22nd. The population of Tajikistan will increase by 41.7% to 15,638,613 people and rank change from 88th to 82nd.

Kenya is projected to reach its peak in 2098 at 105M people compared to the peak of 20.4M people in 2100 for Tajikistan.

Population growth rate by year

Kenya
Factual

Projection
Tajikistan
Factual

Projection
1x
Year Growth rate
Kenya Tajikistan
2100 -0.02% 0.04%
2099 -0% 0.07%
2098 0.006% 0.09%
2097 0.03% 0.12%
2096 0.04% 0.13%
2095 0.05% 0.16%
2094 0.07% 0.16%
2093 0.09% 0.2%
2092 0.1% 0.22%
2091 0.12% 0.22%
2090 0.14% 0.24%
2089 0.15% 0.25%
2088 0.16% 0.28%
2087 0.18% 0.27%
2086 0.19% 0.3%
2085 0.21% 0.32%
2084 0.23% 0.34%
2083 0.24% 0.34%
2082 0.26% 0.34%
2081 0.29% 0.38%
2080 0.3% 0.38%
2079 0.32% 0.4%
2078 0.34% 0.42%
2077 0.37% 0.47%
2076 0.39% 0.48%
2075 0.41% 0.5%
2074 0.44% 0.52%
2073 0.47% 0.56%
2072 0.5% 0.59%
2071 0.52% 0.62%
2070 0.55% 0.66%
2069 0.58% 0.67%
2068 0.6% 0.7%
2067 0.64% 0.74%
2066 0.66% 0.74%
2065 0.69% 0.78%
2064 0.72% 0.81%
2063 0.75% 0.82%
2062 0.78% 0.82%
2061 0.8% 0.87%
2060 0.83% 0.88%
2059 0.85% 0.9%
2058 0.88% 0.92%
2057 0.89% 0.93%
2056 0.91% 0.94%
2055 0.93% 0.96%
2054 0.96% 0.96%
2053 0.98% 1.02%
2052 1.01% 1.03%
2051 1.04% 1.07%
2050 1.07% 1.1%
2049 1.09% 1.15%
2048 1.13% 1.19%
2047 1.16% 1.23%
2046 1.2% 1.28%
2045 1.24% 1.34%
2044 1.29% 1.36%
2043 1.33% 1.42%
2042 1.37% 1.45%
2041 1.42% 1.49%
2040 1.46% 1.51%
2039 1.51% 1.54%
2038 1.54% 1.57%
2037 1.59% 1.61%
2036 1.62% 1.6%
2035 1.66% 1.58%
2034 1.71% 1.58%
2033 1.74% 1.59%
2032 1.78% 1.59%
2031 1.8% 1.61%
2030 1.83% 1.65%
2029 1.85% 1.67%
2028 1.88% 1.71%
2027 1.9% 1.75%
2026 1.93% 1.81%
2025 1.96% 1.89%
2024 1.98% 1.94%
2023 2% 2.04%
2022 1.94% 2.16%
2021 1.92% 2.23%
2020 1.98% 2.3%
2019 1.98% 2.39%
2018 2.05% 2.44%
2017 2.2% 2.49%
2016 2.23% 2.57%
2015 2.25% 2.59%
2014 2.37% 2.54%
2013 2.5% 2.53%
2012 2.64% 2.42%
2011 2.79% 2.26%
2010 2.94% 2.16%
2009 3.07% 2.07%
2008 3.08% 2%
2007 3.07% 1.94%
2006 3.09% 1.92%
2005 3.12% 1.98%
2004 3.15% 1.98%
2003 3.13% 1.94%
2002 3.2% 1.94%
2001 3.19% 1.95%
2000 3.06% 1.23%
1999 2.93% 0.52%
1998 2.8% 0.6%
1997 2.77% 1.21%
1996 2.79% 1.98%
1995 2.88% 2.12%
1994 2.95% 1.75%
1993 3.01% 1.34%
1992 3.11% 1.95%
1991 3.29% 2.64%
1990 3.5% 2.5%
1989 3.57% 2.98%
1988 3.59% 3.56%
1987 3.59% 3.5%
1986 3.64% 3.32%
1985 3.71% 3.1%
1984 3.75% 2.97%
1983 3.72% 2.93%
1982 3.64% 2.88%
1981 3.64% 2.85%
1980 3.61% 2.9%
1979 3.53% 3.03%
1978 3.5% 3.15%
1977 3.38% 3.2%
1976 3.3% 3.2%
1975 3.38% 3.19%
1974 3.44% 3.17%
1973 3.51% 3.16%
1972 3.54% 3.13%
1971 3.7% 3.13%
1970 3.92% 3.22%
1969 4% 3.32%
1968 4.03% 3.37%
1967 4.05% 3.37%
1966 4.07% 3.38%
1965 4.06% 3.39%
1964 4.01% 3.41%
1963 3.96% 3.4%
1962 3.9% 3.36%
1961 3.8% 3.3%

Data sources: United Nations | World Population Prospects (2025–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10); World Bank | Health (1961–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/population/kenya/tajikistan | CC BY

In 2024, the population of Kenya grew by 1.98%, while Tajikistan's population grew by 1.94%.

Live population counters

Kenya Tajikistan
Current population
58955623
11038274
Population rank 25/197 88/197
Percent of world population 0.71% 0.13%
One net population change
28.8 seconds
2.61 minutes
One birth every
21 seconds
1.94 minutes
One death every
1.32 minutes
11 minutes
Daily growth/decline +2,997 +551
Annual growth/decline +1,093,941 +201,128
Annual growth/decline rate +1.98% +1.94%
Population growth rate rank 53/197 55/197
One migration net change every
19.3 minutes
24.4 minutes
Annual migration change -27,330 -21,606
Net migration rank 160/196 152/196
Foreign-born residents 992,536 276,777
Foreign-born residents rank 61/195 101/195
Foreign-born share of population 1.8% 2.6%
Foreign-born share rank 136/195 124/195

Natural population change vs migration

Kenya
Natural

Migration
Tajikistan
Natural

Migration
1x
Year Population change
Kenya Tajikistan
Natural Migration Natural Migration
2025 - -27,330 - -21,606
2024 - -19,781 - -21,236
2023 1,100,970 -10,003 223,828 -19,999
2022 1,092,102 -10,003 228,336 -17,001
2021 1,037,082 -52,552 222,850 -3,564
2020 1,036,253 -17,111 219,467 -3,564
2019 1,071,777 -61,949 231,817 -9,041
2018 1,097,075 -115,436 228,597 -6,111
2017 1,105,769 -68,702 224,396 -4,093
2016 1,108,801 -29,728 228,547 -8,210
2015 1,119,200 -95,977 230,903 -7,660
2014 1,123,333 -72,415 227,304 -13,962
2013 1,136,006 -57,634 220,693 -16,362
2012 1,161,548 -42,928 213,078 -12,132
2011 1,185,863 -44,795 208,429 -30,783
2010 1,199,786 -21,069 201,389 -33,733
2009 1,193,598 7,096 192,851 -36,677
2008 1,174,818 29,612 182,337 -34,855
2007 1,147,063 -11,495 173,200 -32,831
2006 1,113,357 15,767 164,046 -30,591
2005 1,080,446 5,501 160,189 -27,954
2004 1,048,590 31,525 161,201 -25,082
2003 1,018,182 24,175 150,391 -22,562
2002 992,044 10,431 146,492 -20,526
2001 963,721 55,052 142,276 -19,657
2000 928,357 5,407 136,549 -13,871
1999 898,484 -13,257 147,622 -117,571
1998 875,511 -70,023 153,508 -119,621
1997 847,493 -80,443 149,825 -110,572
1996 827,326 -79,276 138,287 -30,922
1995 812,391 -75,506 168,934 -40,418
1994 792,702 -40,367 167,590 -49,668
1993 788,579 -61,054 157,975 -75,147
1992 785,018 -43,085 163,652 -95,280
1991 790,030 -60,087 177,585 -29,553
1990 789,087 -11,338 178,429 -41,596
1989 795,622 -24,949 179,212 -53,020
1988 785,652 -31,894 172,805 5,523
1987 775,124 -48,633 163,611 9,923
1986 755,606 -53,183 155,987 4,321
1985 732,739 -35,400 145,720 247
1984 709,639 -33,253 139,145 -7,152
1983 684,587 -23,905 133,280 -6,972
1982 663,109 -43,382 127,838 -6,730
1981 642,379 -52,761 121,418 -6,221
1980 616,390 -39,920 117,888 -5,557
1979 595,390 -56,280 114,496 -1,703
1978 574,695 -60,718 110,564 5,006
1977 554,124 -57,493 106,920 7,999
1976 536,740 -90,990 103,777 7,679
1975 517,579 -71,421 100,604 7,237
1974 500,008 -62,973 97,481 6,531
1973 485,556 -52,102 94,523 5,876
1972 472,557 -48,466 91,677 5,123
1971 459,897 -49,671 88,618 4,293
1970 443,065 -13,064 85,645 5,559
1969 427,819 369 82,931 8,886
1968 411,948 1,611 80,698 10,323
1967 396,920 5,060 78,733 9,670
1966 382,891 1,616 76,702 8,796
1965 366,444 8,524 75,139 7,744
1964 349,322 4,788 74,030 6,568
1963 332,763 4,246 73,065 5,379
1962 315,797 4,521 70,700 4,270
1961 298,463 4,296 68,182 3,291
1960 280,032 2,134 65,415 2,457

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-04-06).

GeoRank.org/population/kenya/tajikistan | CC BY

Over the last 10 years, 95.3% of the population change in Kenya is from natural causes (a gain of 10,892,362 people) and 4.67% is from migration (a loss of 533,876 people). In Tajikistan 96% is from natural causes (a gain of 2,266,045 people) and 3.95% is from migration (a loss of 93,205 people).

As of 2024, 992,536 residents or 1.8% of the population were not native-born in Kenya, compared to 276,777 people or 2.6% in Tajikistan.

Biggest cities by population

Kenya
City Population
Nairobi 5.54M
Mombasa 1.21M
Kisumu 398K
Nakuru 308K
Eldoret 289K
Thika 279K
Malindi 120K
Machakos 114K
Mumias 100K
Meru 42.7K
Tajikistan
City Population
Dushanbe 948K
Khujand 199K
Qurghonteppa 127K
Istaravshan 64.3K
Konibodom 54.4K
Tursunzoda 46.7K
Panjakent 33K
Buston 29.8K
Ghafurov 18.4K
Istiklol 14.2K

Compare countries by 7 more topics

Population map with other countries

1x

Data sources: World Bank | Health (1960–2024, retrieved 2026-04-06); United Nations | World Population Prospects (1960–2026, retrieved 2026-03-10); U.S. Census Bureau (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-02-08); Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2000–2019, retrieved 2026-02-20).

GeoRank.org/population/kenya/tajikistan | CC BY

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Data sources:

  1. World Bank | Health (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-04-06)
  2. United Nations | World Population Prospects (1960–2100, retrieved 2026-03-10)
  3. U.S. Census Bureau (1960–2025, retrieved 2026-02-08)
  4. Wikidata (2026, retrieved 2026-02-08)
  5. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (2000–2019, retrieved 2026-02-20)

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